Survey USA has a 2008 state-by-state electoral vote match-up map

1932

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Sat Nov-18-06 07:13 AM
Original message

Survey USA has a 2008 state-by-state electoral vote match-up map

http://www.surveyusa.com/?gclid=CN3E-87Cz4gCFSM3GAodVlbOPg

It's based on latest polling, I believe. You can see which Democrats do best against which Republicans. (They don't have polling data, however, for all Democrats against all Republicans.)

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DemocratSinceBirth

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Sat Nov-18-06 07:19 AM
Response to Original message

1. It Says You Have To Pay For The Results

eom

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Bluebear

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Sat Nov-18-06 07:22 AM
Response to Reply #1

2. Works for me without $

Edited on Sat Nov-18-06 07:23 AM by Bluebear

heavily skewed towards McCain.

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1932

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Sat Nov-18-06 07:25 AM
Response to Reply #2

4. Edwards does best against McCain (-5); Hillary does best against Rudy (-170)

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1932

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Sat Nov-18-06 07:23 AM
Response to Reply #1

3. You have to pay for the details. You can see the EV outcome for free.

You can't drop down the names and get EV results???

Which match up do you want to know about? I'll tell you the results.

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annabanana

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Sat Nov-18-06 07:29 AM
Response to Original message

5. Guliani only does that well because no one outside of NY

really knows what that weasel is actually like.... You can just TELL that the Bible Belt hasn't a clue about his pro-choice & stem cell research.. and the usual "blues" don't know that he is a fascist at heart.

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minnesota_liberal

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Sat Nov-18-06 07:40 AM
Response to Original message

6. Seems heavily skewed against Dems

Edited on Sat Nov-18-06 07:46 AM by minnesota_liberal

When Chicken-n-Rice gets almost 11x (EV) as Russ Feingold and Kerry only pulls 2 states vs Guiliani, something is seriously wrong!

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1932

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Sat Nov-18-06 07:46 AM
Response to Reply #6

7. Well, it's important to remember that this is a snapshot of today.

Of course Rice is going to do well against Feingold. She's in the media constantly. Russ may be popular on DU, but outside of Wisconsin, he's not well-known to the degree that he's going to get more votes than Rice today.

My overall take was that we have Democrats who can really beat most of the second and third tier Republicans by huge margins. And for McCain, Edwards is incredibly close, and for Guiliani, I wouldn't worry. Clinton beat him in NY. She could beat him nationwide. And Rudy tends to fall apart in campaigns where he has to leave Manhattan.

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Perky

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Sat Nov-18-06 08:42 AM
Response to Reply #7

12. Not even "today" this was done a month ago...It is worthless drivel

I was really suprised att how poorly Obama did. I think the poll is bogus becuse it is based on name recognition or somehting.

Besises the methodology is probably whacked. they did not ask eeach responder abou all 60 pairings. And they only asked about two republicans. Why not Frist? Why not Huckabee?

Why include Obama when you don;t include I dunno.....Inhofe. There statuses are pretty parallel....undecided about getting in.

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1932

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Sat Nov-18-06 11:11 AM
Response to Reply #12

19. He can be both popular nationwide and behind in head-to-head matchups

Edited on Sat Nov-18-06 11:12 AM by 1932

with specific Republicans.

If you're measuring Obama's popularity, a poll like this is worthless. But if you're measuring whether Obama does well in head to head match-ups today vs specific Republicans, then a popularity poll is worthless.

But, most importantly, these are all valuable tools if you're trying to figure out how a Democrat is going to win in 2008.

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Cobalt Violet

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Sat Nov-18-06 11:02 AM
Response to Reply #6

17. It shows MA red In Gore vs. MaCain.

I don't think so! Never. This is total shit.

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1932

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Sat Nov-18-06 11:23 AM
Response to Reply #17

22. Maybe. Maybe not.

Gore beat Beat bush 59:32 in 2000. Kerry beat him 62:37. Is it inconceivable that Gore would have dropped >9 percentage points since 2000 and that McCain is 13 percentage points more popular than Bush in 2004?

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madokie

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Sat Nov-18-06 07:46 AM
Response to Original message

8. That sucks, they have mcCain over Big Al 377 to 161

no way mcCain can win the presidency no way

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1932

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Sat Nov-18-06 07:53 AM
Response to Reply #8

9. He wins big over most everyone else, and he beats Rice, which not all Dems are

able to do.

And all Dems lose to Guiliani and McCain.

But if the election were today and McCain were running, it looks like Edwards would be the best candidate.

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Art_from_Ark

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Sat Nov-18-06 08:03 AM
Response to Original message

10. Bullshit survey if there ever was one

Kerry not even winning his own state vs. McCain? NO.FREAKIN'.WAY. Hawaii voting for a Republican? What planet are they living on?

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1932

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Sat Nov-18-06 08:11 AM
Response to Reply #10

11. He may only be losing 49 to 51 to McCain, but if you don't think that McCain

is a formidale candidate (and that Kerry has lost some luster) then yo might be in denial.

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skipos

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Sat Nov-18-06 09:49 AM
Response to Original message

13. This is all based on name recognition. Clark winning won state against McCain (Ak)?!?

give me a break. I'll bet anyone big $$$ that actual results would be VERY different than surveyusa predictions.

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1932

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Sat Nov-18-06 10:48 AM
Response to Reply #13

14. Yes it is. And it's also the baseline today from which everyone is working.

The $$$ results don't show different outcomes. I'm sure it shows the numbers behind the numbers (including %s for familiarity, rankings of issues, gender, class and race breakdowns, etc.).

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1932

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Sat Nov-18-06 10:53 AM
Response to Reply #13

15. Speaking of name recognition,

The Democrat who does best against McCain beats him in most of the states in which he competed in a primary before dropping out in 2004: Iowa, Missouri, South Carolina, Wisconsin, Ohio, Michigan. That's an encouraging sign for Democrats.

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baldguy

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Sat Nov-18-06 10:58 AM
Response to Original message

16. This is bs

Guliani & McCain win every race against every Dem listed.

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1932

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Sat Nov-18-06 11:09 AM
Response to Reply #16

18. I guarantee you that no poll taken two years before a presidential election

matches the outcome of the election.

However, these are the current head to head poll results for these match-ups so this is not worthless information.

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jefferson_dem

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Sat Nov-18-06 11:22 AM
Response to Reply #18

21. Interesting and not worthless info. But the data is actually 3 months old.

Data were collected 8-11 through 8-13. Three months is more than two lifetimes in politics / polling.

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1932

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Sat Nov-18-06 11:24 AM
Response to Reply #21

23. Is 2 yrs vs 2 yrs 3 months before the '08 election so much time that the

info is worthless?

Perhaps fresh data is what you get if you pay.

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jefferson_dem

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Sat Nov-18-06 12:41 PM
Response to Reply #23

24. No. As i said, this info is not worthless. I think it sets the baseline - benchmark

numbers each of the candidates is working with. Thanks for posting the link.

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stevedeshazer

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Sat Nov-18-06 11:15 AM
Response to Original message

20. Where's Duncan Hunter? He's my Republican!

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