ARG polls of Democratic sentiment in IA, NV, NH, and SC

Right now (and it's early) the race is between Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama and John Edwards according to these early polls by American Research Group:

Iowa
Clinton 31
Edwards 20
Vilsack 17
Obama 10
Kucinich 5
Undecided 8
all other 2% or less

Nevada
Clinton 37
Obama 12
Kerry 9
Edwards 8
Undecided 23
Clark 4
All others 3 and under

South Carolina
Clinton 34
Edwards 31
Obama 10
Undecided 15
others 3% or less

New Hampshire
Clinton 27
Obama 21
Edwards 18
Kerry 6
Kucinich 4
Undecided 17
others 2% or less

www.americanresearchgroup.com

Clinton is leading in all states, but her margins are not all that impressive. Given her name recognition she isn't pulling higher than 37% and both Obama and Edwards are competitive with her in NH, and Edwards is competitve with her in SC. Of course it's very early and lots will happen.

With only the candidates who have actually announced

Edwards just got into the race.

Neither Clinton nor Obama have made a final decision.

What does that say about a Vilsack nomination???

...people will get to know her and her objectives more. Sure, it won't persuade those of us on here who have made up our minds, but we must realize the limit of our argument and admit that it is possible she will gain ground.

Though I'm a believer that she's apt to be upset by Edwards (or Gore if he runs).

she will lose ground. She unites the RepubliCANTS as no one else can.

are almost as high as her positives. People either love her or hate her. There isn't a big pool of "undecideds" for her to win over, she would have to win over people who don't like her and that is a tough row to hoe.

Hillary and Obama haven't announced yet either and they're in the list.

He hasn't explicitly said "No, I'm absolutely not running in 2008," but he has repeatedly sent out indicators that he's not running, and doesn't really want to.

Yecch!