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ensho Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:01 AM
Original message
Too much radiation for astronauts to make it to Mars

http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20327266.100


FORGET the risk of exploding rockets or getting sideswiped by a wayward bit of space junk. Radiation may be the biggest hurdle to human exploration beyond low-Earth orbit and could put a damper on a recently proposed mission to Mars orbit.

A panel tasked by the White House with reviewing NASA's human space flight activities (New Scientist, 22 August, p 8) suggests sending astronauts to one of Mars's moons, Phobos or Deimos, among other possibilities raised in its report released last week (http://tinyurl.com/mbajav).

From such a perch, astronauts could use remote-controlled robots to explore the Martian surface and retrieve samples - from the planet as well as the moon itself - for later close-up study on Earth. This would avoid the need to develop expensive hardware to land humans on a body with substantial gravity, like Mars.

-snip-

But the insidious threat of space radiation in the form of galactic cosmic rays could keep astronauts confined much closer to home.

The rays are actually speeding protons and heavier atomic nuclei that rain onto our solar system from all directions. They can slice through DNA molecules when they pass through living cells and the resulting damage can lead to cancer.

People on the ground are protected by our planet's atmosphere and magnetic field, which also provide some protection to astronauts on the International Space Station. Lunar missions are short enough to keep radiation risks low, and the moon itself blocks half of the incoming particles. Crews on long journeys beyond low-Earth orbit would have no such protection.
-snip-
-------------------------------


looks like humans shouldn't go to Mars - send in the robots.
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TxRider Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:06 AM
Response to Original message
1. Yes
Which is why astronauts to Mars would likely be older people, 40's or 50's who aren't planning to have kids.

I gotta say I would volunteer, despite the radiation.

Or we need a capsule with magnetic shielding etc.

In the end, we will either figure out out to leave this planet and colonize another one in another solar system, or become extinct as a species.. Earth has a finite lifespan.
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Forkboy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:08 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. I'd volunteer even if it meant dying a week after arriving.
Edited on Sat Sep-19-09 11:08 AM by Forkboy
What a week though!!!

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Deja Q Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:14 AM
Response to Reply #1
4. 40s or 50s? The G-forces upon rocket liftoff would probably kill them...
And if we're extinct, so much the better. 35 years ago, the future was full of hope and ideas.

These days, only maudlin wet wankers see fit to depress everyone with their glossy shows.
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TxRider Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:23 AM
Response to Reply #4
10. I was pulling more g's at 40 than liftoff exerts
Flying mock dogfights in trainer aircraft.

As for extinct, think about it...

Us dems could go colonize one planet, and the repubs go colonize their own...
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Donnachaidh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:46 AM
Response to Reply #10
21. I'd be much happier kicking the pukes off the planet forever
I'm kinda fond of this one. Let's find a Rapture planet (with a dying star) for the pukes.
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TxRider Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 12:44 PM
Response to Reply #21
51. We're on one now
But it'll be a couple billion years before the sun dies..

If a big rock or something else doesn't kill off the planet first.
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Chulanowa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 12:06 PM
Response to Reply #10
32. Give the 'pubs their own planet?
Man, i'd hate to be in charge of honey bucket distribution in that scenario.
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Bandit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:27 AM
Response to Reply #4
12. Wasn't there a millionaire in his sixties just into space?
Seems like I recall hearing about the first paid for civilian trip to space by a millionaire.
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TxRider Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 12:07 PM
Response to Reply #12
34. ROFL
You folks don't remember John Glenn going up at age 77?

The shuttle only pulls about 3 g's.

Pilots in fighters endure more than 9 g's

Even a prop driven trainer will do 6g's. That was about my limit at 40, and I wasn't in the best of physical condition. Training for g's helps as well.

A trip to mars wouldn't kill a person with radiation unless they got hit by a solar flare, it would just increase likelihood of cancer in the future, like exposure at Chernobyl. So you send older folks who won't have 60 years to develop cancer, and aren't going to have kids so no worry about birth defects.
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hfojvt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 12:36 PM
Response to Reply #34
46. I don't. But I remember Jake Garn.
Sounds like a trip to the 4th planet might give us a Fantastic Four.
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backscatter712 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 12:38 PM
Response to Reply #12
48. John Glenn took his second ride into space on the Shuttle.
He was 77 when he went on that ride, and the purpose was explicitly to study the effects of spaceflight on the elderly.
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Retired AF Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 12:33 PM
Response to Reply #4
45.  John Glenn was 77 when he went up in the Shuttle
Edited on Sat Sep-19-09 12:51 PM by Retired AF Dem
Lift off g's isnt a problem for people in the 40-50 age range. Alan Shepard was 47 when he went to the moon on Apollo 14.
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comrade snarky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 12:46 PM
Response to Reply #4
53. You may want to
Edited on Sat Sep-19-09 12:48 PM by comrade snarky
Ask John Glenn about g-force killing anyone over 40 on lift off.

He may disagree.


Edited to add:
Hi Retired, how did I miss your post? Ah well... great minds and all.

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pitohui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 03:46 PM
Response to Reply #4
79. he said 40s or 50s not 80s! c'mon, deja Q!
i don't see why a person in their late 40s/early 50s who was past child bearing couldn't do it

handling the g-forces is not gonna be an issue at that age, it actually takes a couple, three more decades for the osteoporosis to really set in

i would not go if the radiation risk meant radiation sickness/leukemia in a few weeks or months but if it only meant i had an elevated risk 30 years later when i'm 80, i would be happy to give 'er a whirl

there are old dudes fighting in iraq (in their 40s and 50s) humping 60 pound backpacks, hard to believe those guys couldn't handle lift-off
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rd_kent Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-21-09 05:54 PM
Response to Reply #4
135. The G-forces at liftoff are relatively minor.
Not sure why you think that would kill anyone.
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backscatter712 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:20 AM
Response to Reply #1
8. Engineers have been working on magnetic and plasma shielding.
It works - the magnetic field would work well to keep the high-energy charged particles away from the ship and crew.

The biggest problem is that it requires a shitload of power - the ship would have to have a nuclear reactor or some insanely huge solar panels to run the thing.

Of course, if you're gonna put a nuclear reactor onboard, might as well put on a VASIMR drive, and make the trip a hell of a lot shorter.
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Braulio Donating Member (860 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 05:33 PM
Response to Reply #1
93. And Mars has a longer life span?
Earth has a definite life span, but what tells you Mars has a longer lifespan? If we're going to colonize other planets, it would have to be extra solar system planets, so might as well relax, wait a few thousand years, until we figure out how to build those Star Trek gizmos.
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TxRider Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:37 PM
Response to Reply #93
108. It doesn't
But I doubt we'll start colonizing another solar system without going to Mars first...

It's just a baby step, and we be learning to walk.
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MrScorpio Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:11 AM
Response to Original message
3. Also. Mars itself lacks a magnetic field
It was hypothesized that Mars did have one and at that time it also had a life sustaining atmosphere. Once the field was lost so was the atmosphere and the planet's water supply.
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Statistical Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-21-09 08:42 PM
Response to Reply #3
138. Radiation isn't that bad on mars.
About 8rems per year. Now compared to earth which is about 0.3 rems (360mrems) that is a lot more but is is only about double that astronauts on the ISS receive.

8rems per year for a science mission lasting only a few months wouldn't be bad (1.5 rems for 2 months).
100 rems of long term exposure is about a 10% increased cancer risk.

Now long term colonization would either require:
a) accepting substantially higher cancer and other radiation damage rates
b) living 90% of the time below the surface
c) development of transparent structures to cut down radiation by 90% (bubble cities)
d) long term evolution where humans adapt to high radiation environment over thousands of years
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HeresyLives Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:18 AM
Response to Original message
5. 39 days with an Ion engine.
And an underground facility once there.
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ChairmanAgnostic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:18 AM
Response to Original message
6. Asimov came up with realistic answers two decades ago, when he
described this very problem.

A two fold approach, first, store all your water around the hull. It provides both insulation and protection, then polarize the hull at all times, which would deflect another 30-40% of the particles, even at low voltage. The big problem he worried about was solar flare activity, which would overwhelm pretty much everything we can throw at it.

To give you an idea of how powerful a solar flare can be, solar flares have to punch through a HUGE FUCKING MOLTEN BALL OF IRON which rotates and thereby creates an extremely powerful magnetic field. That field is so powerful, that we can bounce radio waves of certain frequency off the field. (that is why short wave signals can go much further than the horizon) But, even with a HUGE FUCKING MOLTEN BALL's magnetic field, solar flares are even more powerful, powerful enough to scramble our electrical grid, fry computers, kill even hardened satellites, and destroy transformers, etc.
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KittyWampus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 03:39 PM
Response to Reply #6
74. An even more realistic solution- send robots. Save energy & money. Accrue more benefitsc
for society.
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Confusious Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-20-09 12:00 AM
Response to Reply #74
109. How much can a robot do,

compared to a human? Do you even know the state of robotics?
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KittyWampus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-20-09 12:15 PM
Response to Reply #109
125. robots can do many, many things and committing to use them to explore space means even MORE
advances in robotics... which would accrue more benefits for society. :)
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dysfunctional press Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-21-09 05:07 PM
Response to Reply #109
129. what can a human do on mars that a robot can't?
that's the real question.
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Statistical Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-21-09 08:43 PM
Response to Reply #129
139. fix robots. n/t
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WillyT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-21-09 09:26 PM
Response to Reply #139
147. +1000 !!! - LOL !!! - DUze Worthy !!!
:rofl::yourock::rofl:

:hi:
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rrneck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:19 AM
Response to Original message
7. But I've already booked a flight.
I thought there was something fishy about buying the ticket out of the trunk of a car.
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Turbineguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:22 AM
Response to Original message
9. Send up
a few repubs.
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rrneck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:38 AM
Response to Reply #9
16. The way they behave
I think they might have already been there.

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TankLV Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 12:26 PM
Response to Reply #9
41. The dense matter that occupies most of their brains should be adequate shielding...
I say we harvest ALL repuke and fundy religious brains - should be more than enough shielding, and we'd have a much better world - all in ONE shot!!!
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AntiFascist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-21-09 05:44 PM
Response to Reply #41
133. Tell them it's the rapture....

if we could only figure out how to float them into a spaceship.
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John Kerry VonErich Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 03:42 PM
Response to Reply #9
77. Nope
It brings them more glory and they would use it as a political tool.
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AllentownJake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:27 AM
Response to Original message
11. I'll probably get flamed
Why do we want to go to Mars? Wouldn't it be better at this juncture in history to maybe spend the billions here on earth?

Other than the challenge of doing it, what does the average citizen on Earth gain by us planting a flag on Mars.

We've created quite a mess here maybe we should spend that money on cleaning it up.
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MrScorpio Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:28 AM
Response to Reply #11
14. Because it's there...nt
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TheWraith Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:46 AM
Response to Reply #11
23. What did we gain from going to the moon? Nothing.
Except for LEDs, mylar, the integrated circuit chip and thus the computer, freeze drying, communications satellite networks, structural fireproofing, the Global Positioning System, memory foam, and the countless areas of pure research that were advanced by both the missions themselves and the amount of money we poured into the scientific and engineering processes.

:eyes:
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immoderate Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 12:06 PM
Response to Reply #23
31. What was the moon's contribution to this?
All those things were developed on earth, with human ingenuity and money.

--imm
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NickB79 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 12:09 PM
Response to Reply #31
35. The Moonshot was the force that drove those innovations
They probably would have been invented by someone else at a later date, but then they would have arrived in a trickle over many decades rather than a flood as we experienced.
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immoderate Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 12:52 PM
Response to Reply #35
55. Pure speculation on your part.
Edited on Sat Sep-19-09 01:04 PM by immoderate
You could just as easily say something like, if the moon shot had not diverted resources, we might have found a cure for cancer. You really don't know what might have been invented. Seems like inventing things that are useful on earth has always been a good motivation.

Is there anything there that you can show wouldn't have been invented without a moon shot?

On edit: Mylar was invented in the mid 50s. I looked it up. I'm sure I can find other facts which would refute these claims.

More edit: Integrated circuit was perfected by Jack Kilby at Texas Instruments in 1958. Still no moon shot.

Still more edit: Communications satellites were proposed by Arthur C. Clarke in the 40s.

--imm
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TheWraith Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 01:41 PM
Response to Reply #55
68. No, you could say that. Other people know better.
Among people who've been involved in science there's no question that the urgency, investments, and demands of the Apollo program massively spiked our technological development. Mylar was considered basically useless until NASA realized that it could be used in place of other materials in vacuum and near vacuum conditions. The integrated circuit was left unused--uneconomical compared to conventional electronic circuits--until the smaller, more efficient systems were demanded for spacecraft and satellites. And it was NASA launches in the 1960s that put the very first communications satellite into orbit.
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immoderate Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 08:58 PM
Response to Reply #68
102. None of the stuff you mentioned required a moon shot.
Satellites don't go to the moon. I'd think it's more that money determines research priorities. They could have said, "We're givin' out money for a trip to the sun," and you'd have innovators lined up. Anyway, if we encourage unmanned exploration, won't that promote innovations in robotics and telemetry?

--imm
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Confusious Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 04:36 PM
Response to Reply #55
91. You forget to take into account

The fact that most of these things made it to the general public after the moonshots, rather then being super-expensive and something only Governments could afford.

They used so much that the price of creating came down, and it could find use in consumer products, which in the long run saved money and sped up science.

Do you know how large a common computer would be today if made of discrete components?

try 5 miles by 5 miles probably, if not larger.

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immoderate Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 09:01 PM
Response to Reply #91
103. Post hoc, ergo propter hoc.
So you think all that stuff is here because we sent men to the moon?

-imm
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Confusious Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:31 PM
Response to Reply #103
107. It is not always a logical fallacy

nobody here has said something most true

"necessity is the mother of invention, accidents are the father"

It does not follow, in your case, because we did not need something, that it WOULD be invented.

Between the two choices, I'll take mine.

Also I did not say that they invented everything, I said that they allowed them to come to a larger audience.

Maybe less time spent looking up logical fallacies that might apply, and more time spent reading would be helpful advice for you.
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Confusious Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-20-09 12:13 AM
Response to Reply #103
112. since you are so lazy,
Edited on Sun Sep-20-09 12:14 AM by Confusious
I took the time to look things up for you.....

Believe it or not, your life has probably been touched in some way by space technology. Since 1976, about 1,400 documented NASA inventions have benefited U.S. industry, improved the quality of life and created jobs for not just Americans, but around the world as well. From the early days of space exploration, primarily the apollo program helped change the way of life in America, especially in health care.

Top Left: A NASA developed chemical process was responsible for the development of kidney dialysis machines.

Top Right: The need to find imperfections in aerospace structures and components, such as castings, rocket motors and nozzles led to the development of a medical CAT scanner which searches the human body for tumors or other abnormalities.

Bottom Left: Astronaut health has always been a concern. Weightless conditions could cause physical deterioration, so a cardiovascular conditioner was developed for astronauts in space. This led to the development of a physical therapy and athletic development machine used by football teams, sports clinics and medical rehabilitation centers.

Bottom Right: A hospital food service system employs a cook/chill concept for serving food. The system allows staff to prepare food well in advance, maintain heat, visual appeal and nutritional value while reducing operating costs.

more at...

http://space.about.com/od/toolsequipment/ss/apollospinoffs.htm
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immoderate Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-20-09 09:19 AM
Response to Reply #112
123. I may be lazy, but I'm not stupid.
This thread is about spin-offs from the manned moon flight. The dialysis process referred to was developed in 2002. And we didn't have CAT scans in the 60s. And they didn't have much room for cardio-vascular conditioners on the moon trip.

So the implication that these things were developed for the moon missions are false. Some were developed for living in the International Space Station, which itself has no purpose, and now that it's built, will be abandoned.

Your post refers to inventions since 1976. How many moon missions were there after 76? Sure some things were a result of the moon mission. But you can't say they wouldn't have been invented without the moon program.

--imm
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AntiFascist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-21-09 05:52 PM
Response to Reply #103
134. Where would transportation in the US be today if...

someone like JFK had announced a 10-year program to develop a fast train system beating those that were developed in foreign countries, or electric cars? The internal combustion engine is old technology that probably should have been replaced by now.
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inna Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 01:38 PM
Response to Reply #35
67. LOL. what in the world did the moonshot have to do with all those

innovations??
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slackmaster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 12:24 PM
Response to Reply #23
40. Astronaut Ice Cream!
Mmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm!

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lumberjack_jeff Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 01:07 PM
Response to Reply #23
60. You forgot Tang! n/t
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virgdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 01:30 PM
Response to Reply #23
63. You forgot the most important invention known to man...
VELCRO!!!!!

How did we ever live without it? :sarcasm:

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virgdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 01:30 PM
Response to Reply #23
64. You forgot the most important invention known to man...
Edited on Sat Sep-19-09 01:31 PM by virgdem
VELCRO!!!!!

How did we ever live without it? :sarcasm:

Whoops...dup

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imdjh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:49 AM
Response to Reply #11
24. +1 Universal healthcare, and if there is any left over, then we can talk about Mars.
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csziggy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:49 AM
Response to Reply #11
26. The information we gather by the preparations for going and while there
Teach us a lot about this planet. So much of the technology that is used today that we take for granted came from the space program of the 60s and 70s, it is impossible to list in one message. We learned a lot about the formation of the Earth and our solar system from the moon rocks brought back. Studying other planets long distance have taught us a lot about the processes that have allowed life to develop on Earth and about the effects of the changes we have made in our ecosystem.

Much of what was done on the moon by men can now be done by robots, but someday humans will need to go themselves to Mars and other places in the Solar System. Robots cannot do everything we will need done to really understand what another planet is like.
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AllentownJake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 12:10 PM
Response to Reply #26
36. I'm not saying that the Space Program is bad
However, I'm questioning an investment to send a man to mars at this point in our history.

In the 1960s we were a creditor nation, had a strong industrial base, and were not running trillion dollar deficits.

In 2009, our infrastructure on earth is collapsing, we have a climate change issue we need to put scientific minds towards etc. etc.

Resources are limited and we are not the country we were in 1960. We simply don't have the wealth we had than.
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csziggy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 12:16 PM
Response to Reply #36
37. Yes, this may not be the decade for a trip to Mars but exploring the concept should continue
Think - if the ozone layer keeps degrading (we haven't heard much about it recently so I wonder what is happening to it now) the Earth may need shielding from radiation. The technology that is developed for a Mars mission might save life on Earth.

I used to sign onto all the petitions and push for a more active space program. Now I don't because there are so many more pressing problems facing our country and the world. But I do think that we need programs that push the limits of what humans can do. Space and ocean explorations are two areas that don't seem to yield immediate returns but that I believe will give us information that can be applied to other problems facing the world.

Money put into research and development has always paid off in the long run, even for totally abstract knowledge. Turning our back on space exploration would be a mistake, IMO.
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Confusious Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-20-09 12:28 AM
Response to Reply #36
114. While I love the idea of going to mars,

We should go back to the moon first, and set up from there.
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KittyWampus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 03:40 PM
Response to Reply #26
76. All that happens when we send robots rather than live human beings.
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csziggy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 10:57 PM
Response to Reply #76
105. That is why I included the last paragraph my message
"Much of what was done on the moon by men can now be done by robots, but someday humans will need to go themselves to Mars and other places in the Solar System. Robots cannot do everything we will need done to really understand what another planet is like."


For now, until we get more information and learn how to explore space more economically, I do think robotic missions are the best way to go. But I do not agree with people who think that humans should never go into space or to other planets.
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HeresyLives Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:55 AM
Response to Reply #11
28. No money ever goes into space.
Only bits of metal and plastic and so on do. The money stays here in payment to contractors, support personnel, scientists and other workers. They then spend it on housing, food, clothing the same way everyone else does. And they pay taxes.
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immoderate Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-21-09 05:18 PM
Response to Reply #28
131. By your logic, a tank is the same as a tractor.
But you are wrong.

A tractor is capital. It is an asset, that is, it can be used to make money in agriculture or construction. It can be used to feed and shelter people. The people who make the tank are just as much consumers as the tractor people, but their product is destructive and hurts the environment.

--imm
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Ready4Change Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:59 AM
Response to Reply #11
29. I understand the thought, but strongly disagree.
Striving to reach the Moon, striving to reach Mars, plunging to the depths of our oceans, climbing to the heights of our mountains. These are, to me, what makes it worthwhile for us to exist in the first place. Just as worthwhile as creating music or paintings or sculpture or literature. These are what makes us human, and if humanity has any value, then these things, ALL of these things, must be encouraged to flourish.

Just my opinion.
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stevedeshazer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 12:27 PM
Response to Reply #29
42. What you said.
I agree.
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malletgirl02 Donating Member (938 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 06:41 PM
Response to Reply #29
99. +1
Great post.
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Statistical Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-21-09 08:59 PM
Response to Reply #29
144. Very well said.
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formercia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 12:42 PM
Response to Reply #11
49. Stranded Aliens are encouraging NASA to develop space travel.
Wire transfers only work on Earth.

http://memory-alpha.org/en/wiki/Rules_of_Acquisition


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rules_of_Acquisition

Stages of Acquisition

In addition to the Rules, Ferengi recognize five Stages of Acquisition:

1. Infatuation — "I want it."
2. Justification — "I must have it!"
3. Appropriation — "IT'S MINE AT LAST!"
4. Obsession — "Precious!"
5. Resale — "Make me an offer."


Let's see how long it takes for this to show up in freeperland. :rofl:
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Fumesucker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 12:48 PM
Response to Reply #11
54. The money would be spent here..
There is a great deal to be learned by studying other planets, much of which can be applied to our problems right here on Earth.

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pitohui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 03:52 PM
Response to Reply #11
82. all billions for such a program would be spent on earth
Edited on Sat Sep-19-09 03:52 PM by pitohui
i have it on reliable authority that there is no bank or ATM on mars

any money spent on space travel to mars will be spent on earth, it will go into the paychecks of scientists, engineers, etc. right here on earth, and it will provide good career-type jobs in a world where good career-type jobs are at a premium

every ph.D. working on a mars program is one less dude in his mom's basement playing world of warcraft and getting more embittered by his lack of future
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Confusious Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 04:38 PM
Response to Reply #11
92. Why do you want to live in a hut?

A cave is nice.

Why do you want to wear clothes?

mud is better.
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deutsey Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-20-09 07:45 AM
Response to Reply #11
122. Well, there's this obelisk that they dug up on the moon, see, and
it's beaconing us on to Jupiter where there's this really cool obelisk orbiting the planet that will result in the next step in human evolution.

:evilgrin:

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Ron Green Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:28 AM
Response to Original message
13. Humans aren't meant to live in space.
We evolved as part of the earth's environment, and to imagine it's a "new frontier" like Europeans coming to the New World is just silly.
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NickB79 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:45 AM
Response to Reply #13
19. Isn't that like saying "man wasn't meant to fly"
Or "man wasn't meant to explore the ocean depths"?

If you want to get really technical about it, humans weren't meant to live in cold climates either, because we never evolved the heavy fur coats needed to survive the winters. But we did colonize those areas, thanks to our large brains and the beginnings of technology. The only difference now is that our technology has evolved since then.
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imdjh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:49 AM
Response to Reply #19
27. I don't think living in frozen places is a testament to our intelligence.
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The Gunslinger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 12:00 PM
Response to Reply #27
30. In fact it's cold as hell.
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NickB79 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 12:07 PM
Response to Reply #27
33. No? I would say it took amazing acts of intelligence to do so
Until you've lived through a -40F winter with windchills down to -60F, and 3 feet of snow on the ground, you can't truly appreciate what populations like the Native Americans went through, and how close to death you are at times like these. It took genuine skill and thought to devise ways to survive these harsh environments with no more than simple structures, hides, and handmade clothing.
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imdjh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 12:38 PM
Response to Reply #33
47. Yeah, yeah, but they couldn't figure out that it wasn't deadly cold just a bit south?
I think that's the real reason the Norse kept invading the British Isles.
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Confusious Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 04:24 PM
Response to Reply #19
84. Man wasn't ment to go faster then 5 miles an hour

These new-fangled iron carriages are going to turn people into goo!
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TankLV Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 12:28 PM
Response to Reply #13
43. Yeah - going to the "new world" was such a waste of time!
The money would have been much better spent on helping the poor in EUROPE!!!
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Ron Green Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-20-09 12:14 AM
Response to Reply #43
113. The "new world" was still a carbon-based place that supports human life.
Not so the reaches of space. My point is that to equate exploration on earth with exploration AWAY from earth is preposterous.
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Confusious Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-20-09 01:53 AM
Response to Reply #113
116. Do you know any history?

Do you know how many men died exploring the earth? How they died? Look up scurvy.

We have a hell of a lot better record with space then they did with earth.

50% of Magellan's men died in a single voyage.
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Ron Green Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-20-09 01:03 PM
Response to Reply #116
126. You missed my point.
The New World supports human life (we're living here now, right?)
Space does NOT support life. It requires massive resources just to keep a human alive.
We are a biological part of earth, not of outer space.
Therefore, to explore space as a possible dwelling place is not AT ALL the same as the exploration of the New World.
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Statistical Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-21-09 09:17 PM
Response to Reply #126
145. Luddites said the same thing about a Western passage.
Remember they weren't looking for the new world when they found it.

It also was inhospitable, cost tremendous resources (allowing kings could afford to send fleets to new world) and colonies required nonstop support via never ending supply chains that stretched the limits of science and logistics for the time.

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Ron Green Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-22-09 10:23 AM
Response to Reply #145
148. There were already people LIVING in the "new world," because
there was a carbon-based environment in which they had evolved. My point is that, Buck Rogers technology notwithstanding, humans are physically PART of the earth and cannot live elsewhere without bringing their environment with them. People who equate space colonization with earthly exploration are not dealing with this reality.

Perhaps when we evolve beyond and outside of our bodies....
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Xithras Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-20-09 02:01 AM
Response to Reply #13
117. Humans aren't meant to live on freeways either.
Space is the pathway, not the destination.

The destinations are the terrestrial planets that we CAN live on.
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Ron Green Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-21-09 11:28 AM
Response to Reply #117
127. On what planets can we live without massive inputs of energy?
We'd be away from our visible light spectrum, our gravity, our food and our beneficial bacteria, not to mention our atmosphere.
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Statistical Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-21-09 09:21 PM
Response to Reply #127
146. There is no light and gravity on mars?
Don't worry we will take our bacteria if we try not too.

Atmospheres can be contained. Larged domed cities. Once large enough self sustaining colonies existed on mars it could be teraformed. The atmosphere thickened, greenhouse gases increased, the amount of trapped heat increased.

It will take hundreds if not thousands of years but it can happen.
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Ozymanithrax Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:33 AM
Response to Original message
15. Preposterous statement.
The article says...
the moon itself blocks half of the incoming particles

But only in the moons shadow, which is a very very small place relative to the distances. Even on earth, its affect is negligible, because the moon is rarely between the source of cosmic rays and the earths surface.

Statements like this remove all credibility from the article.
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slackmaster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 12:23 PM
Response to Reply #15
39. My impression was that statement refers to someone standing on the surface of the Moon
Edited on Sat Sep-19-09 12:23 PM by slackmaster
Where it would actually block half of incoming particles (assuming the particles are coming from all directions).
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Wilms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 03:35 PM
Response to Reply #39
73. I agree the statement was wrong.

While standing on the moon you'd be in the shadow of half the cosmic energy except that from the sun...which would be most of the energy.

The reporter got it wrong.

There's also this OMG! quality to the story as if we'd not realized this problem until the day before the reporter did.

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Confusious Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-20-09 12:02 AM
Response to Reply #39
110. 99.99 % of all particles in the area

come from the sun's direction. The rest are ricochets.
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slackmaster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-20-09 06:19 AM
Response to Reply #110
118. And if you are standing on the surface of the Moon, the Sun is down about half the time
For most of the surface of the Moon.
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Gman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:41 AM
Response to Original message
17. Going to Mars is a huge waste of money and an unnecessary risk to human life
there's nothing humans can do on Mars that robotics can't do better.
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Retired AF Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 12:59 PM
Response to Reply #17
57. Probably safer going to Mars
Edited on Sat Sep-19-09 01:00 PM by Retired AF Dem
than driving in Huntsville AL during rush hour. :)
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TransitJohn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 01:21 PM
Response to Reply #17
62. They could have sex
That'd be better than robots.
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comrade snarky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 02:23 PM
Response to Reply #17
71. Except repair broken robots
:evilgrin:
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Wilms Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 03:40 PM
Response to Reply #17
75. Actually, the Mars rover Spirit would appreaciate a few able-bodied humans showing up.


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Confusious Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 04:27 PM
Response to Reply #17
85. Umm, science?

Robots can be build to do specific tasks, but a man can do any task.

You can't build a robot to do all the experiments a man could do.

The rover only has about 5 experiments on there, so now they have to build another to send with more experiments. A man could do them all. It may cost a little more, but we would get back 10 years of rover data in less then 1 year.
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-20-09 06:52 AM
Response to Reply #17
119. That's a simplistic and not very forward thinking viewpoint
Imagine a world with no Republicans :)
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ensho Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:45 AM
Response to Original message
18. I'm really surprised this thread got so much attention


more Mars lovers then I expected
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verges Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 08:41 PM
Response to Reply #18
100. What surprises me is that so many
folks think a trip to Mars is a bad idea. And don't seem to be aware of the technological advances made because of the space program!
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OnyxCollie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:45 AM
Response to Original message
20. Send Republicans.
Keep trying 'til we get it right. (Or not. Just keep sending them anyway.)
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OnyxCollie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:46 AM
Response to Original message
22. MARS NEEDS WOMEN!
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TankLV Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 12:30 PM
Response to Reply #22
44. then tell 'em about the sex vixins of VENUS!!!
Venus isn't called "Hawwwwwwt" for nothin...
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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:49 AM
Response to Original message
25. We'll develop shielding to get past that. It's already in the works.
Boeing has a patent on magnetic radiation shielding

http://www.faqs.org/patents/app/20090084903
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Blackhatjack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 12:20 PM
Response to Original message
38. There is no arguing that mechanical probes and robots are safest and best initial explorers...
The military has adopted that thinking in using predators and robots to increase lethality of its surveillance and strikes while protecting US lives.

NASA does not want to give up its 'humans first' policy because it is so popular with the public, which helps keep its funding in place. But that policy is doomed.

There will always be a place for humans to do exploration in space, but not always first.
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comrade snarky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 01:18 PM
Response to Reply #38
61. We've been landing robots on Mars for almost 50 years
That's not exactly humans first. :-)

Don't get me wrong though, I think a human Mars mission is a publicity stunt.

Sure there's a lot we could learn but I think the money would be far better spent on a 3rd generation launch system that could significantly reduce the cost of getting poundage into orbit.
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Blackhatjack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 01:44 PM
Response to Reply #61
69. The "Space Elevator" concept is one big technological breakthrough away...
... and with advances in nanotechnology that breakthrough could come soon.

Another type of launch delivery system that deserves more funding is high altitude partial direct launch technology. Getting the payload 'lifted' to the lower stratosphere is the most costly aspect of the present system.

We will get there eventually... and the technology to make it happen will benefit all of us.
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comrade snarky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 02:20 PM
Response to Reply #69
70. There are some amazing possibilities
Space elevators being by far the coolest.

Even a rail-gun with a laser booster could massively drop the cost per pound for cargo. OK, I wouldn't recommend riding in one unless you have a lifelong desire to be about 1/4 inch thick but it could put a lot of supplies and components into orbit.

Anything that leaves the engine on the ground. That's the way to go. Once we have a real infrastructure in orbit and possibly something lunar, that's the time to go to Mars.
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Statistical Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 12:43 PM
Response to Original message
50. Simple solution.... water
water is an excellent shield for radiation and crew will need water to sustain life.
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Posteritatis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 12:44 PM
Response to Reply #50
52. It's also astonishingly heavy. (nt)
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Statistical Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 12:52 PM
Response to Reply #52
56. However it is something that is already needed.
You can't send 3, 4, 7 astronauts on a 9 months roundtrip mission without water.

If the water tank surrounds the ship then it can serve a second purpose as a radiation shield.

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verges Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 08:48 PM
Response to Reply #56
101. self delete nt
Edited on Sat Sep-19-09 08:48 PM by verges
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lumberjack_jeff Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 01:07 PM
Response to Reply #52
59. List of things to do:
1) space elevator
2) water shielded space habitats
3) mars missions
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TxRider Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 04:28 PM
Response to Reply #52
86. Not if you take it from the moon
Which is why we need to colonize the moon first.
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Confusious Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 04:29 PM
Response to Reply #52
87. You can get it off the surface of the moon. n/t
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David Zephyr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 12:59 PM
Response to Original message
58. This won't deter the program. Budgeting and politics might, but not this.
Humans will be on Mars by 2040 or earlier.
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DireStrike Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 01:32 PM
Response to Original message
65. We can't develop any kind of shielding?
I mean, I'm amazed we can even counteract the force of gravity with NASA's meager funding. But... How much lead lining would you need?

Man, we need a space elevator.
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Lagomorph Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 11:10 PM
Response to Reply #65
106. It might take several missions into earth orbit...
To assemble a Mars capable spacecraft, but it is certainly possible.

The idea, BTI (b4 teh innernetz), was to build a permanent Mars base and then start mapping the asteroid belt. The potential for mineral resources is still lustfully fantasized in some circles.

It would take a lot of asteroids to pay for itself. We need to find a pot of gold every once-in-a-while to keep the interest up.
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BlooInBloo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 01:35 PM
Response to Original message
66. Mars women have THREE bewbies!
Troo fact.
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A-Schwarzenegger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 02:25 PM
Response to Original message
72. One word: tin foil.
:*
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HiFructosePronSyrup Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 03:43 PM
Response to Original message
78. Breaking: nuke event in outer space.
Damn you, Monsanto. Or should I say Monsatan?
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comrade snarky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 03:50 PM
Response to Reply #78
80. We have to put out the sun!
It's the only reasonable action when you consider how many people it kills.
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comrade snarky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 03:50 PM
Response to Reply #78
81. Dang double post...
Edited on Sat Sep-19-09 03:51 PM by comrade snarky
So that's how it happens
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SidDithers Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 06:03 PM
Response to Reply #78
97. Heheh...
you're bad. Very, very bad. :spank:

Sid
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old mark Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 03:56 PM
Response to Original message
83. Hell, boys, just build them dang spaceships
out of lead. End of problem.

mark:rofl:
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Confusious Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 04:30 PM
Response to Reply #83
88. Mars needs bling!

Gold!
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old mark Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 05:53 PM
Response to Reply #88
95. Mars needs every fucking thing they can get.....
Talk about a place that sucks on Saturday night!


markO8)
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Canuckistanian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 04:31 PM
Response to Original message
89. I thought they already solved that problem - with polyethylene
The team is examining new shielding materials that not only block and/or fragment more radiation than aluminum -- the material currently used to build most spacecraft structures -- but also are lighter than aluminum. Spacecraft designers have to be able to shape shielding materials to make various parts of the spacecraft. The material must protect the crew from radiation, and it must also deflect dangerous micrometeoroids. The shielding must be durable and long lasting -- able to stand up to the harsh space environment.

Polyethylene is a good shielding material because it has high hydrogen content, and hydrogen atoms are good at absorbing and dispersing radiation. In fact, researchers have been studying the use of polyethylene as a shielding material for some time. One of several novel material developments that the team is testing is reinforced polyethylene. Raj Kaul, a scientist in the Marshall Center's Engineering Directorate, previously has worked with this material on protective armor for helicopters.

"Since it is a ballistic shield, it also deflects micrometeorites," Kaul says. "Since it's a fabric, it can be draped around molds and shaped into specific spacecraft components."


http://www.nasa.gov/vision/space/travelinginspace/radiation_shielding.html
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-20-09 06:59 AM
Response to Reply #89
120. Well, that's interesting
Why doesn't it surprise me that NASA has been doing research into this problem. lol

I like how some people (the reporter) think they've discovered something that's the keystone to disallowing a particular endeavor, somehow overlooking that we have engineers whose only task is to solve this sort of problem.
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Cobalt-60 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 04:35 PM
Response to Original message
90. This problem can be overcome
Spacecraft can be designed with quarters surrounded by fuel and equipment.
Human can dig into the surface immediately on arrival for protection at Mars.
And advanced propulsion can reduce exposure time while between the planets.
Before humans make the voyage, however, the planet should be teeming with
robotic landers and rovers.

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Braulio Donating Member (860 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 05:37 PM
Response to Reply #90
94. Let's wait a few hundred years
Exactly. It's better to send robots. Right now, humans in space are just a circus show. The Space Station is the ring, let's not waste money building a more expensive ring.
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Confusious Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-20-09 12:05 AM
Response to Reply #94
111. Well the only way to get any funding

Is to have a circus show. Otherwise, the moronic public doesn't give two shits. They go back to watching "American Idol".

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old mark Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 05:57 PM
Response to Original message
96. But seriously, I think this means we should start taking better care
of this old place - I guess we ain't moving out for a long time.....

markO8)
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Subdivisions Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 06:30 PM
Response to Original message
98. I grew up dreaming of the moon and mars...
I even went to college majoring in astro-physics (unfortunately, events prevented me from finishing). However, I've come to realize over the years, and moreso the past few years, that humans will never set foot on Mars, if even the Moon. Given time - lots of time - we could overcome problems associated with radiation transitting to Mars. We just don't have time. Why can't we get to Mars?

Numerous reports have been churning of late from inside the oil industry that the world has passed the point of peak global oil production and that the world is now most likely experiencing a decline in production of many other natural resources including rare metals, some of which may be needed in a Mars program. From an editorial published by Rigzone, a drilling rig and platform industry publication:


...snip...

For the world's oil market, slower demand growth may be perceived as a relief valve from pending peak oil concerns. While slower demand growth will take some pressure off the supply challenge, aging oil fields and accelerating depletion rates remain a relentless cancer in the industry. The recent media flap over comments by Fatih Birol, chief economist at the IEA, about a peak in global oil production coming much sooner in time than the agency has publicly acknowledged may be the tip of the iceberg highlighting that depletion has displaced growth as the principal driver for the global oil business.

...snip...

http://www.rigzone.com/news/article.asp?a_id=80448&hmpn=1



World faces hi-tech crunch as China eyes ban on rare metal exports

Beijing is drawing up plans to prohibit or restrict exports of rare earth metals that are produced only in China and play a vital role in cutting edge technology, from hybrid cars and catalytic converters, to superconductors, and precision-guided weapons.

...snip...

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/ambroseevans_pritchard/6082464/World-faces-hi-tech-crunch-as-China-eyes-ban-on-rare-metal-exports.html


As world population coasts to an all-time high, more pressure on energy and material resources will continue to make the situation worse. Oil production may already have seen it's peak, aided by last summer's $147 per barrell price, at ~86.2 million barrels per day. Though the recession has relieved pressure on oil stocks and production, another oil shock is expected if and when the current recession recovers. Contemporary oil shocks occur when the global economy is thriving against a constrained supply. Picture it like gears grinding: economy booms and begins to grind against available supply (remember, "constrained supply" in this sense doesn't imply a shortage in the ground but actual inability to extract the oil fast enough to meet demand); economic gears sieze up; economy is repaired; gears begin to turn once again only to grind again as demand again surpasses available supply.

All this implies that we'll have much different priorities than concerning ourselves with a trip to Mars. The availability of these resources will become less and less as the years go by until, eventually - say a hundred years, civilization will have transitioned to more localized, more agrarian societies, with the remaining resources controlled by militaristic governments and the richest of the rich.

And, then again, who knows what the rich will do? Since they'll have conquered this planet, maybe they'll make a liar out of me and go for Mars next.
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Statistical Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Sep-19-09 09:06 PM
Response to Original message
104. The conclusion in the headline is NOT reached by the report.
NASA has a guideline of keeping rems below a 3% cancer risk and based on current shielding that is about 200 days.

Now an 800 day mission in deep space (BTW I know of no mission planned that long) would be something like a 10%-12% lifetime cancer risk.

Anyone think NASA won't have 1000+ astronauts willing to risk that to be the first human on mars.

The article makes it seem like it is impossible when it is just costly (in terms of future mortality fo astronauts). Now a 12% cancer risk risk is a lot of rems but that is under 3 assumptions

1) mission is 800 days in space. faster engines could cut flight time down substantially.
2) no improved shielding. water is one simple solution that could cut rems by about 2/3.
3) NASA is unwilling to raise lifetime radiation limits to achieve the goal of a human on another planet in next couple decades. I think even a 20% lifetime mortality risk wouldn't deter those who feel it is man's destiny to colonize the stars.

This does illustrate why a "moon first" 30 year plan would be optimal.
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ddeclue Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-20-09 12:47 AM
Response to Original message
115. It could be done.
The main source of radiation exposure is of course the Sun. A trip to Mars should actually REDUCE the average radiation exposure of the astronauts as they move further from the Sun towards Mars.

The Apollo astronauts were subjected to much more radiation than other astronauts and cosmonauts who simply orbited the earth in low orbit because LEO astronauts and cosmonauts were to some extent protected by the Earth's magnetic field.

This said there are a variety of things that could be done to reduce radiation exposure:

a) Crew quarters orientation - if oriented away from the sun, the bulk of the vehicle could be put between the astronauts and the sun increasing the shielding. This would help against all types of radiation but particularly against alpha particles.

b) Surrounding the crew quarters with water tanks and/or lining with graphite or boron would also increase shielding for the crew. This should shield particularly well against particle radiation like alpha, beta and neutron radiation

c) Lead shielding, while heavy, is certainly not out of the question if limited to specific areas of the crew quarters given that the space station will end up weighing around 360 tons when fully assembled. If the vehicle is assembled EOR (earth orbit rendezvous) through multiple launches, you could get enough shielding in place This would protect substantially from x-rays and somewhat from gamma rays.

d) Protective clothing, lead aprons, etc. would also help reduce exposure.

e) Magnetic field could be generated to deflect alpha and beta particle radiation. It would not affect neutrons or gamma rays or x-rays. This would require a power source but there are multiple options: solar, SNAP generator are the best.

The assumption is that any Mars mission would spend at least several months on the surface given the cost and trouble of going there. One obvious solution to reducing radiation exposure for the landing crew is to burrow underground. Any habitat on Mars should be dug into the surface and placed underground as much as possible to put as much rock and dirt as they can between the astronauts and the source of radiation (the Sun).

Doug De Clue
Bachelor of Aerospace Engineering,
Georgia Tech
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muriel_volestrangler Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-21-09 05:04 PM
Response to Reply #115
128. This is about cosmic rays, not particles from the Sun
From the article:

Relatively lightweight aluminium or plastic shielding can block charged particles from the sun. But it would take impractically thick and heavy shields to stop the higher-energy galactic cosmic rays. "Shielding is not a solution to the risk problem," says Frank Cucinotta, chief scientist for radiation studies at NASA's Johnson Space Center in Houston, Texas.
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wuvuj Donating Member (874 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-20-09 07:42 AM
Response to Original message
121. God's way of keeping the destructive...
...human race confined to one planet?
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rd_kent Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-21-09 05:56 PM
Response to Reply #121
136. That just goes to show that god is real
and that he is a mean, despicable SOB.
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Hugin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-20-09 09:24 AM
Response to Original message
124. Let's do what we've always done in situations like this...
Man up and send a chimp. :duh:

:D
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Statistical Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-21-09 05:09 PM
Response to Reply #124
130. You could find a million people to volenteer. No need to risk a chimp.
The "impossible" claim comes from a 12% LIFETIME increased cancer risk.

That is for an 800 day mission at current technology levels.
If increased speed cut that down to 600 days, and improved shielding cut radiation by 1/3, and smart location of water storage reduced it another 20% the lifetime risk could be as low as 5%.

Anyone think astronauts would say "No I won't be the first person in the history of the human race to step foot on another planet" over a 5% increased LIFETIME risk of cancer?

I don't.
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rd_kent Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-21-09 05:57 PM
Response to Reply #130
137. You would want to send W. into space?
Thats one chimp I would GLADLY blast out of here.
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immoderate Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-21-09 05:21 PM
Response to Reply #124
132. Yeah, that's the worst of both worlds.
Life support for a chimp is just as expensive as for a human, and they won't be able to do anything or report back. :hi:

--imm
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Warren DeMontague Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-21-09 08:46 PM
Response to Original message
140. Right, because God knows the first thing humanity should do when faced with a problem
is give up entirely.


After all, we're totally incapable of solving problems, aren't we?
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Warren DeMontague Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-21-09 08:47 PM
Response to Original message
141. MAN WILL NEVER FLY!
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SallyMander Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-21-09 08:49 PM
Response to Original message
142. Send the tardigrades!
Edited on Mon Sep-21-09 08:50 PM by SallyMander
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sicksicksick_N_tired Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-21-09 08:57 PM
Response to Original message
143. *shrug* They'll just have to create a better barrier (space suit), I guess.
The robots have survived. It's certainly no simple matter but, I have no doubt our scientists can figure the protection necessary to eventually explore Mars.

I am a perpetual optimist when it comes to human ingenuity (even when politics interfere)!!! :bounce:
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