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Before we can do anything else in terms of "changing course" in Iraq -- or Afghanistan or Washington D.C. or anywhere else -- we have to admit we were wrong. Having done that, and having looked at our past actions and acknowledged them to be wrong, we can begin to change.
I've never been in a 12-step program, so I don't claim to know anything at all about them, but it seems to me that the declaration of one's addiction, whatever it is, marks the starting point for recovery.
The Bush Administration has not yet been able to admit that it made a mistake in invading Iraq. Robert Gates, the incoming Secretary of Defense, has taken the huge step for the administration of acknowledging we are not "winning" the war, but as the various clips of Mr. Bush shown on television subsequent to that remark show, he is not yet in a mental place where he can agree with Mr. Gates. And until Mr. Bush acknowledges that "mistakes were made," he's not going to be able to change the way he directs policy regarding Iraq.
The discussions about whether to stay in Iraq or withdraw U.S. troops (and I suppose that includes advisers, support contractors, mercenaries, etc.) immediately almost never include an examination of how a withdrawal would be effected. Whether the commentator is Pat Buchanan screaming his befuddled head off about how he opposed the war from the beginning or a more rational Sen. Russ Feingold explaining why the invasion was a mistake in the first place, no one seems to be offering a possible blueprint for a withdrawal. And given that memories of the 1974 exit from Vietnam are still fresh, I would think there'd be all kinds of discussion of the mistakes made there and how not to make them in leaving Iraq.
But there seems to be a collective national resistance to admitting the two crushing truths: First, invading Iraq was a monumental mistake, and second, we have no reasonable hope of achieving any kind of honorable goal now that we're there. The second is an admission of defeat, and the American psyche isn't ready for that. We never learned that vital lesson from Vietnam. And that's why we're fighting that war all over again in a different locale.
I think one of the reasons we're so stubborn, even many of those of us on the left side of the political spectrum, is that we know there's going to be a heavy price to pay, and that also makes Iraq different from Vietnam. It may be a price beyond our conscious capacity to imagine. But in order to begin the process of preparing to leave Iraq, we must examine the potential costs and determine not only whether or not we can morally, ethically, emotionally, financially afford them, but then determine how we're going to pay them.
John Kerry's famous 1971 words are going to be echoed often in the coming months. "How do you ask a man to be the last man to die for a mistake?" More soldiers and marines and advisers and trainers and contractors and peace-keepers are going to die between now and the "end" of the U.S. involvement in Iraq. We have no idea how many. But I think we can all agree that the longer we stay, the more will die. As some pundits have pointed out, the notion of leaving a bunch of U.S. trainers embedded in the Iraqi army and other "security" forces seems ludicrous. Bob Woodward pointed out that the disbanding of the Iraqi army in 2003 resulted in sending hundreds of thousands of men home, presumably with their weapons, and giving them nothing to do but learn to hate the invader. To leave U.S. troops in the middle of that mess after the departure of U.S. "security forces" would be to invite a bloodbath, and I don't believe any rational person, American or otherwise, thinks that's a good idea.
So what are we supposed to do? Maybe we should go to the U.N. -- with a new spokesperson now that U.N. hater John Bolton is gone -- and say, "Hey, world, we fucked up. We need to get out. Can you help us?" And maybe they would do that. Maybe they would be so glad to see us finally coming to our national senses would restore our standing in the world community enough that some of our recent arrogance would be forgiven. Or maybe not, because the U.S. that will be withdrawing from Iraq is not the superpower it was when it left Vietnam. We don't have the power of the bully anymore. Many around the world who could do nothing in the face of our arrogant abandonment of Vietnam will experience that delightful schadenfreude of seeing the might U.S. depart Iraq in disgrace.
But cutting and running with our tails between our legs is only part of the picture. There's also what comes afterward.
Will certain members of the administration be indicted for war crimes? And if they are, will we as a nation turn them over to international authorities for trial and possible punishment? Here on DU we've talked about waiting for the day we see these officials in the dock at the Hague, but how strong will our stomachs be when we watch our national reputation dragged through that court of international public opinion?
Will the U.S. be billed for the damage we inflicted on Iraq? Whatever else can be said about Saddam Hussein, at least he didn't completely destroy the infrastructure of the country. There was electricity and water and food and education. Women attended university and doctors treated patients in hospitals. If there were insufficient medical supplies and if the infrastructure was crumbling, how much was the result of the sanctions the U.S. had imposed on Iraq with the help of the U.N.? We now know that Saddam had no weapons of mass destruction and not even a very viable program for obtaining them, and wasn't that the whole point of the various embargoes? So wasn't the deterioration of the electric grid and the power stations and water and sewer plants partly our fault?
Oh, sure, we've poured billions into "reconstruction," and no one knows where most of it went. The fact remains that our actions ruined Iraq, and you have to believe that someone, somewhere, is going to call for reparations. The other fact that remains is that in some ways, our actions -- or the actions of the administration of our country -- have ruined the U.S., too. Our industrial infrastructure is nothing close to what it was forty, twenty, or even ten years ago. Our public infrastructure -- roads, schools, utilities -- is in some ways similarly decrepit. We have a tax structure that allows the very wealthy to pay nothing and the poor, who have nothing to pay, pay everything. Zero plus zero equals zero: We have no tax base, because the tax policies of this administration have effected a fiscal polarization that shrinks the middle class even while putting too much burden on it.
What will we do to compensate the people and the nation(s) of Iraq after we've finally left? What will the prospect of rebuilding Baghdad and Basra and Falluja do to our national psyche when New Orleans and "Ground Zero" remain the way we left them? What kind of PTSD will we collectively suffer, and what kind of therapy will enable us to recover?
I watched the clips of Mr. Bush as he was confronted by the British reporters, and I watched as Tony Snow tried to beat back the attack of reporter David Gregory when the hard questions were asked. The administration is not capable -- at least not yet -- of admitting they were wrong. And if that point is being hammered home to them by the Report of the Iraq Study Group, the point of defeat is not.
We were wrong to invade Iraq, and we have lost there. We have already paid a heavy price in lives lost and monies wasted. But there is still another huge price to be paid. Unless we are able to swallow our national pride without choking on it like a presidential pretzel, we will remain in this morass, this quagmire, this national nightmare that is Iraq.
As Walt Kelly so simply put it during another quagmire, we have met the enemy and he is us.
Tansy Gold
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