Where can I get a copy of the Obama memo on election projections?

4_Legs_Good

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Tue Mar-11-08 02:39 PM
Original message

Where can I get a copy of the Obama memo on election projections?

The one that everyone but me has, that spelled out how they thought they would do through the rest of the Primary season? I wanna keep track of how well they guessed.

David

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

Pirate Smile

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Tue Mar-11-08 03:55 PM
Response to Original message

1. This should have a link and shows the spreadsheet.

http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0208/Obamas_projections.html

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

4_Legs_Good

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Tue Mar-11-08 06:57 PM
Response to Reply #1

2. Awesome

Thanks!!!

:)

David

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

ginnyinWI

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Wed Mar-12-08 12:32 PM
Response to Reply #1

3. I took a close look at this chart.

Of the states just on the chart (contests since Louisiana) Obama netted +40 delegates over their projections. I see no reason why this trend shouldn't continue through the rest of the states.

Notice they project 47% in PA. If they attain even this much, they will prevent the landslide Hillary needs to go forward. WV and KY and Puerto Rico are the only other ones they expect to lose--but still think they'll get low 40s percentage of the vote. I think that they will again exceed their goals.

That said, failing to win a decisive victory didn't stop HRC after Texas. Someone said they are now running for 2012--and that could be true.

I just want it to end!

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

4_Legs_Good

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Wed Mar-12-08 12:41 PM
Response to Reply #3

4. They were only off by 1% in MS

These guys are good!

Let's hope their PA numbers are as good. He did come up a little shy of projections in Ohio...

David

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

ginnyinWI

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Wed Mar-12-08 01:01 PM
Response to Reply #4

5. That might have been due to the Nafta flap

I seem to remember it coming right before Ohio--a few negative slams that didn't get debunked until it was too late.

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

Pirate Smile

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Wed Mar-12-08 02:01 PM
Response to Reply #4

6. They won Maine even though they had it down as a loss.

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

DU AdBot (1000+ posts)

Sat May 04th 2024, 05:56 PM
Response to Original message

Advertisements [?]

Top

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators

Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.