http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2009/06/tick-tock-motherfuckers.html#more"A reader writes:
So here's what we have:
They're afraid of murdering too many protesters all at once. Eventually the protesters will come to understand how to work around this.
They can't open their telecomm pipes, because the minute they do 3 million people will know how and where to gather, and the world will get to see thousands of videos showing horrific instances of state violence against its subjects.
They have to open their telecomm pipes, because their economy cannot function without telecomm.
They can't repress too much, because the cleric support base will tip against them.
Rafsanjani is waiting to find out who'll keep his financial empire running. He's going to come to conclude the current leadership's promises cannot be trusted; the country is now being run by a Fascist Islamic Mafia.
So what do they do? "
Clearly it can't be said at the moment what will happen. But the current regime is certainly in a very awkward spot.
EDIT: Included the "a reader writes" part.