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Glaciers Melt – Oceans Rise – Islands Flood – Inhabitants Evacuate – McCain and Palin Pander

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Time for change Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-07-08 08:00 PM
Original message
Glaciers Melt – Oceans Rise – Islands Flood – Inhabitants Evacuate – McCain and Palin Pander
Glaciers melt

Because of melting ice due to warming of the earth’s surface:

Open water now stretches all the way round the Arctic, making it possible for the first time in human history to circumnavigate the North Pole… melting ice last week opened up both the fabled North-west and North-east passages, in the most important geographical landmark to date to signal the unexpectedly rapid progress of global warming.

It is the simultaneous opening – for the first time in at least 125,000 years – of the North-west passage around Canada and the North-east passage around Russia… Until recently both had been blocked by ice since the beginning of the last Ice Age.

What does this portend for the future, in the absence of aggressive action to halt the global warming trend? Geoffrey Lean, Environment Editor of The Independent, reported the following last week, August 31st:

Professor Mark Serreze, a sea ice specialist at the official US National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC), hailed the publication of the images as "a historic event", and said that it provided further evidence that the Arctic icecap may now have entered a "death spiral". Some scientists predict that it could vanish altogether in summer within five years…

Early last week the NSDIC warned that, over the next few weeks, the total extent of sea ice in the Arctic may shrink to below the record low reached last year – itself a massive 200,000 square miles less than the previous worst year, 2005…

Scientists say that… if the ice continues to melt at present rates, (it will be) possible to sail right across the North Pole. They have long regarded the disappearance of the icecap as inevitable as global warming takes hold, though until recently it was not expected until around 2070. Many scientists now predict that the Arctic Ocean will be ice-free in summer by 2030 – and a landmark study… concluded that there will be no ice as early as 2013. The tipping point, experts believe, was the record loss of ice last year, reaching a level not expected to occur until 2050.


Oceans rise

Prior to the mid-19th Century, sea level had been almost constant over three thousand years. We then saw a marked acceleration in rising sea levels, concomitant with the onset of the industrial age and warming of the earth’s atmosphere, as sea levels rose about 17 cm. during the 20th Century. The 21st Century is expected to be much worse:

Higher temperatures are expected to further raise sea level by expanding ocean water, melting mountain glaciers and small ice caps, and causing portions of Greenland and the Antarctic ice sheets to melt. The IPCC estimates that the global average sea level will rise between 0.6 and 2 feet (0.18 to 0.59 meters) in the next century (IPCC, 2007).

The faster than expected melting of arctic ice portends even faster sea level rises than previously predicted.


Islands flood and inhabitants leave

Rising sea levels pose grave threats to most coastal areas of the world, including those in the United States. But effects on small islands are already being seen.

In 1998 the first uninhabited islands, in the Pacific atoll nation of Kiribati, disappeared because of rising sea levels. Then, in December 2006, the first inhabited island, Lohachara Island, disappeared beneath the sea. Several nearby islands have been affected as well, with tragic human consequences:

Refugees from the vanished Lohachara Island and the disappearing Ghoramara Island have fled to Sagar, but this island has already lost 7,500 acres of land to the sea. In all, a dozen islands, home to 70,000 people, are in danger of being submerged by the rising seas.

In addition, several other islands face catastrophic consequences in the immediate or foreseeable future if global warming isn’t soon halted or at least slowed considerably. For that reason, many small island nations are currently making evacuation plans and at the same time collectively making a resolution plea to the United Nations Security Council to address the problem.

Here is a petition to the U.N. to address these concerns. Included with the petition is an e-mail you can send your friends about this situation, which reads in part:

Imagine the sea rising around you as your country literally disappears beneath your feet, where the food you grow and the water you drink is being destroyed by salt, and your last chance is to seek refuge in other lands where climate refugees have no official status. This is not a dream, it's the fearful reality for millions of people who live on islands around the world, from the Maldives to Papua New Guinea.

That is why these small islands are taking the unprecedented step of putting an urgent resolution before the United Nations ahead of next week's global climate talks, calling upon the Security Council itself to address climate change as a pressing threat to international peace and security.

This is a creative move born of desperation, a challenge to global powers to end their complacency and tackle this lethal crisis with the urgency of wars. But the island states' campaign is meeting fierce opposition from the world’s biggest polluters, so they need our help. Sign the petition now to raise a worldwide chorus of support for this call – it will be presented by the islands' ambassadors to reinforce their resolution at the UN next week:


McCain and Palin pander to oil companies on the issue of global warming

Alaskan Governor Sarah Palin has made a big deal over her claim of “standing up” to big oil companies. But when it comes to issues that really matter to big oil, Daniel Weiss notes:

Palin rejects clean renewable energy that is an alternative to oil. Earlier this month, she claimed that “alternative-energy solutions are far from imminent and would require more than 10 years to develop.”

Like many other oil champions, Palin is skeptical of global warming. During her gubernatorial campaign, she said she was unconvinced about how much human emissions contribute to current global warming trends. Palin also opposes listing our polar bears as a threatened species because it could require action on climate change.

John McCain uses impressive rhetoric to convince independents, moderates and progressives that he takes global warming seriously.

Yet the non-partisan League of Conservation Voters (LCV) gives McCain a 24% lifetime score for his global warming policies, and a 0% score for 2007. McCain expresses opposition to the funding of clean energy alternatives to oil. He supports the appointment of “strict constructionist” judges to the Supreme Court, who are deeply antagonistic to the regulation of greenhouse gases. He has never expressed plans to improve energy efficiency. And his plans for reducing global warming rely almost entirely on the hope of voluntary compliance by industry.


Differences between McCain and Obama on global warming

Unlike John McCain, Barack Obama not only talks about the need to do something about global warming, but he actually develops plans to do something constructive about it.

Obama has a comprehensive plan that involves improving energy efficiency and developing sources of clean, renewable energy. The League of Conservation Voters gives him a 96% environmental voting record.

With regard to plans to cap greenhouse gases, Mark Hertsgaard explains some of the problems with McCain’s plan. Noting that Obama’s plan for an 80% cut on greenhouse gas emissions by 2050, using a “cap-and-trade” system that “sells corporations permits to emit greenhouse gases and then invests the revenue in green energy development and rebates to Americans hit with higher energy prices”, is consistent with what scientists say is necessary, Hertsgaard notes that McCain:

supports a 60 percent emissions cut by 2050. But it is doubtful that McCain's approach would actually deliver such large cuts, since his cap-and-trade system would give most permits away free, a provision environmentalists attack as a corporate giveaway.

In other words, aside from advocating a much smaller cut in emissions than Obama, McCain seems to hold the opinion that purely voluntary cuts in greenhouse gas emissions by industry will work.

John McCain’s confusion, flip flopping, and misleading statements about his positions on global warming are part and parcel of a general pattern with the man. Just as he doesn’t know much about the economy and can’t remember that Iran doesn’t harbor al Qaeda or how many houses he owns, John McCain doesn’t appear to know what a mandate is. Joseph Romm explains:

In a recent Republican debate, he (McCain) denied that a cap and trade system is a mandate, even though it would arguably be the most far-reaching government mandate ever legislated. Moreover, like most conservatives, he doesn't understand or accept the critical role government must play to make that system succeed.



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opihimoimoi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-07-08 08:08 PM
Response to Original message
1. The Pubs are stuck in denial....we are the chicken littles....
Denial is a sign of FANTASY.....

BS is allowed area.....

http://www.alternet.org/story/16243
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Time for change Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-07-08 11:01 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. I don't think it's denial
I think that they just don't give a damn.

The rich aren't going to be the ones to suffer for this. The wealthy make their billions as they ruin the earth for the vast majority of its inhabitants. But when the flooding occurs, they will have no problem in flying off to their 7th homes and establishing residence wherever they like.
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glitch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-07-08 11:24 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. It is a kind of denial though -- their multiple homes won't help them much if we have permian level
extinctions, or if the Atlantic ocean conveyor actually stops, or if food systems crash and famine and riots erupt in country after country like dominoes, or if the world markets crash, or etc etc.

The very rich have as much to lose as the rest of us if change happens as rapidly as it could. No one is immune, and those who think they are immune are relying on predictable systems, which could very well no longer exist very quickly.

But what I really wanted to say was K & R :)
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opihimoimoi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-08-08 12:08 AM
Response to Reply #4
5. EDZACRY.....well said...
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Time for change Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-08-08 09:17 AM
Response to Reply #5
9. It occurred to me that I'm thinking mostly to the
wealthy leaders among Republicans, rather than the rank and file, when I say that I believe selfishness rather than denial mostly explains their refusal to take global warming seriously. That is, those who make the decisions, like McCain and Palin.

Among the Republican masses I don't doubt that denial explains a much bigger part of the picture.
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Time for change Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-08-08 07:03 AM
Response to Reply #4
8. Thnak you -- I have to say that my thinking on this is influenced by thngs I've read by Naomi Klein
In her book, “The Shock Doctrine – The Rise of Disaster Capitalism”, in Chapter 20 – Disaster Apartheid: A World of Green Zones and Red Zones – she discusses what has been happening in recent years in the security industry. She notes the massive proliferation of private security companies spurred by the Bush administration, coupled with massive government debt. Then she considers the relationship between government spending on private security contractors and spending for public security, and what will happen when our government has to cut back on expenditures to private security companies – and expenditures on public security as well:

... The next phase of the disaster capitalism complex is all too clear: with emergencies on the rise, government no longer able to foot the bill, and citizens stranded by their can’t-do state, the parallel corporate state will rent back its disaster infrastructure to whoever can afford it, at whatever price the market will bear. For sale will be everything from helicopter rides off rooftops to drinking water to beds in shelters.

Already wealth provides an escape hatch from most disasters… It buys bottled water, generators… and rent-a-cops. During the Israeli attack on Lebanon in 2006, the U.S. government initially tried to charge its citizens for the cost of their own evacuations, though it was eventually forced to back down. If we continue in this direction, the images of people stranded on New Orleans rooftops will not only be a glimpse of America’s unresolved past of racial inequality but will also foreshadow a collective future of disaster apartheid in which survival is determined by who can afford to pay for escape.

She then quotes a private security consultant, John Robb, on the wonders of privatization of disaster relief:

Wealthy individuals and multinational corporations will be the first to bail out of our collective system, opting instead to hire private military companies, such as Blackwater and Triple Canopy, to protect their homes and facilities… Parallel transportation networks… will cater to this group, leapfrogging its members from one secure, well-appointed lily-pad to the next…

And she has this specifically to say about global warming:

Perhaps part of the reason why so many of our elites, both political and corporate, are so sanguine about climate change is that they are confident they will be able to buy their way out of the worst of it. This may also partially explain why so many Bush supporters are Christian end-timers… The Rapture is a parable for what they are building down here – a system that invites destruction and disaster, then swoops in with private helicopters and airlifts them and their friends to divine safety.

You're right that this could backfire on them and damage them as well. But I believe they're mainly focused on themselves in the short term, not the planet or humanity in the long term. I think that the situation is a lot like that of a bankrobber. Except I think that most of those wealthy individuals who are pushing activities that lead to global warming and working to keep our country out of the Kyoto treaty feel much more secure about their futures than does the typical bank robber.



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glitch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-08-08 10:30 AM
Response to Reply #8
10. Oh I do agree they are focused on their own short term results, and creating these problems from
their own greed.

I just think the source of their greed itself is a very deep-seated fear and a very fundamental denial of that fear. And it is that fear and denial which causes them to miss the risk of backfire, it is that deep denial which causes them to make such obviously faulty decisions.

I think this fault courses through all those who choose never-enough-personal-profit over even the life support system itself. That includes the likes of Bush/Cheney and McCain/Palin who may end up spending the rest of their, and their descendants', lives in bunkers with artificial life support systems, warring with each other over canned lobster and flat champagne.

Naomi Klein is brilliant, an amazing treasure to our generation. I saw her speak in Seattle and was so proud to be from the same species! She describes what they are doing so well.

We need a brilliant psychologist to tell us why exactly they are doing it, what happened in their development to cause their fears, and maybe even how we can ease their fears so that they can calm down and live happy lives without the need to destroy everything they see.
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Time for change Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-08-08 11:40 AM
Response to Reply #10
12. Wow, I sure would like to hear Naomi Klein speak in person
I think that her writing may be more informative and important than any I've ever read.

We certainly do need someone to sort out the psychological issues involved. Unfortunately, psychology is such a complex and difficult subject to understand, and we still have such a long way to go.
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glitch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-08-08 12:12 PM
Response to Reply #12
14. She was. The energy in the room was fantastic. They show her talks sometimes on FSTV
and they are good but they don't capture the energy.

I am kind of obsessed with figuring out the motivation behind right wingers. I have a right wing older brother who I have been trying to figure out for decades now. It is if he was born with a disability. He's a blustery, fearful person who admits he only has enough empathy for his immediate family. Even as a child I would try to protect him from his own actions. He absolutely cannot see likely results which look obvious to others. Unfortunately he married a fearful wife who reinforces this part of him. Actually quite nice when he's not in fear mode.
I wonder if simply the rapid change and complexity of our human environment is enough to instill the fear in him, let alone all the additional fear mongering he gets from tv and radio. I think if he would just spend more time hiking in the wilderness he'd relax a bit. (Now that I live closer to him that is going to be my new method: to simply take him hiking, if he'll go. No talk, just walk.)

What do you think about Malcolm Gladwell's "The Tipping Point"?
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Time for change Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-09-08 01:49 PM
Response to Reply #14
19. That’s a subject that interests me a great deal too.
I almost decided to make psychiatry a career, but I eventually came to believe that the science of psychiatry and psychology is so mixed up that I might just get more confused the more I learned about it. But sometimes I regret that decision.

I never read “The Tipping Point”. Would that be worth reading?
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glitch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-09-08 02:38 PM
Response to Reply #19
20. Supposed to be. I haven't read it yet, it's in my stack of really interesting books to read.
The stack is huge, and some of the books in it are years old already. Sigh. Books I would love to be reading if I weren't obsessed with this whole fascist coup thing.

I like the concept though, of communities suddenly moving forward once a certain number of people decide forward movement is a good idea, a tipping point is reached, and all the people who were so adamantly against forward movement suddenly support it wholeheartedly. The tipping point can go in any direction though, even sideways. He discusses it as an evolutionary biologist, IIRC.

Just another way to say we herd I suppose, but the movement of herds and flocks and schools of fish is interesting. Only they mostly do their group movements spatially, we mostly do it ideologically. But I would imagine it applies to the way epidemics move through a population too.
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Time for change Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-09-08 03:55 PM
Response to Reply #20
21. Sounds very interesting, thank you
It sounds like the information in that book could be useful in preventing a fascist coup.
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ileus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-07-08 08:16 PM
Response to Original message
2. Time to mandate the use of bikes over the automobile.
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Time for change Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-08-08 06:38 PM
Response to Reply #2
18. I was recently in Copenhagen on a business convention
Bicycles were all over the place. More of them than cars. Too bad our auto industry and oil companies have lobbied so successfully against mass transporation and clean renewable sources of energy.
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Zhade Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-08-08 12:25 AM
Response to Original message
6. Meanwhile, in a locked thread people chastised the OP for not selling republicans a bowl...
...because he disagreed with their support of policies that accelerated the very damage to the planet this thread details.

Insanity.

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Time for change Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-08-08 04:04 PM
Response to Reply #6
16. On what basis was the OP chastised?
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Norrin Radd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-08-08 03:43 AM
Response to Original message
7. kr
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The Stranger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-08-08 10:45 AM
Response to Original message
11. I think there will eventually be a war.
A war between those trying to save the planet, and those trying to destroy it.
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Time for change Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-08-08 01:16 PM
Response to Reply #11
15. Sometimes I think along those lines too
That would mean a bunch of scattered civil wars.

Hopefully, we'll find a way to derail them without resorting to that.
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quidam56 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-08-08 11:46 AM
Response to Original message
13. If politicians would get greedy on green renewable energy resources,
they could still fill their pockets and the coffers of their lobbyists at the same time. Fossil fuels are extinct a second time, we hear about how people are loosing their homes to foreclosure and eminent domain, yet we hear nothing about the destruction and decapitation of 350 Million year old mountains which is home to us here in SW Virginia, West Virginia and E Kentucky. According to Hannity, Morris, Oliely and others 'so we kill a few polar bears, so we kill a few caribou, we need to drill, dig and destroy. Sean Hannity, I ask you since you ranted so about eminent domain where are you now ? An infant was killed in his bed asleep by a boulder from a mountain top removal mine. Didn't hear you mention that in your fair and balanced double speak. See what a decapitated mountain looks like, www.samsva.org
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Time for change Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-08-08 06:10 PM
Response to Reply #13
17. That's very sad
Many of them seem to be almost totally lacking in any sense of social responsibility. Instead they claim that any action at all is justified by "free market" principles -- which essentiall means that they should feel free to do whatever they please, despite the consequences, as long as they can get away with it.
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