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Poll watchers: Which NH polls were off?

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JHB Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-10-08 08:11 AM
Original message
Poll watchers: Which NH polls were off?
The pre-primary polls?
The exit polls?
Or both?

James Pinkerton is conflating Pre- and exit polls today, and I want to check on accuracy before responding.
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MethuenProgressive Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-10-08 08:14 AM
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1. The projected %s for Obama were spot on, the undecided %s were ignored.
The MSM wants Obama because they hate the Clintons, and the sheeple gleefully believed the *reports* of what the polling was saying.
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MiniMe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-10-08 08:19 AM
Response to Original message
2. Didn't anybody besides me question how Obama could go from being
20 points down to 18 points up after Iowa? I did, I thought something didn't sound right with that. I could understand him gaining, or maybe tieing with HRC, but that was almost a 40 point swing in about 3 days. So, to me, the question is were the post-Iowa polls wrong, or inflated?

:hide:
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OHdem10 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-10-08 08:54 AM
Response to Original message
3. The Media so heady in their Obama swoon did not consider
the fact that there 40% UNDECIDED VOTERS. If they did they made
a wrong assumption--they assummed that Obams would win the undecided.

When they read the polls they simply did not understand that when
a poll tells you Obama leads among more educated upper classes---
There are not as many of these as there are working class and poor
HRC wins among working class and poor.

This should tell us something about the Media. As has been shown
the Media is only concerned with upper classes.
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