"To recapture the House, the Republicans need to hold all their own seats (which will be virtually impossible) and knock off 16 sitting Democrats. That would be a tall order under any conditions, but in a year when Democrats are energized, Republicans are demoralized, and the country wants change, it will be especially difficult. What makes this very, very problematic is the money situation. Rep. Chris Van Hollen (D-MD), chairman of the DCCC had $30 million in the bank as of early January. Rep. Tom Cole (R-OK), chairman of the NRCC had $2 million (and debts of more than $2 million). Basically, Van Hollen is loaded and Cole is broke. Van Hollen has already announced about 40 priority districts he wants to pick up. He can afford to dump half a million dollars in each one and still have $10 million for emergency use. Half a million dollars is peanuts in the presidential race, but a lot of money for a House race (the median bank account for incumbents was about $400,000 a couple of months ago). Cole is trying to recruit rich businessmen who can finance their own races, but historically, such candidates generally lose when running against an experienced politician, usually a state senator or assemblyman or the mayor of a big city in the district. All in all, the Republicans have a massive problem on their hands with respect to the House. They could easily lose another 10+ seats, and the chances of their taking back control there are pretty dismal".
http://electoral-vote.com/