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It really is what this economic crisis is. It is a no win situation. There is no way to pilot yourself out of it and save the ship.
Our debt levels prevent us from instituting the New Deal style works programs necessary to weather the storm, our culture makes it impossible for us to move dollars from defense spending into domestic spending at this time, we have a large generation that will be pulling assets out for retirement.
1) Debt levels. The credit card is maxxed out. We can't really borrow our way out of this mess. We can only run trillion dollar deficits for so long before other countries become doubtful that they will see a return on their investments. Not even taking into account US corporate or consumer debt.
2) Military industrial complex is a significant portion of our economy. 651.2 billion for this year including the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. The need for a very large military has been sold so well to the populace over the past 60 years that it is politically impossible to make cuts in that spending and shift it to domestic investment. If anything the budget will be increased even though we can't afford it.
3) Baby boomers retiring. A large amount of stocks in this country are held in mutual funds, pension funds, 401(k)s, IRAs etc that will all start to be drawn down in the next 10 years. The stock market is a market so as these assets are drawn down they will need a buyer. This money is not in cash. The value of our stock market will decline as retirees pull their assets that they have saved their entire life. It would not be a problem if we had a generation behind them making similar wages that would be investing. We don't, wages are decreasing and with that so will investments. This is not to even include the time bomb awaiting us in Medicare and Social Security with lower paid workers replacing higher paid workers leading to less revenue.
I could write more on structural problems in the United States both politically, socially, and economically but these 3 issues will be the biggest killers of our way of life.
Essentially we are staring into the same future the Soviet Union faced under Gorbachev. A bloated empire without the political will to do the things that were necessary to save itself.
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