http://www.outlookindia.com/full.asp?fodname=20061113&fname=Col+Prem+Shankar+Jha+%28F%29&sid=1 Sandeep Adhwaryu
OPINION
Empire On The Brink
The end of Republican rule draws nigh. Will the Indo-US nuclear deal sink?
PREM SHANKAR JHA
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More disturbing <to Americans> than the mounting violence <in Iraq> is the fact that there is no way to get out of it. Democrats have been promising a time limit for handing over power to the elected Iraqi government and pulling US troops out. But Republicans have pointed out—and this is the only issue on which they gain some political traction—that announcing a date would amount to a post-dated surrender. But staying in Iraq indefinitely is not an option either. There is, overall, an all-pervasive sense of a loss of control. Unlike weak nation-states who are familiar with it, Americans find it deeply unsettling. This is, after all, the richest, largest and the most powerful nation in the world. How can such a thing happen?
The feeling that they have lost control is compounded by a growing dread of the future. Sooner or later, the US will have to leave Iraq, and its departure will be hailed as a 'victory' by the entire Arab and Muslim world. Suicide bombers and terrorists will become heroes sans purpose. They will try to give renewed meaning to their lives by spreading out to other parts of the world.
As if Iraq was not bad enough, Afghanistan is developing into a second node of terrorism. A Pashtoon himself, Hamid Karzai has been presiding over a government that has been killing Pashtoons on the pretext of killing the Taliban. It has left him with virtually no influence in the southern and eastern parts. Instead, the US, and now NATO, forces claim victories in the Pashtoon areas though they're steadily losing the war.One day, the foreigners will depart, leaving the country in chaos.
Loss of control is spreading like cancer to other parts of the world. Israel has still to recover from the shock of winning its battles against the Hezbollah but losing the war. North Korea has taken advantage of Bush's obsession with the Middle East to blow a hole in the NPT, and the cost of attacking Iran is now looking so high that it too may slip through the nuclear net with impunity in the near future. To the neo-cons, who do not believe in dialogue, the temptation to bomb these countries into the Stone Age in order to save their dream of Empire must be growing stronger.
All in all, the world is dangerously close to Hobbes' State of Nature. It's no surprise, therefore, that a majority of Americans feel far more unsafe now than they did before Bush came to power. The possibility that they will make the Republican party a scapegoat is, therefore, exceedingly high. Were the Republicans to lose both houses of Congress, the Indo-US nuclear deal will become the first casualty.