MSM is wrong -- Early Compacted Primarly Schedule Will Work Against Candidates With Most Money...

Money buys television time and the opportunity to change opinions over time by the sheer number of ads run.

With a compacted Primary Schedule, over 20% of electoral votes won in 8 days, the candidates with the most money will not have the time needed to run numerous ads to change the momentum of an early primary winner.

IMHO whoever wins Iowa and New Hampshire will have a big advantage since the time to needed to swing the opinions of Democrats will be very short. And no one is going to cover the large geographical states well with all the primaries occuring on Super Tuesday.

THe more I look at it, the more likely I think that the race will be decided early. And I think that coming out of the Super Tuesday Primaries, we will have only two viable candidates.

We talk about campaign finance reform as being essential(at least I do quite a lot), but an unintended benefit of the compacted primary schedule is that the influence of large campaign contributors may be eroded.

This is not intended as a comment on any current candidate. Historically, that has happened. One person would be the frontrunner and will be the focus of attacks and the focus of intense scutiney. If they handle that poorly, they implode.

This year things are starting so early - that that will still happen - now in the pre-primary.

The one thing that could be lost is the ability of a candidate who is not nationally prominent - like Clinton in 1992 - to gather support over time. It also could favor a candidate who is nothing other than an "actor" who knows his lines and is a pleasant front for a group seeking power.

The face to face contact in Iowa and NH is great.