The Nation: The Next Explosion in Iran "The election was stolen. It is there in black and white."

Monday, June 22, 2009
Chatham House Study Definitively Shows Massive Ballot Fraud in Iran's Reported Results
http://www.chathamhouse.org.uk/files/14234_iranelection0609.pdf
Juan Cole:
The election was stolen. It is there in black and white. Those of us who know Iran, could see it plain as the nose on our faces, even if we could not quantify our reasons as elegantly as Chatham House.

A fine piece by Robert Dreyfuss on this study.
http://www.juancole.com/2009/06/chatham-house-study-definitively-shows.html

The Next Explosion in Iran
posted by Robert Dreyfuss on 06/21/2009 @ 11:07am


Gunfire, tear gas, and water cannons used by baton-wielding security forces in Iran have forced an uneasy calm on Tehran and other cities, but Mir Hossein Mousavi isn't backing down. And the next explosion could come when the Guardian Council, the twelve-member clerical body assigned the task of reviewing the results of the June 12 election releases its report. By all accounts, the Council -- half of whose members are appointed by, and loyal to, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and the other half is nominated by Iran's Parliament and approved by Khamenei -- will ratify President Ahmadinejad's reelection.

In today's post I want to focus on the election itself. A newly released statistical study of the rigged election by Chatham House raises enormous questions about the validity of the Interior Ministry's reported vote totals. And Mousavi himself is making the point, in detailed fashion, that the vote was bogus.

The Chatham House analysis, while wonky and full of detailed charts, provides the clearest evidence yet that Ahmadinejad and Co. rigged the vote.
http://www.chathamhouse.org.uk/files/14234_iranelection0609.pdf

It shows, for instance, that in at least ten provinces, in order to have amassed the vote totals given to him, Ahmadinejad would have had to have won all the voters who backed him in 2005, all of the voters who, last time, voted for the centrist candidacy of Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, all of the voters who, last time, sat out the election and didn't vote at all, and -- on top of that -- up to 44 percent of the voters who, in 2005, backed the reformist slate!

much more:
http://www.thenation.com/blogs/dreyfuss/445128