Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

What To Watch For Tonight: An Hour By Hour Guide To Returns

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion (01/01/06 through 01/22/2007) Donate to DU
 
cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-07-06 08:27 AM
Original message
What To Watch For Tonight: An Hour By Hour Guide To Returns
This is from the WSJ and the revolting John Fund. Nevertheless it's a good guide with some early indicators.

From the article:

Following the Election Returns
An hour-by-hour guide to tonight's results.

Tuesday, November 7, 2006 12:01 a.m. EST

This year the networks say they are guarding their exit poll results as if they were crown jewels. The results will be delivered to a "quarantine room," access to which will be granted to only two staffers from each network and wire service, who must surrender all cell phones, BlackBerrys and similar devices before entering the room. Such precautions are designed to prevent preliminary results, often wrong in 2000 and 2004, from being posted on Web sites like the Drudge Report.

Only at 5 p.m. will the occupants of the quarantine room be allowed to reveal the exit polls to their bosses. The networks claim to have completely revamped their exit-poll methodology, which in 2004 had surveys in which the results, collected mostly by female graduate students, consistently favored Democrats. The changes will mean the networks will be slower to call the winners. That and the difficulty of adjusting for the large number of absentee ballots could mean a longer night than usual.

So how to make sense of things this election night? Don't feel obligated to listen to the endless analysis of the pundits (including me) on the networks. Consider turning down the TV to a whisper and either watching the crawl of actual returns on the bottom of the screen or monitoring them on the Internet at sites like RealClearPolitics.com.

Given that the longer election night might not suit everyone's bedtime, I've prepared an hour-by-hour guide to tonight's results to provide clues on how each major party is doing even if individual winners in races haven't been called. All times are Eastern. In a bow to tradition, we've listed states that went for George W. Bush two years ago in red and those that went for John Kerry in blue. The letters after state names indicate governor and senate races, with the incumbent party in the appropriate color (independents in black). For example, "California GS" indicates that the Golden State went for John Kerry in 2004 and has a governor's race with a Republican incumbent and a Senate race with a Democratic incumbent.

<snip>

http://www.opinionjournal.com/diary/?id=110009204
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
PATRICK Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-07-06 08:50 AM
Response to Original message
1. Not to be rude to the MSM
apparent monopoly of erasable pencil exit polls but aren't there any independent, high caliber polls being done that can be examined online and not in corporate closets? This seems so absurd for anyone to be waiting breathless for the polls that have as their main concern not to be "embarrassed" by discrepancies. Even more this year it seems the polls must be adjusted to the "results" and the pretext script more carefully prepared.

I find is nauseating to grant them referee status at all, like tuning into the Miss America Pageant, only
crooked.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-07-06 08:53 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. You're right.
It is nauseating, but the value of this article has nothing to do with exit polls, but with real returns and the early bellweather races in IN and KY.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Oreo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-07-06 10:43 AM
Response to Original message
3. Kick
this is a good guide
thanks for posting
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Sun May 05th 2024, 01:51 PM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion (01/01/06 through 01/22/2007) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC