"Here's one of those questions I always wonder about.
If the Democrats have a big night on November 7th, two states where they could rack up a lot of House seats are New York and Pennsylvania.
Now, in both of those states you have Democratic gubernatorial and senate candidates who appear to be on track to score solid victories. In New York, Spitzer and Clinton look like they will crush their opponents. Perhaps getting as much two thirds of the vote. In Pennsylvania the margins won't be that great. But it looks like Casey and Rendell will win solidly.
So as we look at the polls for the individual House races how should we, or should we at all, factor in the fact that on the same day clear majorities of voters will likely vote Democratic at the top of the ticket.
Thoughts?
Late Update: Now that I think about it, I should have included Ohio in the tally. The senate race is still a going concern, though there's a poll out today that has a twenty point spread. But the governor's race looks like another blowout. And there are several House seats up for grabs."
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