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kentuck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 01:33 PM
Original message
Where are the gas lines??
In previous run-ups in gas prices, there were gas lines due to shortages of supplies. Basically a problem of supply and demand. But we see few gas lines driving up the prices of gasoline this time around? So why are the prices going up to exorbitant levels if it is not a question of supply and demand?

Much like Enron reincarnated, there is runaway speculation by the energy traders. They are trading with futures, which is probably closer to a monopoly than any other product in our market. All the debate about drilling in ANWAR or other places, in attempts to blame the high prices on the environmentalists, is nothing more than a diversion. It is not about finding "more oil". It is about manipulating the prices of the present inventory of oil supplies. It is not about supply and demand. It is about what will the market bear? We need an immediate investigation of why we have these high prices?
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havocmom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 01:35 PM
Response to Original message
1. Damned good question, kentuck.
Wonder if we could get KO to ask it on air.
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Junkdrawer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 01:37 PM
Response to Original message
2. If we had thought to price gas at $4/gallon in 1973, we'd have avoided the lines...
Of course, the economic collapse we're now experiencing would have been 25 years old...

But, no lines!!
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mmonk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 01:38 PM
Response to Original message
3. There has to be a shortage first.
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HiFructosePronSyrup Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 01:40 PM
Response to Original message
4. Oil companies are making windfall profits.
So they're not spending more on repairing refineries, like their supporters are claiming.

They're just ripping off consumers while they still can.
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billybob537 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 01:40 PM
Response to Original message
5. There is no supply problem
this is simply BIG OIL extorting as much $$$ as it can before it's thrown out of the Govt. for another 30 yrs.
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spanone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 01:41 PM
Response to Original message
6. it's called gouging...not suppy & demand
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Breeze54 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 01:41 PM
Response to Original message
7. OPEC stated there was plenty of oil but they're just not making it cheaper
Edited on Wed May-21-08 01:43 PM by Breeze54
and the demand is that we're competing against other countries, hence the higher prices.

Isn't it? ::shrug:

----------

OPEC chief says there's plenty of oil in market

May 21, 2008, 6:40AM


http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/business/5794001.html

CARACAS, Venezuela —

OPEC's secretary-general said that the world oil market is well supplied, even as the price
for a barrel of oil soared above $130 for the first time.

OPEC chief Abdalla Salem el-Badri met in Caracas with Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez.

Venezuela's state-run news agency quotes El-Badri today as saying "there's no scarcity of oil
in the market" because international oil supplies are very high.


Recent record-high oil prices have been propelled by worries about insufficient supply, soaring
global demand and a sliding dollar that has made oil cheaper in other countries.

Oil prices rose above $130 a barrel for the first time today in Asia as supply concerns mounted
and the dollar weakened.

Light, sweet crude for July delivery swept to a trading record of $130.47 a barrel in electronic trade on the New York Mercantile Exchange after closing at $128.98 in the floor session. It later retreated to $130.36 a barrel, up $1.38.

The June contract, which expired Tuesday, settled overnight at $129.07 a barrel.




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aint_no_life_nowhere Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 02:01 PM
Response to Reply #7
11. I heard that Saudi Arabia is going to make $1.5 trillion dollars profit this year
on their oil sales. Year after year, that becomes a lot of money. They control the spigot to make as much money as they can. When Saddam was around to threaten them with a big army and invasion, and when U.S. troops were massed on Saudi soil, they might have been willing to listen to a U.S. President's requests because that U.S. President was the only thing standing between them and Saddam. Unfortunately, a pathetic Chimp eliminated Saddam and also removed any influence the U.S. could have on them.
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Mabus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 02:31 PM
Response to Reply #11
16. We import 61.8% of our oil. 18.6% from Canada, 14.1% from Mexico and 11.2% from Venezuela
The United States imports approximately 62 percent of its oil. Canada supplies approximately 20 percent of these imports, and Mexico contributes 10 percent. But over 30 percent come from regimes that are less friendly or stable, including Saudi Arabia, Venezuela, Nigeria, Angola, Iraq, and Algeria (respectively the 2nd, 4th, 5th, 6th, 7th, and 8th largest oil importers to the United States).
http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2008/05/oil_imports.html


This means that almost 40% of the oil is from here and that 40% of the gouging is being done by homegrown profiteers. We import, according to the interactive map (in the excerpt at the above link), only 14.8% of our oil from Saudi Arabia. Yeah, Saudi Arabia is definitely getting a lot of money but American greed still tops even them. We're #1! We're #1!


And once again, Bush has made sure that anything standing between us protection from the US oil companies has been rendered moot. fwiw, Iraq accounted for 4.8% of our oil imports in 2007 (according to the Center for American Progress).
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On the Road Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 01:41 PM
Response to Original message
8. In the 70s,
there was a dramatic supply shock as middle easter producers cut production over US policy toward Israel. This created a sudden shortage, although by artificial means.

This year there is a more gradual trend in which prices are rising to match changes in demand. I do not believe production has been cut.
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melm00se Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 01:57 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. not just the
OPEC embargo but also the wellhead price caps
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NightWatcher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 01:59 PM
Response to Original message
10. this is not supply and demand, it's unregulated monopoly and price gouging
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SteelPenguin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 02:05 PM
Response to Original message
12. Article at Businessweek on the topic
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rustydad Donating Member (753 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 02:07 PM
Response to Original message
13. Nope
It is about supply and demand. And demand destruction by pricing. All normal. The world production has been flat for over three years at about 85 million barrels a day. Demand from India, China, and other growing economies are increasing by 10% a year. If anyone could increase production they would at $130+ a barrel. They can't. Sure the speculators are in there. Because they realize that oil is going up and they want a piece of the action. It's free markets at work. Get a bike is my advise. Bob
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nebenaube Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 02:11 PM
Response to Original message
14. no, no, no, it's inflation
get it straight! The dollar is almost as cheap as toilet paper now.
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kentuck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 02:15 PM
Response to Reply #14
15. That is certainly a factor.
At least 25% of the problem, but there is more. There is price manipulation by the energy traders, just like Enron, except on a larger scale.
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unblock Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 02:33 PM
Response to Original message
17. there are many reasons for the high prices
- war in iraq, keeping the 2nd largest oil producer offline is probably the biggest factor.
- the decline in the dollar is also a big factor.
- too few refineries is a popular right-wing excuse, but there is some truth to it.
- huge demand from booming countries such as india and china (booming in part because of the previously strong dollar, leading to major offshoring and huge importing).
- opec deliberately limiting supply.
- alternative investments suck because of recession and inflation concerns, so money is pouring into commodities as that's just about the only thing going up these days.


i'm actually not sure the staggering price of $133/bbl is completely unreasonable given everything that's going on. that said, it's absolutely despicable that we don't have a president interested in doing anything to being oil prices down. in fact, until very recently, he was BUYING oil to fill the strategic reserve, driving the price up even more!

eventually some of the many legs under the stool will give out, and prices will come back down somewhat, though $30/bbl is clearly a thing of the past.

thank you, georgie-boy!

(i posted this reply in a similar thread about high oil prices)
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kentuck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 02:37 PM
Response to Reply #17
19. What is the truth about too few oil refineries ?
I have read that the oil companies have shut down some refineries in order to keep the price of gasoline and oil products from shrinking? If that is true, isn't that a manipulation of the market?
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unblock Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 02:44 PM
Response to Reply #19
21. more refineries = more competition = more downward price pressure
yes, they have taken some refineries offline but refineries need to be taken offline periodically for maintenance/expansion/etc.
there were some refineries offline due to katrina as well.

is there some manipulation involved? possibly, i'm not in a position to know. i do know that too few competitors in any industry leads to higher than necessary prices.

that said, there are MANY forces pushing oil prices up, and very little pushing oil prices down.


i hear consumers complaining to high hell, but i don't hear consumers trading in their hummers for hybrids.
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MonkeyFunk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 02:35 PM
Response to Original message
18. You answered your own question
"... there were gas lines due to shortages of supplies."

There's no shortage now.
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kentuck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 02:40 PM
Response to Reply #18
20. I heard this morning that the speculators on Wall Street...
are speculating on the price of oil in 2016 being $140 per barrel? They are "speculating". Not an accurate way to deal with actual supply and demand issues.
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tama Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 02:46 PM
Response to Original message
22. USA
is not the whole world, oil is globally traded commodity and demand is rising fast in the emerging economies - while supply is stagnant (= peak plateau). Global demand surpassing global supply + lot of loose financial capital -> exponentially rising prices -> demand destruction taking place among the poorest of the poor, 3rd world countries that cannot afford oil anymore - first. But don't worry, you will see gas lines in US too sooner or later (probably sooner).

Lot of denial on this thread :-)
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elehhhhna Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 02:47 PM
Response to Original message
23. The oilco's are gouging us BECAUSE THEY CAN. Now.
They know that there may be rules made in the future...rules they may have to actually adhere to. Taxes on corps and their honchos are probably not going DOWN any time soon, right? So, grab for all the gusto you can, because the end of GW's term is the last FREE FOR ALL on the horizon.
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Phx_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 02:49 PM
Response to Original message
24. You know what might help
is changing the way the oil exchanges work. In the Southwest US electricity is traded on three different exchanges, short, medium and long term trades. Electric Cos can anticipate future electric needs and make their purchases early on the long term exchange, at a much lower rate than the spot exchange. Overall this type of trading evens out the spikes in pricing.

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hunter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 02:50 PM
Response to Original message
25. We have gas lines here at any station selling gas for less than $4.00 / gallon
There's only a few of them left in our city.

If you don't want to wait in line you have to pay more.

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intheflow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 04:25 PM
Response to Reply #25
27. Exactly the same here.
90% of Denver's stations are at $3.79/gal. (I know, pretty cheap compared to much of the country.) No lines at any of those stations. But today I had to wait in a line for 5 minutes to buy gas at $3.67, and I'm sure it would have been longer if I hadn't been able to get to that station mid-morning when most people were at work, not out buying gas.
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MNDemNY Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 02:52 PM
Response to Original message
26. There is plenty of gas, it's just fuckin' spendy.
Did you know that 30-60% of the oil price increase is due to speculative trading, nothing to do with supply and demand. Plain thievery.
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