Will Democrats lose seats in 2010?

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/generic_congressional_ballot

Republican candidates have now matched their biggest lead over Democrats of the past several years on the Generic Congressional Ballot.


The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 43% would vote for their district’s Republican congressional candidate while 38% would opt for his or her Democratic opponent.


The level of support for Democratic candidates is unchanged this week, but backing for GOP candidates rose one point from a week ago. This is now the eighth straight week Republicans have led on the Generic Ballot.

Thankfully, we still have another 14 months until the next general election. The health care debate will hopefully be just a distant memory by then. If the economy is still in the crapper, the Republicans will pick up significant amounts of seats though.

of the GOP than they do democrats in congress and president Obama. Yes, we would lose seats but I don't think it would be a blood bath.

nothing significant, though. It's pretty much expected, I think.

Actually, it all depends on what they "accomplish" by then.

For now, it's a guess.

What I would like to see is NO POLLS until two months before the next elections. Focus on the issues and not the "game."

I've been active in politics since the 1980 election, so I've seen a SHITLOAD of Republican stupidity. I didn't think I'd ever see anything dumber than what we got during the Bush years, but there seems to be no limit to their ignorance. I'm counting on their moronic antics to serve the Democrats well in 2010.

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If he doesn't use the power of the presidency to get health care done, with these majorities, with this mandate, he will pay for it in 2010. All those people who voted for him because they thought he really stood for change and progress will not show up again.

I can't believe he's undoing everything it took him two years to create. He's looking more and more like Urkel, these days: a nerdy, spineless nice guy.

The conservatives were never winning elections in the first place. The rigged optional scan got put in polls in 1978. The first test run then used in 1980.. Then used and used and used UNTIL 2006. Thanks to Bev Harris who got the Diebold files. (I know she a nut but she still got the files)

When the paper trail first started getting put in machines they were no longer able to STEAL enough to win. That's why we have been winning. We would have won in 2004 if the Dems had listened to us.

Consider the Reagan revolution just one big astroturf.

We have a little over a year to make sure that LIES are exposed and conservatives are called what they are EVIL SCUM!

The only way they can win is LIES or FRAUD! as long as those two bases are covered we're cool.

Unless the Dems SCREW up by being Republicans there is no way we can lose.

Over and over they are the outliers.

That being said, the Democrats need to deliver. And clear up this lying Republican bullshit campaign that appears to be working,

to simply demonize the R's will not cut it.

they never left if the Democrats fuck us on health care. Bet on it.

I will support spines.

The political climate is really quite different now than it was then. In 1994, the Republican Party's approval ratings were not in the toilet. The ghost of Ronald Reagan was much more powerful then. Whereas Clinton followed Bush I, Obama follows one of the least popular politicians in American history, Bush II. Clinton was elected with less than 50% of the popular vote. Obama was elected with well over 50% of the popular vote. The religious right had not completely taken over the Republican Party then. Now, Republican politicians are generally insane, reflecting their rabid base.

I think Obama blew his first chance at health care reform by pushing for a weak plan. I think he should table the idea, for now, and push for single payer in 2011. The current system is unsustainable, and everyone knows it. Change will come. Let's not settle for a bailout of the insurance industry. Let's insist on the eradication of it.

I expect the Democratic Party will pick up 3 seats in the Senate and between 3-6 seats in the House UNLESS Congress passes a disastrous "insurance reform" bill. At this point, I would rather do nothing than to pass any of the bills under consideration in Congress.

:dem:

-Laelth

Nothing else will make as much difference as the economy.

Oh, and please understand something - history does not dictate the future, it is informative, no more and no less.

Progressives sitting on their hands, muttering something about being sold out, and not an extraordinary effort on the part of the GOP, will make the difference.

Senate losses: CT, CO, IL, HI or WV (after a resignation), and one shocker to be named later.

It's not up to progressives to support Blue Dogs- it's up to Blue Dogs to support the President, progressives and moderates who want real reform.

Then again, who says that all those passionate Blue Dog supporters have to sit on their hands- what do they need those silly, "left of the left" progressives for anyway?

Blue Dogs should see if they can raise an army of passionate, centrist and moderate activists to get out there and campaign, ring door bells, make calls etc.

Surely they will easily raise this army of passionate workers & donors, b/c we all know about their "constituents" who support their opposition to Obama. Right?

However, if Blue Dogs somehow fail to raise the support they need, I wont blame voters.

But the out Party usually wins seats in off-year elections. I would not be on it though.

14 months is an eternity in "political time".

And Americans have a notoriously short memory.

Remember the slogan, "It's the economy stupid."

If the Dems pass Medicare For All, they will gain seats and dominate for many years. If they pass crap, then they'll pay the price. If they pass nothing, they will pay a higher price.

As Howard Dean says: if we don't get change, there will be *more* change.

A lot of people strictly vote their wallets.

Jobs & REAL healthcare reform is obviously something that many moderate & conservative leaning Obama voters expect as well...

The Republicans are a loud and obnoxious bunch.

But we out number them and that is all that is what counts in a poll.

if they pass public option or worse.
No significant changes if they pass fair reform for all.

This is my prediction.