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autorank Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 05:31 PM
Original message
Dollars Retreat Raises Fears of Collapse - Intl Herald - Where's the political dialog
The International Herald Tribune is part of the NY Times Company. It's run by the "good Sulzberger" who should be running the New York Times. How about this headline? "DOLLAR...COLLAPSE" Have you heard much about this. I thought it was from some crackpot journal but this is quite real, as a possibility.

What value is the Secretary of the Treasury, other financial leaders, and politicians, i.e., the preznit, when they won't even define issues like this and help us avoid them.

I don't care if Patraeus wants to be president, or if Hagel is retiring, or about Mitts next act of animal cruelty...IT'S THE ECONOMY right now, RED ALERT.

This is BLOCKBUSTER NEWS and it's not even a main topic. Seems to me it should be.


International Herald Tribune


Dollar's retreat raises fear of collapse


By Carter Dougherty
Published: September 13, 2007

FRANKFURT: Finance ministers and central bankers have long fretted that at some point, the rest of the world would lose its willingness to finance the United States' proclivity to consume far more than it produces - and that a potentially disastrous free-fall in the dollar's value would result.

But for longer than most economists would have been willing to predict a decade ago, the world has been a willing partner in American excess - until a new and home-grown financial crisis this summer rattled confidence in the country, the world's largest economy.

On Thursday, the dollar briefly fell to another low against the euro of $1.3927, as a slow decline that has been under way for months picked up steam this past week.

"This is all pointing to a greatly increased risk of a fast unwinding of the U.S. current account deficit and a serious decline of the dollar," said Kenneth Rogoff, a former chief economist at the International Monetary Fund and an expert on exchange rates. "We could finally see the big kahuna hit."

-----------------

What the Hell is the "big kahuna?" That would be the collapse of the dollar.
Read more, excellent stuff


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Me. Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 05:38 PM
Response to Original message
1. Did You Hear (Read) About The Run On That Bank In England?
Is it a portent?
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DemReadingDU Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 05:45 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Northern Rock savers rush to empty accounts
Panicked savers speak out as they queue to withdraw money from Northern Rock after the Bank of England bails it out

Long queues formed outside branches of Northern Rock today as anxious customers waited to withdraw savings after the bank was forced to seek an emergency bailout from the Bank of England.

Savers went in person to Northern Rock's branches to withdraw their money, after facing difficulties contacting the bank on the phone or via the internet.

Customers who manage their money on the internet were blocked from seeing details of their account, including statements, when they tried to log in.

more...
http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/industry_sectors/banking_and_finance/article2451069.ece


This is scary, what to do with my Certificate of Deposit?


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autorank Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 05:47 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. Just terrific....they're skirting a financial collapse and no discussion for real

Wow, amazing isn't it. :shrug:
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enid602 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 06:19 PM
Response to Reply #2
23. anyone know?
Do Northern Rock's financial/liquidity woes stem from investments they made in faulty American mortgage-backed securities, or is NR having to foreclose on loans it made in Britain. I know that Enlish (particularly London) real estate is extremely expensive (perhaps overpriced?); are they going through their own RE bust? What is the percentage of owners vs renters in the UK?
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TalkingDog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-15-07 04:00 PM
Response to Reply #23
40. The stated reason is that they could've been "exposed" to subprime monies.

For instance our mortgage has been sold 3 different times. (no, we are at a FIXED LOW rate) And that's on a loan where they is not a lot to be made buy buying it based on the FIXED LOW rate.

You can imagine the speculative nature of the subprime loans and the real potential for profit, albeit on the backs of the working poor and struggling lower middle classes. And those loans get bundled and sold in bulk as it were (simplifying here) so sometimes you don't know "exactly" what you've ended up with.

So it's like your computer getting a virus and you don't know exactly when or where you picked it up. It could've been through email, etc. But you also don't know who you may have passed it on to.



My Favorite Master Artist: Karen Parker GhostWoman Studios
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autorank Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 05:48 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. Do you mean...
IMportent;)
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DemReadingDU Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 05:51 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. Hm, portent
definition...

an indication or omen of something about to happen, esp. something momentous.
threatening or disquieting significance: an occurrence of dire portent.
http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/portent

This is very IMportent!
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KoKo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 05:57 PM
Response to Reply #5
9. yes..."portent of things to come." and there are many WISE HEADS cautioning us
no matter how much Kudlow and Co. and the "Cheerleaders" love to report on "Up Days" in US Stock Market...we know that it's NOT the Market...but the GLOBAL ECONOMY that's AT RISK with all the criminal activity..yet to be discovered.. :-(
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Me. Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 06:00 PM
Response to Reply #4
13. A Rose By Any Other Name
What's IMportant here is that the banks will be IMpotent
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roamer65 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 05:53 PM
Response to Original message
6. Most won't realize it until its way too late.
Edited on Fri Sep-14-07 06:06 PM by roamer65
People didn't realize it was the "Great Depression" until late 1930 to early 1931. Things just kept getting gradually worse and worse. But then I have to say this...the USA has never experienced an inflationary depression. So most Americans really don't know what one is like. I'd take a deflationary depression over an inflationary one any day of the week.
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KoKo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 05:53 PM
Response to Original message
7. Autorank....your degree at Sorbonne is showing.
Edited on Fri Sep-14-07 05:54 PM by KoKo01
:D.... Thanks for the post...it's amazing watching the "Casino" vs...well...

Always enjoy your posts...you have a sense of IRONY.. (I think..anyway)...but this is VERY SERIOUS...and we should all be concerned..


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autorank Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 06:00 PM
Response to Reply #7
14. Ironical, tragical, comical, and even traagical - comical but mostly...
Edited on Fri Sep-14-07 06:01 PM by autorank
...not mad, but "just a little disappointed"in the preznit. After all, he's taken all those vacations,
chopped down a bunch of deadwood, and has a vinyl covered ranch he bought just before 2000 to look like
the kinda guy you'd like living next to you, you know, a global serial killer. Really rounds out the
suburban paradise, so to speak.

Thank you! That one of yours yesterday was major league...outing the fabricators, including Murdoch's
whole tawdry empire no less.

How did that get out?

From this

to this


IN RECORD TIME



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KoKo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 06:08 PM
Response to Reply #14
21. welll...
Edited on Fri Sep-14-07 06:11 PM by KoKo01
let's just say...it wasn't easy.

But, Hey! This post of your targets what we need to be focusing on. What the HELL HAVE BUSHIES DONE TO AMERICAN ECONOMY! With all the CHEERLEADERS it's hard to cut past the crap.

DU "Marketeer Site" which the Good DU Minds have had going on here on this site..for many years has been a TREASURE! Many hardworking DU'ers who never post in ANY of the Most Popular Forums have been there in the Maketeer Dungeon toiling without RECOGNITION from fellow DU'ers for MANY YEARS.

I've learned so much from Ozy's Post and Threads from DU'ers who post there and rarely post out on the "better known Forums." They've helped me a "Bundle of $$$$$$" and they are still there...working silently from most of DU.

I'll get you the link to one of the lesser known but great info sites about economy on DU!

OKAY...here!

Here's one of those "DU Lesser Known Posts" running since way back...EVERY DAY "DU Looks at the MARKET!"

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=102&topic_id=2990646&mesg_id=2990646

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autorank Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 06:20 PM
Response to Reply #21
24. I'm embarassed...didn't even know we had a "Marketeer Site" I'm headed there!

Maybe they can tell me where to get a really good wheel barrel like Uncle Joe says we'll all need
to go shopping;)

This is the type of thing that Clinton-Gore would have Robert Rubin and the best minds in the country
working on non stop and they wouldn't pay them either. They'd make the call and there would be
a team in place.

This will be a 100 year lesson for the American people, you don't let the class clown run the country!
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KoKo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 06:33 PM
Response to Reply #24
26. The Archives are a Treasure Trove....portenders of what would come..
You gotta go back..but the stuff there is still good!

:hug:
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Spazito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 06:38 PM
Response to Reply #24
27. Stock Market Watch is the FIRST thread I check every morning
It is always informative, educational and up-to-date on the market and it's forces. The DU folks who keep it going are awesome, imo. I highly recommend it!
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DemReadingDU Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 06:45 PM
Response to Reply #27
28. That is a good thread
Lots of good info there!
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mckara Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 05:56 PM
Response to Original message
8. God Help Us
Our fellow citizens deserve a splash of cold water in the face. Maybe they'll learn how to vote?
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KoKo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 06:00 PM
Response to Reply #8
12. But our Dems under Clinton set it up...although the Repugs "took the ball and ran with it."
So we are SCREWED by BOTH..IMHO...though. Many might disagree with this.
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Me. Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 05:58 PM
Response to Original message
10. Slap Your Money Into A Credit Union
Edited on Fri Sep-14-07 06:21 PM by Me.
Heard a report, and while banks are covered by FDIC *shaky) CRs have a different insurers who is in a better and stronger position
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roamer65 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 06:01 PM
Response to Reply #10
16. All deposits are insured, rest assured that...
Helicopter Ben can print all the dollars needed to insure deposits. My worry is about the value of the currency itself. I see Zimbabwe-style hyperinflation in our future.
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shireen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 05:58 PM
Response to Original message
11. speculations?
what will happen if the dollar collapses?

How bad?

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DemReadingDU Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 06:02 PM
Response to Reply #11
17. From the link in the OP
When a currency collapses, the central bank can push up interest rates to attract needed investment, but strangle the economy in the process. Alternatively, it can let the currency fall and watch prices of imports - and eventually competing domestic goods - rise sharply.

Double-digit inflation resulted in the 1970s and only a global recession brought it to an end.

http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/09/13/news/econ.php
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roamer65 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 06:03 PM
Response to Reply #17
19. Zimbabwe is a great example right now.
Inflation is running well over 4,000 percent now.
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DemReadingDU Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 06:06 PM
Response to Reply #19
20. Wow


:wow:
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melody Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 07:48 PM
Response to Reply #17
33. I survived the 70s ... so will we all
I say this for the sake of the clinical depressives here. Not everyone responds to
bad news with moderation.
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Uncle Joe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 06:02 PM
Response to Reply #11
18. Look in to
gold and silver coins and or a wheel barrow to carry your cash around with, for when you go grocery shopping.
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Uncle Joe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 06:01 PM
Response to Original message
15. We seriously need some competent leadership.
Thanks for the thread autorank.
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autorank Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 06:09 PM
Response to Reply #15
22. My favorite Uncle!!!

You're welcome, although I'm sorry to be the bearer of bad news. This is so important and our
goof ball, Orwellian administration is on vacation.

:hi:
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Uncle Joe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 06:23 PM
Response to Reply #22
25. Thanks autorank, and I agree, Orwellian
is the perfect description. Regarding bad news, personally, I'd rather hear about it a head of time as opposed to being led down a primrose laden path to destruction.

Have a good weekend. :hi:
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earth mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 06:52 PM
Response to Original message
29. Doncha know that if isn't officially broadcast by the corporate media whores, it's tinfoil?
:sarcasm:

Guess we'll all be finding out soon enough that the sh*t has really hit the fan and we are all way deep in it! :scared:
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kineneb Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 06:54 PM
Response to Original message
30. Soup Kitchen USA- Mike Whitney
Go to Information Clearing House and do a search on "Mike Whitney"... He has written many articles on the impending economic crisis. It is weird to go back to some of the articles from last year and early this year. Everything he wrote about has happened...sigh.

http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article18360.htm

The days of the dollar as the world’s “reserve currency” may be drawing to a close. In August, foreign central banks and governments dumped a whopping 3.8% of their holdings of US debt. Rising unemployment and the ongoing housing slump have triggered fears of a recession sending wary foreign investors running for the exits. China, Japan and Taiwan have been leading the sell off which has caused the steepest decline since 1992.

To some extent, the losses have been concealed by the up-tick in Treasuries sales to US investors who’ve been fleeing the money markets in droves. Investors have been trying to avoid the fallout from money funds that have been contaminated by mortgage-backed assets. Naturally, they bought US government bonds which are considered a safe bet. But that doesn’t change the fact that the dollar’s foundation is steadily eroding and that foreign support for the dollar is vanishing. US bonds are no longer regarded as a “safe haven”.

The dollar slumped to a 15 year low against 6 of its most actively traded peers and set the stage for an early morning market rout on Wall Street.


more at url
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DemReadingDU Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 07:13 PM
Response to Reply #30
31. Whitney writes good articles
Edited on Fri Sep-14-07 07:14 PM by DemReadingDU
very informative!

And check out the link for the comments at the end of his article. People comment about what to do if/when the economy collapses.

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KoKo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 07:58 PM
Response to Reply #31
34. Yes...he brings alot of financial info "down to earth."
Check his archives, too.
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Lochloosa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 07:25 PM
Response to Original message
32. OK...what do I do with my 401K?
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lonestarnot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 08:01 PM
Response to Original message
35. One world currency time around the corner if we don't get out of Iraq and
quit warring, consuming and wasting at the expense of the rest of the world.
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scarletwoman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 08:22 PM
Response to Original message
36. Proud to be the 4th rec. (nt)
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roguevalley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 10:09 PM
Response to Reply #36
37. i pulled all mine out of the stock market tokeep from taking
another big hit in the can. what now? CDs at my credit union? What? Thanks in advance.
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melody Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-14-07 11:20 PM
Response to Reply #37
38. I don't know it would be any better off in CDs
I'm just sitting on my 401K and holding my breath.
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lonestarnot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-15-07 09:31 AM
Response to Original message
39. kick
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nadinbrzezinski Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-15-07 04:05 PM
Response to Original message
41. There is also an economics forum
where those of us aware of where we are heading post regularly as well

The stock market thread and the economics are my first places to go every day
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TalkingDog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-15-07 04:09 PM
Response to Original message
42. We started our 5 year plan today
We started our 5 year plan today. Well, actually we started last year when we began paying off everything but the mortgage. No loans, no credit card debt, no major purchases.

Everything that wasn't nailed down went into savings. We've got several hundred in cash secreted in the house.

Today we started major bulk food purchases. Ordering more during the week and will start stocking a makeshift root cellar in the basement.

If we are wrong...well, 1) food prices only go up 2) we like beans and grains 3) there's a really good chance we aren't wrong.

We'll be re-selling rations to those in need if it comes to that. We'll be charging Bush voters triple. (Or possibly shooting them in the head and using the carcasses to feed our critters....we haven't decided yet.)

I've been incredibly anxious over the past couple of months and yesterday (even before I knew about Northern Rock) I told the spousal unit: "It's time." When I found out about the run, I figured I had called it about right.

Call me paranoid, neurotic or tin-foil burdened, but there are two nearly perfect storms on a collison course: the current economic and political situation and climate change. When they bump uglies they WILL NOT cancel each other out. And it won't be pretty.



My Favorite Master Artist: Karen Parker GhostWoman Studios
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