The State of the Senate Races: It's (almost) all Good.

VA- what is there to say? Warner running thirty points up over whatshisface.

CO. Mark Udall holds a steady and significant lead of about 8 points over uberwingnut Shaeffer. He's up 8 points in the 9/21 PPP poll and he was up by the same amount the week before. CO will have two dem Senators come January.

NM- Mark's cousin Tom is beating the crap out of another uberwingnut, Steve Pearce. This one's over. Tom leads by over 20.

NH- This is a weird one from the weird state of NH. Jean Shaheen's lead has been steadily slipping and she's now up by only 4 in the newest UNH poll. This despite the fact that she's been running kickass ads. I think she'll pull it out because of the financial debacle and because it's getting cold up here in New England. Home heating is a huge election season issue.

KY- Mitch McConnell only leads by three in the latest Rasmussen poll in KY. This is my pick for the shocker of the year. Kentuckians feel free to tell me I'm nuts.

NC- Hagen leads Liddy Dole by 5 in the latest PPP poll. I think dems take back this seat.

Alaska- Mark Begich is consistently leading that paragon of repuke corruption, Stevens- who's trial begins today. Alaska's another weird one,but I think Begich wins.

OR- Smith is up 1 over Merkely here- and that's about how it's been for at least a couple of weeks. I think Smith still has the upper hand here- slight as it is.

MN- Norm Coleman has been running a disgusting campaign. In the latest poll though, he's only up 1. Still, I think this is a hard road for Franken.

None of the other states are competitive, though in Mississippi, Musgrove only trails by 5. In Maine, Susan Collins is way up over Tom Allen. Lindsay Graham is safe as is Saxby Chambliss in Georgia.

To sum it all up, I believe the evidence and the political environment indicate big gains in the Senate. Dems will pick up 6+ seats- and I think it's more like 8. That would give dems 55 to 57 Senate seats. Not counting Bernie or LIEberman. Bernie, of course, will caucus with the dems. LIEberman? Fuck him. And it's not impossible that dems pick up 10 for a filibuster proof majority. Unlikely, yes, but not impossible at all.

Oh, I just want to note that the MSM is pretty much ignoring the dire news for repukes re the Senate. Also, Dems are likely to pick up 10 to 15 seats in the House.

thanks. :patriot:

But if we pick up the states as predicted, and the dems actually do have control of the house and the senate and we have a democratic administration, it means that the dems will get all of the blame for the next 4 years, even if the current administration caused it. We could end up with a 2006/2008 in reverse going forward.

but I'd much rather President Obama have a strong dem majority to work with. The problems he's confronting are daunting to say the very least. Bold actions will be needed.

:hi:

anyone interested in this?