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What do you think will happen with the Senate in the general election?

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begin_within Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-06-08 03:33 PM
Original message
Poll question: What do you think will happen with the Senate in the general election?
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Hydra Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-06-08 03:38 PM
Response to Original message
1. Too hard to call
I think the Dems have burned a lot of their political capital(think of it along the same lines as "consumer confidence") by flailing away and pretending to have no power to change Bushco's Iraq policy.

Had they pushed hard, I would have said many seats gained. Now, I have a feeling many people will not be voting, so the gains may be slight or even a slight backslide.
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MannyGoldstein Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-06-08 03:40 PM
Response to Original message
2. IA Voted For Bush In 2004 - Last Week in IA, Dems Outnumbered Repubs 2:1
Edited on Sun Jan-06-08 03:41 PM by MannyGoldstein
People are moving the the Democratic side with great speed.

2008 will be a bloodletting at the expense of the Republicans - if they don't impeach Bush soon, the Republicans may become as irrelevant nationally as they are in Massachusetts (there were more Greens than Republicans on the ballot here statewide in 2006).
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begin_within Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-06-08 03:42 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. Will that anti-Bush sentiment extend to the congressional races too?
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MannyGoldstein Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-06-08 03:44 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. I Think It Will
People are clearly very, very angry. The turnout last week was very pleasing.
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begin_within Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-06-08 05:38 PM
Response to Reply #5
8. I wonder when the pundits are dismissing Edwards for the reason that
"angry populism isn't the right message for this year" as one of them said today, are they in touch with the public at all?
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Blue_In_AK Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-06-08 03:41 PM
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3. I think the Republicans will be thoroughly trounced.
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grantcart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-06-08 04:03 PM
Response to Original message
6. Tsunami in the Senate
Next year will be the election for the 2nd Class of Senators and it brings forth a perfect storm for Democrats.

Of the 33 Senators up for election 21 are Republicans and 12 are Democrats.
http://www.senate.gov/pagelayout/reference/two_column_table/Class_II.htm

Of the democrats all but one is in a seat that is considered either very strong or strong and should run with little or no opposition and that is Landrieu in LA.

Of the republicans 9 seats are considered contestable. This does not include wild card seats like Craig ID, or Trent MS in which the republicans will have no incumbent.

4 Seats are vacated by retiring Allard CO, Domenici NM, Hagel NE, Warner VA.

4 Seats are held by republicans in democratic states; Coleman MN, Smith OR, Sununu NH, Collins ME

1 Seat is occupied by a republican currently being investigated by the FBI and could be taken if a good candidate runs
Stevens AL.

The Democratic Senate Campaign has been outraising the republicans by a 10-1 ratio.

It is easier for the Democrats to recruit good candidates because 1) Likely presidential coattails, 2)Higher interest in working in the majority party.

And finally we have the 'Macaca' factor. The rest of the republican candidates will say something stupid and Dean's strategy of having a good candidate in every contest will provide some surprises.
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ThomWV Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-06-08 04:44 PM
Response to Original message
7. I could see us sitting there with 55 or 56 seats
Edited on Sun Jan-06-08 04:44 PM by ThomWV
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