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Is the global economy a Ponzi scheme? Part 1: Are we all Bernie Madoffs, and what comes next?

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marmar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-10-09 09:24 PM
Original message
Is the global economy a Ponzi scheme? Part 1: Are we all Bernie Madoffs, and what comes next?
from Grist Magazine's Gristmill blog:





Is the global economy a Ponzi scheme? Part 1
Are we all Bernie Madoffs, and what comes next?

Posted by Joseph Romm (Guest Contributor) at 4:10 PM on 10 Mar 2009


Yes, homo "sapiens" sapiens have constructed the grandest of Ponzi schemes, whereby current generations have figured out how to live off the wealth of future generations. Yes, we are all in essence Madoffs (many wittingly, most not) or at least his most credulous clients. What comes next will be the subject of a multipart series.

I had been planning to write something on this for a while when NYT columnist Tom Friedman interviewed me for "The Inflection Is Near?" which appears in Saturday's New York Times:

"We created a way of raising standards of living that we can't possibly pass on to our children," said Joe Romm, a physicist and climate expert who writes the indispensable blog climateprogress.org. We have been getting rich by depleting all our natural stocks -- water, hydrocarbons, forests, rivers, fish and arable land -- and not by generating renewable flows.

"You can get this burst of wealth that we have created from this rapacious behavior," added Romm. "But it has to collapse, unless adults stand up and say, 'This is a Ponzi scheme. We have not generated real wealth, and we are destroying a livable climate ...' Real wealth is something you can pass on in a way that others can enjoy."


A few years ago I thought that aggressive action by governments around the world to push clean energy could spare the public dramatic lifestyle changes in the coming decades, but I have been convinced otherwise by

* the failure of U.S. leadership the remarkable shift in our understanding of climate science in the past two years
* China's decision to join the Ponzi scheme full throttle and emulate our rapaciousness (see here and here), and
* a recent, brilliant talk I heard (a teaser for a future post).

The adults, in short, are not standing up. Sadly, most haven't even taken the time to understand that they should.

And so every generation that comes after the Baby Boomers are poised to experience the dramatic changes in lifestyle that inevitably follow the collapse of any Ponzi scheme. ........(more)

The complete piece is at: http://gristmill.grist.org/story/2009/3/10/131727/990





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GoesTo11 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-10-09 09:35 PM
Response to Original message
1. Can we talk population control again?
I've seen models where the world population eases back down to comfortably sustainable levels (a billion people or so) before everything's gone and without truly draconian measures. Of course, we won't be there to see it unless they come up with immortality. And I guess even if that happens, there wouldn't be an it to see.
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Donnachaidh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-10-09 09:38 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. sure -- call the pope and tell him to start handing out birth control
Edited on Tue Mar-10-09 09:39 PM by Donnachaidh
I'm sure he'll jump right on it. And Pat Robertson will help. :sarcasm:
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GoesTo11 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-10-09 09:48 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. Well how about mass celibacy?
For thee, anyway, if not for me.
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readmoreoften Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-10-09 09:59 PM
Response to Reply #3
8. Since I'm a lesbian, for thee and not for me.
I'll stay away from insemination clinics if you stay away from sex? Deal??!

Finally, I'm part of the solution.
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GoesTo11 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-11-09 01:38 AM
Response to Reply #8
13. You ARE part of the solution.
Since I'm not Catholic, I think I'll do my part with birth control rather than celibacy.

And I won't provide any material for insemination clinics, which should please the Pope (as explained here): http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fUspLVStPbk
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Donnachaidh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-10-09 11:19 PM
Response to Reply #3
11. yeah, and how many pedophile priests are there in the world?
Look at the history of the Catholic Church -- how many popes had mistresses and/or children out of wedlock? Celibacy obviously doesn't work, as shown by the hypocrites in the Catholic Church.

Religion is a driving force in over-population. And anyone who says it isn't is delusional.
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Donnachaidh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-10-09 11:23 PM
Response to Reply #3
12. sorry dear, I'm a breeder
So your wish is denied. But hey, you can wear the big boy pants and be as celibate as you like.
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readmoreoften Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-10-09 09:58 PM
Response to Reply #1
6. So will we kill off only the poor or an equal number from all nations?
And considering that we do the lion's share of ravishing and consumption, are we the first to be eradicated?
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GoesTo11 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-11-09 01:48 AM
Response to Reply #6
14. Uh, not that much control
Getting population growth rates in the developing world way down would be a good start. To step back from an unsustainably over populated world. eventually everyone needs birthrates of less than 2. As for the poor, we would rather they not be poor, but if we had 8 billion people consuming as if they were Americans that would not last long. We need to be more sustainable (which doesn't mean living in tin roofed sheds on top of garbage dumps, just intelligent and reserved but living a comfortable and modern life), and have a shrinking not growing population. It's what they used to call in economics a "soft landing" scenario.
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Occam Bandage Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-10-09 09:49 PM
Response to Original message
4. I have noticed that everything that is more complex than a lemonade stand is invariably
called "a Ponzi scheme" by people with no training whatsoever in economics the moment its finances begin to look worrisome.
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marmar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-10-09 09:54 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. Yeah, and those with formal training in economics have done such a bang-up job in foreseeing.....
..... the current economic mess. :eyes:



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Occam Bandage Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-10-09 09:58 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. Some did. Most didn't.
Still, that's a little bit like complaining that all the people with Ph.Ds in physics haven't yet pinned down all the intricacies of string theory, and so we should pay attention to people who claim that the moon is going to eat us.
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Cessna Invesco Palin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-10-09 10:21 PM
Response to Reply #4
9. Even lemonade stands aren't safe.
You'll be accused of causing the crisis for not using locally sourced lemons. No matter that your lemonade stand is in Maine...
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JackRiddler Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-10-09 10:35 PM
Response to Reply #4
10. the article is about ecology, not only economics, my dear...
Edited on Tue Mar-10-09 10:36 PM by JackRiddler
perhaps Maria Conchita Alonso can counsel you on why it's a commie plot?
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