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I have a person arguing with me that more Repugs than Dems turned out in Iowa

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Lone_Star_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 09:42 AM
Original message
I have a person arguing with me that more Repugs than Dems turned out in Iowa
They actually called me up to brag about this "fact."

Their proof? Go to this CNN link and look at the table they use to show the election results. --> http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#IA


See how, for some reason, they show the number of delegates in the forth column for the Democrats, but not on the same column for the Republicans. In the forth column on the Republican's graph they show what I suppose is total number of supporters. It makes it appear that the Republican turn out far out numbered the Democrats last night.

Anyone know why it's done this way?
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NMDemDist2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 09:44 AM
Response to Original message
1. can't tell ya why CNN is a tool, but you can send them this link
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Lone_Star_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 09:52 AM
Response to Reply #1
9. Thank you.
I've explained all of this to them and provided them with several sources.

All they've got is that damn CNN graph, which I also explained to them has a different category header for column 4 on the Democrats side than it does on the Republicans.

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Rosemary2205 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 09:45 AM
Response to Original message
2. ABC said there were more R's than D's too.
I don't remember the raw numbers but I know the number for the R's seemed quite a bit larger when I heard it.
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Lone_Star_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 09:53 AM
Response to Reply #2
13. From everything I've read and heard
There were just under twice as many Dems as Repugs.

ABC and CNN are lying and they can kiss my bum. :P
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Evergreen Emerald Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 09:45 AM
Response to Original message
3. I noticed that last night: they refused to show the numbers of
democrats but did show the number of republicans. Interesing, propaganda at its finest, subtle and just tricky enough for the superficial to get their message and repeat it as if fact.
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Lone_Star_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 09:55 AM
Response to Reply #3
17. This person said they watched the totals come in live on this thing last night
Perhaps whoever was doing the tally couldn't count high enough to keep up with the democrats turn out?
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NoPasaran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 09:46 AM
Response to Original message
4. To confuse Republican morans?
Seriously, I think it reflects that the Dem and Rep caucuses and convention processes are organized differently.
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Lone_Star_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 09:56 AM
Response to Reply #4
19. Ahh, so it's how the party provides the information to the media
Thank you! That gives me something to tell this fool when they call back. :)
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Hugin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 09:47 AM
Response to Original message
5. They're getting pretty obvious with their ploys...
I personally think it was done to give exactly the impression you express. :tinfoilhat: :eyes:
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malaise Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 09:48 AM
Response to Original message
6. That person is a victim of
Freeper 'moranic inbreading'.
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Arkansas Granny Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 09:50 AM
Response to Original message
7. I was looking for the figures this morning and came up with this.
What about the turnout?

This was also another important factor.

The Republican turnout was about 115,000, up on the 2000 figure of 87,666. For the Democrats it was even higher, with some 239,000 turning out to register their choice, up from 124,000 four years ago.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/americas/7171057.stm
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Mira Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 09:55 AM
Response to Reply #7
18. from Michael Moore's letter this morning....
With all due respect to Senator Obama's victory, the most important news out of the caucus this evening was the whopping, room-busting turnout of Democrats. 239,000 people showed up to vote Democratic tonight (93% more than in '04, which was a record year), while only 115,000 showed up to vote Republican. And this is a red state!
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9119495 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 10:23 AM
Response to Reply #18
27. With all due respect Mr. Moore...
we may have went narrowly for bush in '04, but in '06 we elected a democratic governor, as well as all dem state office positions except one, and flipped our house delegation from 1 dem and 4 republicans to 3 dems and 2 republicans. Can we no longer be refered to as a red state? I need to sleep at night.
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Lone_Star_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 09:57 AM
Response to Reply #7
20. Thanks!
I'll give them these numbers when I speak to them later. :)
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salin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 10:00 AM
Response to Reply #7
21. AP link per turnout:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=post&forum=389&topic_id=2589649&mesg_id=2589698

Heavy Turnout for Iowa Caucuses
By LUKE MEREDITH – 8 hours ago

WEST DES MOINES, Iowa (AP) — As the time to caucus approached, precinct captain Dave Erickson realized he had a problem: More than 100 people and one small room.

With eight precincts gathering at the West Des Moines high school, there wasn't an empty spot in sight.

"I don't know what we're going to do. It's going to be a challenge," Erickson said. "It's a great slate of candidates. There's great interest in all of them."

The scene at that caucus was repeated across the state as a record number of Iowans left their homes on a cold night and filled nearly 1,800 school gyms, fire houses and community halls. Democrats estimated turnout at 239,000, and nearly 115,000 Republicans took part.

-- snip -- more at link.

I can only guess that the inconsistent table in the OP is related to the way the caucuses function and report - I think the republicans just come in and vote and the vote tally is what is reported, while the dems do an instant voter runoff system, and in the end comes up not with a raw number of voters, but instead with a distribution of delegates (votes) assigned to particular candidates rather than the number of voters voting for each candidate.
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Bill McBlueState Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 09:51 AM
Response to Original message
8. just look in the footnotes
"Instead of releasing caucus vote totals, the Iowa Democratic Party releases a total estimating the number of delegates to the state convention each candidate will receive."

So CNN doesn't have access to the actual vote counts. Why the Iowa Dems do it this way continues to be a mystery, but there's no media conspiracy here.
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rox63 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 09:55 AM
Response to Reply #8
16. MSNBC was reporting the Dem voter turnout last night and comparing it to the repugs
CNN is full of crap.
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Lone_Star_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 10:02 AM
Response to Reply #8
23. Thank you!
Just saw that myself after having it pointed out above that it's how the information is released to the media which caused this.

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hlthe2b Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 09:53 AM
Response to Original message
10. There is a special note (footnote) that explains...
Apparently the state Dem party decided to release delegate numbers rather than actual votes...They are not interchangeable, so I don't know what your "friend" is bragging about....
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Lone_Star_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 10:04 AM
Response to Reply #10
25. Thank you
I never said the person was a friend. I was stretching our relationship when I called them a "person." :D
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gratuitous Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 09:53 AM
Response to Original message
11. The person you're arguing with is a twit
Here's the lowdown: The last time both parties held caucuses in Iowa was 2000. Here are the numbers of participants from 2000 and 2008:

Republicans Democrats
2000 87,000 59,000
2008 115,000 236,000

Now, the Republicans had a pretty respectable increase in their numbers, but the Democrats quadrupled their turnout for the caucuses. Add into the mix that the two parties conduct their caucuses differently: The Republicans just had to show up, submit their vote, and head home. Democrats had to commit to about a two-hour block of gathering, speechifying, dividing into various groups, and reapportioning the voters for the "non-viable" candidates who received less than 15% of the initial groupings.

If the person you're dealing with has any grasp on reality at all, these numbers should indicate that Democrats (and independents) are a lot more stoked about the Democratic field than the Republicans. If this person doesn't have such a grasp on reality, then amuse yourself by alternately pointing and laughing.
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xultar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 09:53 AM
Response to Original message
12. Don't argue with an idiot. Let them go on and believe thta shit. It only works
to our advantage if they are that stoopid.
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Lone_Star_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 10:06 AM
Response to Reply #12
26. Trust me
Nothing I do or say will ever lift the veil of 'stoopid' from this persons eyes.

But you're right, don't argue with an idiot. I know better.
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abluelady Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 09:53 AM
Response to Original message
14. Are the Numbers the Same?
I would guess there are more Republicans than Dems in Iowa so shouldn't the turnout be higher?
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Sparkly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 09:53 AM
Response to Original message
15. Flat wrong, but it goes to what should worry the GOP right now.
Democrats are really motivated and inspired to get out this year!! I hope Iowa was just the beginning of massive Democratic turnout!
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PA Democrat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 10:01 AM
Response to Original message
22. According to MSNBC, turnout was Democrats: 239,000 Republicans:116,000
"Yet the biggest sign of Bush’s influence last night was this result: a whopping 239,000 people participated in the Democratic caucuses, compared with 116,000 for the GOP."

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/
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Oilwellian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 10:02 AM
Response to Original message
24. MSNBC reported there were twice as many Dems caucusing
CSpan just reported there were about 120,000 republicans, and 239,000 Democrats that turned out in Iowa last night. If you're a betting person, wage a bet with the person calling you. :evilgrin:
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LanternWaste Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 10:37 AM
Response to Original message
28. 115,000 Republicans caucused versus 220,000 Democrats.
According to Talking Points Memo, 115,000 Republicans caucused versus 220,000 Democrats. Regardless of how we cut it, analyze it, or interpret it, that's a huge disparity of numbers.

I think our voters are energized over the strong field of candidates and personalities we have to choose from this time around, contrasted to the relatively weak and anemic collection of Republican candidates.

At the end of the day, I think that' the main reason why we'll continue to vote in strong numbers this cycle and trounce the GOP in November-- we're as excited, passionate and energetic about this election as the GOP was when it retook the House and Senate back in '92.
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Didereaux Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-04-08 10:57 AM
Response to Original message
29. ...and you are speaking to a jackass, why?
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