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As goes AIG so goes the U.S. economy?

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Mr_Jefferson_24 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-10-08 07:08 PM
Original message
Poll question: As goes AIG so goes the U.S. economy?
This seems to be what our government would have us believe -- do you buy into it?


http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/aig-shares-rally-20-after/story.aspx?guid={4FBC155E-0C2C-4863-A193-A4757C4D7D16}
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peacebird Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-10-08 07:12 PM
Response to Original message
1. if a company is TOO BIG TO FAIL then it is just TOO BIG period.
and what's up[ with the AIG execs going to a posh resort on our dime? Not the one in California - this is the EXECS themselves in Arizona!!!
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Crazy Dave Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-10-08 07:14 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Just think how many tax payers behind on their mortgage could have been helped...
...with the money that AIG has gotten so far. And how come we're not getting invited to the parties that we pay for?
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peacebird Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-10-08 07:22 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. exactly. And since We the People are the engine that has keep the economy humming along for years
perhaps a little "Trickle UP" financial rescue is in order.


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Mr_Jefferson_24 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-10-08 07:15 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. I agree, if they're that big and that poorly managed...
...I think we're actually better off without them.
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depakid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-10-08 07:17 PM
Response to Original message
4. It's not just the US economy...
Edited on Mon Nov-10-08 07:17 PM by depakid
AIG had substantial ties all around the world (though its been apparent on many of these threads that many Americans neither care about other nations- nor understand the significance of that to their own circumstances).
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Mr_Jefferson_24 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-10-08 07:37 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. If you'd like to explain the significance of AIG's ties all around...
...the world and tie it in to the health of our economy please feel free, I'd love to read it.

Our own DrDebug has done some pretty extensive research on AIG and they sound like bad news to me:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=125&topic_id=92675&mesg_id=96295

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=125&topic_id=92675&mesg_id=96295

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=389&topic_id=4169766&mesg_id=4170515

There's lot's more -- DrDebug's journal is a wealth of some very good research.

http://journals.democraticunderground.com/DrDebug
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depakid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-10-08 09:06 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. You should be able to see them yourself from the links!
Edited on Mon Nov-10-08 09:07 PM by depakid
Without getting into reinsurance and complicated derivative transactions here's a simple situation to consider.

Say you're a business and you have a polcy with AIG. Suddenly Poof" it's gone- you have no coverage. In many cases, you may not be able to get new coverage- at elast a substantial amount of time.

Poof! You're out of business. Now multiply that several magnitudes.

Regadless of the corrupt or simply stupid policy decisions activities that got us to this point, the fact remains, that's where we are- and you simply can't just let a company of this size and breadth collapse without a TON of systemic (foreseen and unforeseen) consequences. Often to largely innocent parties all over the world.

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Mr_Jefferson_24 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-10-08 09:14 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. I'd find it a more compelling case, but still not very compelling at all...
...to say a company like Archer Daniels Midland must be bailed out if they were to face bankruptcy, otherwise people might go hungry.

To suggest AIG is an essential part of the corporate food chain because nobody shuffles paper quite like they do simply does not persuade.

I don't think they'd be missed, and it sounds like a number of their execs belong in prison.
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depakid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-10-08 09:23 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. You might want to look into it a little further
Edited on Mon Nov-10-08 09:36 PM by depakid
with less of an eye to malfeasance- and a closer look at day to day transactions, exposures and liabilites of businesses- or even individuals with auto insurance.

One doesn't have to "like" -indeed one can hate AIG and still realize why allowing them to collapse entirely was a very poor choice, with far ranging consequence both here and abroad.

Regulatory failures- and angles like "they should never have been allowed to get too big to fail" are obvious- and need to be responsibly addressed next year.

In the meantime there are other, more immediate problms to be dealt with.

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Mr_Jefferson_24 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-10-08 09:43 PM
Response to Reply #10
13. You talk as though they're the only ones capable of providing...
Edited on Mon Nov-10-08 09:44 PM by Mr_Jefferson_24
...the services they do.

Other organizations would move in, perhaps slowly at first, to fill any supply of services void they would leave.

JDPriestly raised, what looks to be a valid point in post 11 -- please speak to it if you're of mind to.
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depakid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-10-08 09:50 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. Over time others will move in
and hopefully, responsibly regulations will be enacted and enforced to prevent one company like this put so many others as well as the gloabal financial system at risk of chaos and collapse.
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Hannah Bell Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-12-08 06:52 AM
Response to Reply #4
28. always on the spot to speak up for the owning classes.
aig - spook city.
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Mr_Jefferson_24 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-10-08 09:04 PM
Response to Original message
7. Kick for a larger sample.
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JDPriestly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-10-08 09:23 PM
Response to Original message
11. If we are bailing out the banks, why do we have to bail out AIG?
I thought AIG was in trouble because it was insuring the sub-prime mortgage debt. If the government is covering the banks' losses on the sub-prime mortgages, then why is AIG having a problem? And if it isn't having a problem, why are we giving it money?

This does not make sense at all. Somebody's got some 'splainin' to do. I think we are being robbed. I've thought that all along, but now this. They are double-dipping.
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Mr_Jefferson_24 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-10-08 09:38 PM
Response to Reply #11
12. Excellent question. I don't think it makes any sense either.
Here's the picture that starts to make sense out of this whole mess to me:


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Mr_Jefferson_24 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-11-08 10:19 AM
Response to Original message
15. Kick for a larger sample.
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seemslikeadream Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-11-08 10:22 AM
Response to Original message
16. too big
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Mr_Jefferson_24 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-11-08 12:19 PM
Response to Reply #16
17. Too big is right, and so thoroughly corrupt...
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seemslikeadream Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-11-08 12:30 PM
Response to Reply #17
19. My favorite Dr. in the entire universe!
:hi:

Ex-AIG CEO says government support will have to continue
http://www.reuters.com/article/ousiv/idUSTRE4AA5KD20081111
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Mr_Jefferson_24 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-11-08 08:40 PM
Response to Reply #19
21. Hear hear.

:hi:
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htuttle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-11-08 12:25 PM
Response to Original message
18. We could have bought every share of their stock 10 times over for what they've already been given
If they're that important, why don't we just nationalize it and save some money?

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Mr_Jefferson_24 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-11-08 10:13 PM
Response to Reply #18
23. Is that true? We've already handed them ...
Edited on Tue Nov-11-08 10:13 PM by Mr_Jefferson_24
...the equivalent of their total worth in stocks times ten? That's a bit of an eye opener.

It really does beg the question of nationalizing AIG if we really think they're so indispensable.
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htuttle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-11-08 11:06 PM
Response to Reply #23
25. AIG's current market capitalization (value of all of their stock) is about $6 billion
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=aig

Back in September, they were worth about $32 billion. We lent them $40 billion at the time. I think that last year before the levy broke, they were worth about $120 billion all together.
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Mr_Jefferson_24 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-11-08 04:17 PM
Response to Original message
20. Apparently the fun just never stops for AIG execs...
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prioritymale Donating Member (15 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-11-08 08:44 PM
Response to Original message
22. As the consumer goes, so goes the economy
Consumer represents 2/3 of the economy. But guess who these bailouts are going to.
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Mr_Jefferson_24 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-11-08 10:31 PM
Response to Reply #22
24. No guessing required -- it's going to the same con artists that caused the mess to begin with.

And welcome to DU. :hi:
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Mr_Jefferson_24 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-12-08 06:25 AM
Response to Original message
26. Kick for a larger sample.
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boomerbust Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-12-08 06:48 AM
Response to Original message
27. It's all about
Goldmann Sachs. Just ask ex-ceo Paulson.
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Mr_Jefferson_24 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-12-08 12:52 PM
Response to Reply #27
29. He'll take care of Goldman, and later they'll take care of him...
...ALL at our expense.
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Mr_Jefferson_24 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-12-08 04:47 PM
Response to Original message
30. Kick for a larger sample.
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Mr_Jefferson_24 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-13-08 03:48 PM
Response to Original message
31. Kick for a larger sample.
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Mr_Jefferson_24 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-13-08 06:56 PM
Response to Original message
32. Kick for a larger sample.
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