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Edited on Fri Aug-08-08 12:16 AM by realpolitik
Because I have been for so very long worried about the period we are now entering, the actual election period.
Some of my fears revolve around the actual election itself. Certainly our national experience with elections in the last decade has been dubious. I fear both RICO activity on the part of the GOP, and the works of less entrenched actors.
Some of my fears are tied to the economy, and how hard it is going to fall. Anyone watching the market today surely realized that the situation is extremely bad and unlikely to improve soon.
Some of my fears are tied to the vectors of the actors on the world stage. I get the chilling feeling that we are entering a "Guns of August" period where things could fall apart with savage rapidity. And into that situation, we have Dubya being a mouthy jerk to China, our big creditor, at their party. He is there for comic relief, and he knows it-- watching his media getting punked by the PRC, he knows his role.
There are few things meaner than a dry drunk, unless it is a dry drunk being mocked. I can imagine the sorts of things pencil-dick is saying to himself, and in my imagination, they are dark and Oedipal.
This is supposed to be China's big moment. China, as we remember, was the pet project of GHWB, and here his son will be in motley, having lost face for America in the Asian world. And lest we forget, China became the Pacific dragon selling us crap and turning the Kingdom of Xin into a toxic ashtray to become the sort of economic engine that makes the boyz at halliburton and bechtel hot.
I fear that China is going to actually change the balance of world power at this olympic games. Not because they will be shown triumphant, but because they will be shown to have raped their corner of the earth for no real gain. Rising fuel costs are already destroying the global economy they were a linch pin of. In the face of that, Xin can and will turn inward.
The winner of the Olympic games is India, whose strategy to corner global services and knowledge industries was based on the profoundly intelligent idea that information would be cheaper to move than automobiles or cheap power tools.
I doubt they will get a single medal, but they will be more and more important to the Chinese as they spend the peoples currency on the people's new materialism. China's academic output is not adequate to the need of that society, and India is there.
Nowhere in this economy is the US needed, or wanted. I fear that we will be hired to stand outside and keep six foot four Saudis out.
And I fear that America is going into a really scary period.
In a year when hope is the watchword, I hope that we can somehow have an election, and not a civil war.
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