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Simple poll: Is Obama electable?

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karlrschneider Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 05:36 PM
Original message
Poll question: Simple poll: Is Obama electable?
I'm not really interested in hearing reasons -why- he is or is not, since we all recognize that race will be an issue
whether it's articulated or not... just whether DUers believe he could actually BE elected in the 08 General election.
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Error Donating Member (254 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 05:38 PM
Response to Original message
1. My No is for too young
To me he is not a secure sale to the older people. He represents the next generation.
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karlrschneider Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 05:39 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. I think your point is valid and likely widely shared.
...
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 05:41 PM
Response to Reply #1
7. That didn't hurt JFK in 1960 who like Obama represented a generational change
and also a first (Catholic president).
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Alexander Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 05:42 PM
Original message
What about Kennedy?
I am unsure about this term "electable". And Kennedy was even younger than Obama when he got elected.
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HiFructosePronSyrup Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 05:47 PM
Response to Reply #1
17. Riiiiight.
Just like Grover Cleveland, Ulysses S. Grant, Bill Clinton, JFK, and Teddy Roosevely were all too young when they were elected.

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Bucky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 05:51 PM
Response to Reply #17
20. Teddy Roosevely?
Ah yes, our first Italian-American president!
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HiFructosePronSyrup Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 05:53 PM
Response to Reply #20
22. Heh.
I could edit that. But I think your reply's cute.

He does look a little like Chef Boyardee.
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ronnykmarshall Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 05:57 PM
Response to Reply #22
25. Holy crap! You're right!


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Dont_Bogart_the_Pretzel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 06:01 PM
Response to Reply #25
30. LOL
:rofl:
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jbnow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 08:43 PM
Response to Reply #1
55. He is a baby boomer
Same generation, just the other end of it. All the top Democrats running are baby boomers.
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saltpoint Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 05:39 PM
Response to Original message
3. Yes. Very electable. This guy has charisma.
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karlrschneider Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 05:43 PM
Response to Reply #3
12. Yes, he does and I would have no problem voting for him but many of my neighbors would.
Nor would many of them vote for a woman...for the same kinds of idiotic reasons. But Oklahoma isn't the USA which is why I put up the poll since DU isn't stuck in yesteryear, mostly. ;-)
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saltpoint Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 05:51 PM
Response to Reply #12
19. Hi, karl. Well, about your neighbors... I'm afraid some of the rest of
us have some neighbors like that.

But Obama will be super-charged and well-organized. If he wins the nomination I think Democrats will support him with enthusiasm. Some Thugs will be appalled, but they aren't voting blue anyway.

The public addresses Obama has given -- particularly in Boston at our convention and in Springfield for his announcement speech -- have been breath-taking. They have been show-stopping addresses. This guy is the real deal.
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karlrschneider Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 05:57 PM
Response to Reply #19
24. It's funny and sad too...a lot of people said Bush was a guy they'd like to "have a beer with"
and I always thought how damned stupid was that? But Obama really does come off as a guy that most anyone would be comfortable with. He has an ineffable "genuine" quality that Shrub wouldn't recognize if it bit him on the butt.
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saltpoint Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 06:03 PM
Response to Reply #24
33. I bet a lot fewer folks would want to share a beer with Dubya now.
The blooms are falling off that bush by the hour.

This feels to me like a presidency that's already over. The interim appointment of Sam Fox today as Ambassador to Belgium was one more disgraceful end-run around the will of the Congress. It's all Bush has left. A president in a better position wouldn't have had to do that, and a better president wouldn't have nominated Sam Fox to begin with.
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Lone_Star_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 05:58 PM
Response to Reply #12
26. One question about your neighbors
What are the odds of them voting for a Democrat of any race or gender?

I ask because I too have neighbors like that, but I wouldn't expect them to support any Democratic candidate.
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karlrschneider Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 06:02 PM
Response to Reply #26
32. Oklahoma is about as weird as it gets. We have mostly Democratic voters,
mostly Democratic state elected officials including our Governor but for some perverse reason the state began to overwhelmingly go for Repugs the last few national elections. They rant and rave against Clinton because of Monica during the day and cheat on their wives in the evening. :eyes:
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Lone_Star_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 06:16 PM
Response to Reply #32
42. In the respect to the latter they're not unlike their southern neighbor
However, in Texas the success of their gerrymandering removed any hope of the former.

Locally, for the large part, the Democrats here like Obama which I feel is a good sign if he were to win the nomination. His reception in Austin was overwhelmingly supportive to say the least.
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southerncrone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 08:30 PM
Response to Reply #32
52. Tennessee is the same way....go figure?
It tells me that Dems are not reaching our voters in a meaningful way on the national level.
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gravity Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 09:38 PM
Response to Reply #52
61. I think it's that way for most of the south
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Clark2008 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 06:04 PM
Response to Reply #12
34. You're correct - OK isn't the USA, but it's far closer to most
of the rest of it than the coastal blue states.

That's my point further down this thread.
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Crunchy Frog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 06:43 PM
Response to Reply #12
49. Oklahoma's voting for a Democrat when Hell freezes over...
at least that's the impression I've gotten.
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ShortnFiery Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 05:44 PM
Response to Reply #3
14. Agreed. Plus he comes across as genuine - not an political insider.
Not being situated in Washington for decades is a BIG PLUS for his independence and objective thought when making critical decisions as our President.

I am 100% in support of this intelligent man of good character. :patriot:
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saltpoint Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 05:55 PM
Response to Reply #14
23. That is exactly right -- he really does come across as genuine and true.
There has been talk that his community service work is insufficient for the presidency, but I think the opposite is true - that the Constitution itself should be changed to insist that any presidential candidate have the sort of community service work Obama has had.

He would have seen suffering in his contacts and experiences during those years and I believe that awareness is more likely to produce a compassionate mind and heart in the White House than say, the son of an oil man who spends his weekends snorting cocaine up his nose because his rich daddy can get him cushy jobs at the drop of a hat.

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David Zephyr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 05:40 PM
Response to Original message
4. Yes, he is. No doubt. He can win and win big.
Senator Obama can win.

John Edwards can win.

Bill Richardson could win.

Al Gore would win the easiest because he already won.

Hillary has 50% of the nation that can't stand her. That's a pretty bad place to start from. If she's the nominee, I'll support her, but it will really be an uphill battle.
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earthlover Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 06:15 PM
Response to Reply #4
41. but Hillary said...
...she is in it to win!

Gotta wonder about candidates who find it necessary to inform us that they want to win. Like this is news? And in her announcement speech?

No, Hillary CAN'T WIN!

Blame that on what yu want. But a vote for Hillary in the primaries is two votes for the Republican nominee in the general election.
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southerncrone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 08:33 PM
Response to Reply #4
54. Just curious, which 50%? I don't want HRC, but will hold nose & vote if need be.
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 05:41 PM
Response to Original message
5. Yes, he could beat any of those Republicans.
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bigwillq Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 05:41 PM
Response to Original message
6. I think so.
We shall see.
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in_cog_ni_to Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 05:42 PM
Response to Original message
8. ABSOLUTELY. Yes. n/t
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HiFructosePronSyrup Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 05:42 PM
Response to Original message
9. If this country's ever going to elect a black person...
this will be it.
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Bucky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 05:53 PM
Response to Reply #9
21. Hardly the "only"
Oh how soon we forget
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azmouse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 05:43 PM
Response to Original message
10. Yes, because he's intelligent.
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ContraBass Black Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 05:43 PM
Response to Original message
11. If he'll be on the ballot and votes will be counted, yes.
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AtomicKitten Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 05:44 PM
Response to Original message
13. of course he is
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Annces Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 05:45 PM
Response to Original message
15. If not now, when
The world can't wait.

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southerncrone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 08:46 PM
Response to Reply #15
56. OMG, is that Cheney w/hair on the left?!?
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Annces Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 09:09 PM
Response to Reply #56
59. Yes
Probably a fan of Marlon Brando at the time.
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MonkeyFunk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 05:46 PM
Response to Original message
16. yes
my rural, republican parents told me last week that they really like Obama and would vote for him in the general election.
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cloudbase Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 05:48 PM
Response to Original message
18. Absolutely!
He hasn't been in DC long enough to pick up too many bad habits, either.

Being clean and articulate doesn't hurt, either. :evilgrin:
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Radical Activist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 05:58 PM
Response to Original message
27. Does he have a compelling message that people connect with?
Yes.
Therefore, he is electable. All the other crap people talk about doesn't really matter.
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pigpickle Donating Member (139 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 06:00 PM
Response to Original message
28. Considering this is DU, I'm surprised there are so many "NO" votes.
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karlrschneider Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 06:08 PM
Response to Reply #28
36. I'm not. I rely on DU to accept the perception of reality over hopefulness.
If the answers aren't honest, they're worthless. Welcome to DU.
:-)
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Clark2008 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 06:01 PM
Response to Original message
29. A sound "no," because I don't live in the blue bubble in which many
DUers reside.

I know the damn country's too racist to elect him.
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karlrschneider Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 06:04 PM
Response to Reply #29
35. I hope you're wrong but have to suspect you're exactly right.
...
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gravity Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 06:08 PM
Response to Reply #29
37. I feel the same way unfortunately
Edited on Wed Apr-04-07 06:08 PM by gravity
I believe he will make a great president, but I don't know if he can get elected, and its the same with Hillary. America still has a long way to go.
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napi21 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 06:34 PM
Response to Reply #37
45. I'm ashamed to have to say this, but just tonight, my son was
watching CNN while they were talking about the amount of $$ each candidate collected so far. He looked at me and said "Ya know, the Dems would be able to win the Presidency in 08without even trying, and what the hell do they do...put up a Woman and a Black guy! Neither of them can ever get elected, and you know it! There's way too many people who would vote for anyone rather than give up their prejudice!" I HATE having to admit it, but I'm very afraid he's right.
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karlrschneider Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 06:52 PM
Response to Reply #45
50. And another thing: a lot of people will SAY they'll vote for a black man or a woman
just to produce the -appearance- of color/gender-blindness (politically correctness?) but in the anonymity of the voting booth...?

I know lots of people who say one thing and do the opposite.
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AshevilleGuy Donating Member (947 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-05-07 12:08 AM
Response to Reply #50
64. Bingo. He and Hillary will POLL high,
then on election night we get the shock of our political lives. And not just in the Southern red states.

Neither of them, IMO, can get the swing voters; in fairness, neither could Kucinich. It would be like Mondale or McGovern losses.
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 06:09 PM
Response to Reply #29
38. Well, I'm willing to give the country the chance to prove you wrong or me wrong.
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TahitiNut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 06:23 PM
Response to Reply #29
43. Well, aren't we just special?
:eyes:
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jbnow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 08:47 PM
Response to Reply #29
57. The racists wouldn't vote for any Democrat
I don't think we have to go for their vote.
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trotsky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-05-07 02:54 PM
Response to Reply #57
67. You're assuming no Democrats are racists.
I don't think that is a reasonable assumption, sadly.
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trotsky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-05-07 02:53 PM
Response to Reply #29
66. Yup, that is my fear as well. n/t
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Swamp Rat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 06:02 PM
Response to Original message
31. Hell yeah! n/t
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piedmont Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 06:10 PM
Response to Original message
39. Sure, because Joe Biden says so. nt
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juno jones Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 06:13 PM
Response to Original message
40. I first heard about Obama from my sister...
...he was her state senator in IL. She thought he was exceptional then, and from what I see, I have to agree. He seems to have the ability to trancend a lot of the divisions that normally hamper candidates. I'm impressed that he has raised so much money with little or no corporate sponsorship...unlike others in this race who will remain nameless. I envy my friends who got to see him launch his campaign at the old capitol, almost made me wish I had my crappy deli job across the street back so I could have been there too:).
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La_Fourmi_Rouge Donating Member (878 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 06:31 PM
Response to Original message
44. No Way!
This country is too backward and racist to ever allow a non-white person to occupy the White House. Why do you think they call it the "White House"? My prediction: if Obama even gets close to the nomination, some RW nutjob will take him out. Better he get into postiion on Al's coattails... that way, Gore will have protection against assassination.

Unconscionable as the fact may be, vehemently no - it will not happen for 100 years.
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Perky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 06:38 PM
Response to Reply #44
47. grow up a bit
that is a terribly myopic and hopeles view of the american electorat andyou have not offered any evidence to back it up
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karlrschneider Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 06:54 PM
Response to Reply #47
51. The electorate that allowed Bush to "win"? Twice?
come on...
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Telly Savalas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 06:39 PM
Response to Reply #44
48. "I won't vote for a black guy, but I'll vote for a white liberal like Gore."
If only I had a dollar for every time I heard that.
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uppityperson Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 10:31 PM
Response to Reply #44
63. Here is why it is called the "white house" (nothing to do with inhabitants)
2 "questionable" sources, but still...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/White_house#Naming_conventions
The building was originally referred to variously as the "President's Palace," "Presidential Mansion," or "President's House." Dolley Madison called it the "President's Castle." There is a common misconception that the term "The White House" wasn't used until after the War of 1812, when the mansion was burned and re-painted. However, the earliest evidence of the public calling it the "White House" was recorded in 1811, three years before the House was set on fire. The name "Executive Mansion" was used in official contexts until President Theodore Roosevelt established the formal name by having the de facto name "White House–Washington" engraved on the stationery in 1901. President Franklin Roosevelt changed his letterhead to "The White House" with the word "Washington" centered beneath. That convention remains today.

Here is from the White House webpage:
http://www.whitehouse.gov/interactive/
Q: Colleen Sullivan, from New York, NY:
Why was the White House originally named "The White House"?

Bill Allman A: Bill Allman, White House Curator:
The executive residence has been white since 1798. Scottish stonemasons were hired to build and carve the sandstone walls. Painters then covered the walls in 1798 with a whitewash to keep water and ice from seeping inside the walls and breaking them apart. The names "President's House" and "Executive Mansion" were used to refer to the building formally, such as for stationery and engraved silver serving pieces, but newspapers began referring to the building as the "White House" as early as 1809. President Theodore Roosevelt made the "White House" the official name of the president's home and office in 1901.
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Perky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 06:35 PM
Response to Original message
46. He is the polar opposite of Dubya in every way imaginable
Edited on Wed Apr-04-07 06:36 PM by Perky
He is completely mainstream liberal. Young articulate hopeful, genuine and likable.


He is a sea change politician not seen since JFK.

He provides the perfect atonement for the burden southern white have been carrying around since the Birth of the Civil rights movement and what certain black americans have been exploiting for about as long.


He is not Hillary. He absolutely can win the nomnination....


Most white americans don't give a rip about his race and if the GOP tries to exploit it they will be vilified.

It is obviously going to depend on his running mate. Richardson makes the most sense at the moment. and it depends on who the GOP settles on... If it is McCain they Lose. If it is Rudy, Barrack wins because the white vite in the south will split two ways and the black vote will be huge

If it is Romney. I think we win on Gravitas but it will be closer.


Hagel and Fred Thompson are the only real concerns I would have.



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Selatius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 08:32 PM
Response to Original message
53. We shouldn't vote for Obama because he's a black man in a country with too many racists.
We should give in to the minority of us who are racists and vote for somebody who will not offend their sentiments.

:sarcasm:
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Starbucks Anarchist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 08:47 PM
Response to Original message
58. Yes.
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ProgressiveAmPatriot Donating Member (350 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 09:19 PM
Response to Original message
60. Yes, because he is a Democrat
Let's stop playing the electable game. It got old with Kennedy. All of the major Democratic candidates are electable. Let's give each other a break and focus on the Republicans, none of whom in my mind are electable. Why? Because the Republicans anti-immigrant stance led to 70% of the Latino vote going to Democrats in 2006. Contrast that with 55% in 2004. If these numbers hold, a Republican will be unelectable for the next generation.
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Bronyraurus Donating Member (871 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-04-07 09:59 PM
Response to Original message
62. Of course he is, just watch.
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Time for change Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-05-07 02:51 PM
Response to Original message
65. Yes -- I think that all you have to do to know that is look at his poll numbers
However, it is highly unlikely that I will vote for him in the primaries -- because of what I see as his concerted effort to appear centrist.

Maybe that's unfair of me, since I do believe that his race is a disadvantage to him in presidential politics, and it is my belief that, because of his race, his move to the center was necessary in order to make him electable. But still, I don't like it.
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Madspirit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-05-07 02:59 PM
Response to Original message
68. Nope
This country is too racist and sexist to elect Obama or Hillary. Which sucks. I would vote for either of them, preferring Obama but please, don't be naive. This country is so full of right-wing fundie religionists, bigots, xenophobes, racists, homophobes, sexists, etc. This country is FULL OF FUCKING BIGOTS.
Lee
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Justice Is Comin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-05-07 03:31 PM
Response to Original message
69. I'm glad to see the crowds he's drawing
and the money he's raising. But this is the stage of the race where it's like going down a mountain grade with an eighteen wheeler. There's nothing in his way and he's flying. No hard questions, no fightback, no nothing.

He is going to be on the stage with seasoned and savvy competitors pelting him with counterpoint positions and scoring dramatic points left and right. In my opinion, this meteoric new rock star popularity will quickly give way to reality and people will realize we can't roll the dice in this election.

There are two easy things I can think of right off the top of my head that will confront him:

:bluebox: I'm quite sure he voted to confirm Alito. I don't know how he voted on cloture. But that sellout wasn't very popular with us here. Look back at the posts.

And this one I can see the republic ads blaring across the televisions nationwide already if he is the nominee

:bluebox: He sat in front of the television cameras and stated firmly and unequivocally to Tim on Meet the Press that he would NOT run for president. That he would fulfill his obligation to the State of Illinois and serve his full term. As I remember it, Tim questioned him several times and unlike Hillary Clinton who knew to avoid the question, he left no gray area that he was going to be faithful to the commitment in Illinois.

Republics will play this ad infinitum that he can't even tell the truth about the fact that he was going to run. And pointing it out to independents saying can you imagine the lies he will tell when he's in office? And this is the man you're going to elect as our new President?

I can see it now.

Al...Oh A-a-a-al???? Please grab this golden ring.
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Quixote1818 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-05-07 03:34 PM
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70. 100% sure he is electable based on the perception of my Republican friends.
They all like him! REPUBLICANS!!!

He seems honest and like someone I would like to hang out with as a friend.
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