I more or less alluded to that here:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=389&topic_id=2209659#2209778Considering the hard core Islamists, the Bolsheviks were a similar minority. Mushies 'state of emergency' may do for them what the February Revolution did for the Bolsheviks.
IMHO, the geopolitics playing out today are a lot closer to 1910-1914 than 1935-1939, a great game over resources. Old powers will fade, new powers will emerge.
I see the US being in the Czarist Russia/Ottoman Empire role. We will emerge from the resource wars either transformed (but still a world power) sort of like Ottoman Empire->Turkey. Or, will the resource catastrophes to come bring on a complete new order like WW I transformed Czarist Russia.
I see Russia/China/India as being in the France/Britain role. Their world power standing will benefit, but at a high cost. In the end, the US will find itself as one of four or five nearly equal world powers.
The Middle East? Well, they appear to be playing the Balkans role in this great game.