The New Iraq NIE: Pig Ugly, Little Lipstickby
Larry C Johnson
Despite concerted pressure on the Intelligence Community to adopt the sunny optimism about Iraq's future touted by that visionary, Dick Cheney, the analysts held their ground and provided the nation this grim assessment in the latest National Intelligence Estimate on Iraq:
. . . even if violence is diminished, given the current winner-take-all attitude and sectarian animosities infecting the political scene, Iraqi leaders will be hard pressed to achieve sustained political reconciliation in the time frame of this Estimate.Folks, that is the center of the earth, bottomline. Iraq is toxic or radioactive--pick your metaphor--and is not likely to improve, with or without a troop surge.
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It appears that the possibility of monkeys flying out of George Bush's ass was left off of the list. Too bad, because that is more likely to happen than the Sunnis giving up.
With the Democrats in control on the Hill the analysts working on the NIE recognized they had to tell the truth, no matter how uncomfortable. Yet a careful reading of the Key Judgments reveals an intelligence community still smarting from the beating it took over the 2002 fiasco and still cautious about tweaking the President. It appears to deliver the goods--
Iraq is going in the toliet and it is largely the result of internal strife unleashed by the U.S. invasion of 2003. Heck off a job.more at:
http://noquarter.typepad.com/my_weblog/2007/02/the_new_iraq_ni.html