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Edited on Tue Mar-24-09 11:51 PM by Oregone
But I know the answer. There is little difference. They are both supply-side inspired mechanisms built to ensure the bank owners will not lose their ass, and instead, the government will in their place. The underlying philosophy is that we need these people to trickle fiscal love upon the country.
Paulson actually took a more socialistic approach, suggesting the government should retain full ownership share of the assets (along with full liability), and could mitigate loss with profits from good assets. Geithner suggests the government should be liable for 85% of the assets, and only profit a fraction from them, which could, if investors bail on the bad assets, cost the people a fortune.
Both plans essentially suck because 1) they are overly obsessed at ensuring stake holders do not loose a cent, 2) they don't give a damn if the government loses a fortune making the upper class happy, and 3) they only ensure credit CAN flow, not that it WILL flow. Instead, we merely hope that the owners we treat well will feel like investing back into this economy in the middle of the worst financial crisis in years (seems counter-intuitive). Have they heard of "deficient demand"?
My approach? Do not buy the assets. Buy the companies and save a fortunate (their stock is at shit levels). Thereafter, you own the assets. Sell them off to clean the banks, then sell the bank ownership back to the private market at its new adjusted, clean price. Its not magic. Its much like the Swedish model. And guess what...you do that and the government profits. Who loses? The owners of the shitty bank. They lose for owning a shitty bank.
This wont ensure credit will flow from the newly cleaned banks, but it is another mechanism that clears their asset sheets. If you want to ensure credit flows, make the environment more attractive to investors (instead of just handing money to investors). Make investors see profit on the ground. Make them see money. You do this by taking the profits from the bank cleaning and injecting them, Keynesian style, into stimulating the economy. Not at the top (banker/investment level), but at the bottom. When you can ensure that people have jobs again and paychecks to buy things, investors will get off the sideline. Potential profits in the real word is enough incentive to get investors back in the game. You don't have to reach-around on em till the sun goes down. It wont make them spend a dime, unless they think they can get a quarter back.
Its been a long day of ranting. The Bush admin and the Obama admin have both come up with plans that coddle the investor class at our loss; they are both based on the philosophical assumption that we are nothing without the investors (Ayn Rand style). Ralph, and I, have utter disdain at such nonsense.
All I see is shit.
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