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So now that the bailout has failed, Now what?

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edhopper Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 01:07 PM
Original message
So now that the bailout has failed, Now what?
And do we have to spend the $700 bil if it's not going to do anything?
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soulcore Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 01:08 PM
Response to Original message
1. I could STILL use a bailout. n/t
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Kurt_and_Hunter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 01:08 PM
Response to Original message
2. Dumbest post of the day so far. (but it's only afternoon)
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Subdivisions Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 01:09 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. So vile, yet devoid of substance. Your post is the dumbest of the day. n/t
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TexasObserver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 01:11 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. Unless ... he was talking about HIS post, in which case, it's correct.
Some bailout delusionals are still at it.
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 02:11 PM
Response to Reply #2
33. It did cheer me up a bit
After all, the stupid "hey, we waited 10 minutes and it's not fixed" post makes me feel like I should be more patient.
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billyoc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 01:10 PM
Response to Original message
4. Actually, it hasn't even started yet. Recap plans take years to implement and show results.
Edited on Mon Oct-06-08 01:10 PM by billyoc
To base an opinion on the first few hours of trading is just nutty. :hi:
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DemoRabbit Donating Member (554 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 01:12 PM
Response to Original message
6. Failed? It hasn't even been implemented yet...
You really think nearly a trillion dollar passes into the right hands in a few days?

2-4 WEEKS minimum
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Lex Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 01:14 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. LOL, exactly.
Good lord, sometimes around here . . . :eyes:

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Subdivisions Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 01:16 PM
Response to Reply #6
9. BUT THEY NEEDED THE GODDAMNED MONEY

RIGHT NOW!



OR the financial system was going to crash and burn.



And they're going to ask for another. And another!

IF THE FUCKING THING ISN'T WORKING RIGHT NOW, IT'S A FAILURE!!!

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edhopper Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 01:28 PM
Response to Reply #9
15. Thank you
my thoughts exactly.
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high density Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 01:41 PM
Response to Reply #9
22. So you want them to spend the money blind, like they did in Iraq?
A lot of people here seem to be confused that the DJIA is the economy. You guys really think the 30 companies in that index are suddenly worth 7% less than they were at 9:00 am? Yeah the market cap has gone down, but that's a result of speculation, not investment.
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Subdivisions Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 02:05 PM
Response to Reply #22
29. You are wrong about the bailout. Period. n/t
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nadinbrzezinski Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 01:52 PM
Response to Reply #9
25. So you wanted it spent willy nilly like they were doing before?
Ah Hoover would love you
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Subdivisions Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 02:04 PM
Response to Reply #25
28. You have been discredited on this issue. You don't know what you
are talking about. You said the bailout would fix the problem. It hasn't. Period.
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nadinbrzezinski Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 02:08 PM
Response to Reply #28
31. really? I am sure Hoover would have loved to have you at treasury
your solutions are down right hooverian

By the way... you expected THIS TO WORK OVERNIGHT?

That is idiocy at its best.

By the way NOBODY TOLD YOU that this was such a solution

You keep misreprensting it... WHY IS THAT

Amazing... the Murican people are weak in their knowledge of history and macro economics, but strong in magical thinking

And expecting this to work like magic salts, is magical thinking.

UNLIKE YOU... I KNOW I need to wait for this to be implemented and to KEEP FIGHTING to get the New Deal kind of legislation WE NEED
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Subdivisions Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 02:14 PM
Response to Reply #31
34. Where do you see that I have offered a solution? Where, Nadin?
I haven't offered jack shit. I have said nowhere that I support the collapse or the allowing of a collapse. I'm losing everything just like everybody else. I am only an observer. You were wrong. Has nothing to do with Hoover nor have I ever even studied the Great Depression or Hoover. History is your game, Nadin. But this is the PRESENT. NOT HISTORY. All I can go by, lacking you immense knowledge, is what I'm seeing right now.

You were wrong about the bailout and now you're are attempting to cover your mistake by trying to make me look stupid. I could give a shit about Hoover or the Great Depression right now, though you live and breathe it. All I care about right now is what I'm seeing RIGHT NOW!

You are no longer credible on this issue. Good day.
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cherokeeprogressive Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:19 PM
Response to Reply #9
48. I think you're wrong.
They needed the LEGISLATION now. Not the money. They needed to give assurances that the money would soon be in the pipeline via the legislation they passed last week.

If they HADN'T passed the bailout legislation,

HOW BAD DO YOU THINK IT MAY HAVE GOTTEN TODAY?

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illuminaughty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-07-08 12:20 AM
Response to Reply #9
62. Oh yeah
wasn't it all about the confidence this would inject into the system? A big stinking corpse of a failure, I fear.
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high density Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 01:38 PM
Response to Reply #6
20. Some people just don't think it through
They think a president's signature means instant results I guess. That's rarely the case.
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Subdivisions Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 01:40 PM
Response to Reply #20
21. They needed the bailout RIGHT NOW or the system was going to
crash TOMORROW! They got their fucking taxpayer funded bailout money but the thing is crashing ANYWAY! JUST AS SOME HERE PREDICTED.

You bailout cheerleaders WERE WRONG!!!
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high density Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 01:42 PM
Response to Reply #21
23. You can read my other response
You don't know what is going on, because you're too impatient to actually see what happens.
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Subdivisions Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 01:51 PM
Response to Reply #23
24. I do know what's going on. I'm watching it right now. They needed the bailout
Edited on Mon Oct-06-08 01:51 PM by Texas Explorer
to prevent the meltdown that is happening RIGHT NOW. RIGHT THIS MINUTE! You are wrong. You are discredited on this issue.
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fasttense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 01:15 PM
Response to Original message
8. But shouldn't the markets have been all happy, happy and going up
if trust had been restored to the financial systems by throwing over $700 billion at it?

I don't think your post is dumb.

The bailout for billionaires will never work. For the last 30 years the corporations have been eating up the American middle class. They have eaten so much of it, that there is no longer a middle class remaining to support all our idle rich.
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nc4bo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 01:20 PM
Response to Reply #8
13. I think I read that the banks were balking on taking the bailout
because they didn't like the rules.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2008/oct/05/wall.street.bailout


Fears are mounting that many Wall Street banks and financial firms will refuse to participate in the US government's $700bn bail-out package, leaving global markets and world economies in a perilous state for months to come.

'There is a growing feeling that banks ... might instead decide to tough it out,' said Thomas Caldwell, chairman and CEO of Caldwell Financial, a $1bn-plus fund manager.

For the past two weeks all eyes in the market have been focused on US Congress and its attempts to pass Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson's bail-out package - a bill to allow the US government to buy up to $700bn of toxic mortgage-related assets from American banks, which would in theory free the credit markets and set the gears of global commerce spinning once more.




This is going to get really interesting...
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anigbrowl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:14 PM
Response to Reply #8
47. No. Why would you think this?
We're going to have a recession anyway. The point of the bailout is to address some of the structural problems existing in the financial system in order to avoid the recession turning into a full-blown depression. The argument that it was important to get to work ASAP on a bailout (which I agree with) is not the same as saying it's going to straighten everything out overnight.As some others have said, the optimal result would be is lending spreads started to drop by the end of this month.
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leftofthedial Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 01:17 PM
Response to Original message
10. we desperately need another bailout by Friday or the markets will continue to collapse!
I have a two paragraph plan for how Congress can give me 2 trillion dollars and everything will be okay.
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Subdivisions Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 01:18 PM
Response to Reply #10
12. Yeah! Gimme now or it's all going down! Now they have it and, just like
many here predicted, the financial system is crashing anyway!
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melody Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 01:32 PM
Response to Reply #12
17. People here would think it's crashing anyway
They'll bail it out and then bail it out again. They'll do it until it's settled. Then we'll deal with hyperinflation. We only have two choices at this point -- no money at all or badly damaged money. I'll take the badly damaged kind. $15 for a chicken for awhile will hurt but we'll all adapt. Better that than widespread starvation.
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Hydra Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 01:18 PM
Response to Original message
11. I posted this the night after the bill passed when the credit markets asked for more money
Edited on Mon Oct-06-08 02:10 PM by Hydra
And it's clear that there will be yet another handout to Bushco.

The only saving grace here was that the bailout was never supposed to work in the first place. I await the cheerleaders when they say we need more.
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Tierra_y_Libertad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 01:21 PM
Response to Original message
14. Never fear. Bush and his pals in congress will come up with another magic plan.
Of course, it might be a bit expensive.
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yurbud Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 01:30 PM
Response to Original message
16. cancel the check before it's cashed
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Individualist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 01:32 PM
Response to Original message
18. DLCers will never admit they're wrong
They'll continue telling you everything is going to be peachy keen. :crazy:
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Tierra_y_Libertad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 01:38 PM
Response to Original message
19. FUBAR
We won't "know" how this all plays out for a long time. But, we can make predictions. The world economy is FUBAR at this point and many will suffer as a result of incredible greed, crime, and incompetence that brought it about.

Almost assuredly, there will be massive changes in the "world order" which will bring turmoil.

"May you live in interesting times" is a Chinese curse. Things have gotten very interesting in a big way with this catastrophe and things are going to change..perhaps catastrophically.
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napi21 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 01:58 PM
Response to Original message
26. It's TOO SOON to tell if it did anything. I realize it's hard to have
patience right now, but sit tight. It's going to be a wild ride, and I doubt we've seen the bottom yet, but we will. I just heard Mort (Kondrackie I think that's his name) on MSNBC and he said WS is going to over-react on the way down the same as it over-reacted on the way up, and I agree with that! It's been a very long time since there's been any logic on WS, if there ever was, and there sure isn't NOW!

The way I see the current situation is, if Congress had not passed ANYTHING, there may have been the same reaction today, BUT Congress would have been blamed for the WHOLE MESS because they did NOTHING!
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Subdivisions Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 02:07 PM
Response to Reply #26
30. They needed the bailout NOW. The bailout has failed to save
the financial system as it was sold both by DU cheerleaders and by Paulson/Bernanke.
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nadinbrzezinski Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 02:09 PM
Response to Reply #30
32. Keep misrepresenting what people on DU told you
NOBODY told you these were magic salts
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Subdivisions Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 02:16 PM
Response to Reply #32
36. Yes you did. You were wrong. n/t
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nadinbrzezinski Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 02:17 PM
Response to Reply #36
37. No I didn't, but keep misrepresenting
And off to the ignore pile you go

I can't stand IGNORANT KOOKS and you are one of them
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Subdivisions Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 02:18 PM
Response to Reply #37
38. No, YOU are the ignorant one. You were wrong and now you won't admit it. n/t
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Subdivisions Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 02:20 PM
Response to Reply #37
39. IGNORE - the last bastion for one who can't admit they were
wrong and can't stand the heat.

Chicken shit.
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Subdivisions Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 02:28 PM
Response to Reply #37
40. BWAHAHAHAHA! How wrong could you have been? HUH? HAHAHAHA --->
Edited on Mon Oct-06-08 02:29 PM by Texas Explorer
Wall Street may shun $700bn bail-out - TO KEEP GOLDEN PARACHUTES!!!

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=389x4179120



Looks like they may not even want your vaunted bailout!

Thanks for trying to give our kids' and grandkids' money away!!!
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librechik Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 01:59 PM
Response to Original message
27. They know how to fix it.
But there are powerful maniacs standing in front of the glass with the axe in it. They have to step aside before the door can be broken down and the fire put out.

The rational people aren't vicious enough to shoot them down. They have to be persuaded.
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RoyGBiv Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 02:15 PM
Response to Original message
35. Now that's just bizarre ...

One normally has to wait a couple posts before one of these contradicts itself.

"... has failed ..." " ... going to do ..."

Please stop watching the DOW so closely. It just gives you heartburn.




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DevonRex Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 02:30 PM
Response to Original message
41. The bailout hasn't failed. And the fact is, nobody knows what it
might have already prevented.
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Subdivisions Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 02:32 PM
Response to Reply #41
42. They wanted the goddamned money YESTERDAY because if
they DIDN'T GET IT, the financial system would collapse TOMORROW. They GOT IT, yet the financial system is collapsing ANYWAY.

What part of that don't you understand? Series.
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RoyGBiv Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:00 PM
Response to Reply #42
44. No they didn't.
Edited on Mon Oct-06-08 03:05 PM by RoyGBiv
The law passed. No funds have been distributed and won't be until into November. The urgency was due to two broad factors. 1) The psychological impact of passage of a plan was hoped to have a slight effect on the credit system. 2) Most importantly, any real results will involve a necessary delay while attempts at valuation and decisions about distribution are made. It's sort of like a treatment for cancer. No, you're not going to die today, but if you don't start treatment now, it will be too late to start it next month.

Shouting repetitively and using cutesy phrases and words doesn't change the reality of the situation.

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depakid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:07 PM
Response to Reply #44
45. The cancer anology is a good one
People also need to grasp that the credit markets and the financial system ate global in nature, and treatment (and responses to treatments will be global.
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RoyGBiv Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 05:02 PM
Response to Reply #45
56. It works in a lot of ways ...

Often times the treatment can be quite painful as well, even deadly on its own if not managed correctly.

And this would be the reason I, you, and everyone else I've seen talk about this reasonably keeps repeating the same thing over and over again (only to have our words utterly ignored). An enormous amount of work and legislation will be needed before we begin to resolve this crisis in a reasonable manner.

I think we may have seen the embryonic beginnings of that in Waxman's committee hearing today. The whole system is going to need restructuring to rescue it from the damage these bastards have done to it in the last (going on) 30 years.

And you are certainly correct about the global aspect of this. This is a very bad time for us to be seen as an anathema in so much of the world. Obama will need to pick his Secretaries of Treasury, Justice, and State especially very carefully and wisely, and it is vitally important we continue to work to make certain he is elected.


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depakid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 06:31 PM
Response to Reply #56
58. November 4 can't get here soon enough
Edited on Mon Oct-06-08 06:31 PM by depakid
as my bet is that an Obama victory coupled with substantial Democratic gains will create some confidence in the world that the US is serious about dealing with this (and other matters) responsibly.

Also, as I've noted a couple of times before, I think we may still see stock injections (i.e. buy ins of equities- preferred stock) which is something many economists have argued for.

Just one of many tools at the Feds disposal to recapitalize the banks and get credit flowing again.
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nadinbrzezinski Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 06:34 PM
Response to Reply #58
59. Don't forget the warrants
it is going to be a long four years
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nadinbrzezinski Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 06:34 PM
Response to Reply #58
60. Don't forget the warrants
it is going to be a long four years
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rockymountaindem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-07-08 12:23 AM
Response to Reply #44
63. I notice there's no reply to this post
The financial Luddites must not have formulated their snappy one-line comeback yet. Good show.
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Javaman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 02:35 PM
Response to Original message
43. huh, since it hasn't even been implimented, I'm curious as to where you get your info?
I will grant you this, there was no stock market "boom" after it was annouced. That single fact worried more than anything.
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anigbrowl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:10 PM
Response to Original message
46. I don't think it has failed
Considering they haven't started buying any of the troubled assets yet, I'd say it's rather early to be making that judgment. It will be a few weeks before we can say how well it has or hadn't worked.
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Subdivisions Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:26 PM
Response to Reply #46
52. The bailout was sold as a means to RESCUE
the financial system from IMMEDIATE FAILURE. Now all of a sudden the immediacy is null? I don't think so. The bailout, as it was sold to Congress, has FAILED.
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anigbrowl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 04:13 PM
Response to Reply #52
55. Avoiding immediate failure =/= immediate recovery
As an analogy, if you have a heart attack and they hit you with a defibrillator, it might stop you dying but you're not ready to return to work the following day. It's been said over and over that it will take at least a couple of weeks to know whether the treasury purpose of troubled assets is working as intended or not.
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johnaries Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:23 PM
Response to Original message
49. Here ya go!
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wvbygod Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:25 PM
Response to Original message
50. YOU redouble your efforts
As we all should.

It's not what your country can do for you...
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Bryn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:26 PM
Response to Original message
51. Just get rid of Wall Street
and see what happens? Instead ... focus on health care for us all, affordable homes, loans to start small businesses like Pop & Mom kind, etc.
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slackmaster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:27 PM
Response to Original message
53. I plan to order a pizza
Delivered.
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Greyhound Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:44 PM
Response to Original message
54. The important part of that deal was done within seconds of ifb* signing the law.
Transfers of billions (tens, hundreds?) to our creditors.

This law was never intended to fix our problems, it was to fix our master's problem, now that's done the rest doesn't matter.



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edhopper Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 05:09 PM
Response to Original message
57. OP here
The way I saw it, the bailout was always meant as a psychological boost to the markets, both stock and credit, to stop a meltdown, freeze, collapse etc...
It was obvious that it would take a while to implement, but like drilling off shore, the impact on the overall problem would be minimal. $700 billion will not fix a market with over $50 trillion in bad derivatives. The urgency by Paulsen and Bernake was that we MUST reassure the market and do it now.
Well the markets aren't reassured.
Arguing that it could be worse without the bailout is really weak considering the huge sum we are talking about.
I'm sorry to say this in DU, but the advocates sound like bush trying to convince us that thing would be worse without his tax cuts. It's a lame argument.
And since people like Barry Ritholtz and Nouriel Roubini are also saying it's not working, I'll keep my company with the experts who have been right all along.
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dailykoff Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 10:53 PM
Response to Original message
61. The $700 B has vamoosed.
Next step: bail out the bail out, and right away. Stay tuned for more browbeating. :crazy:
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