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25% voter turnout by 11:00AM in my precinct

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Xipe Totec Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:09 AM
Original message
25% voter turnout by 11:00AM in my precinct
1600 voters in my precinct. I was voter #264 at 8:00AM. My wife voted at 11:0000AM and was #472.

This is going to be a high turnout race, which is good news for us Democrats.
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:10 AM
Response to Original message
1. Thanks for the report.
25% at 11 is very impressive for a special election.
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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:10 AM
Response to Reply #1
4. Especially given the weather.
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Renew Deal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:11 AM
Response to Reply #1
5. 25% is impressive for most special elections
:shrug:
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Bombtrack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:10 AM
Response to Original message
2. why is it good news for us exactly?
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rocktivity Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:11 AM
Response to Reply #2
6. Because the higher our turnout, the better our chances
Indeed, it's what helped us in '06 and '08.

:bounce:
rocktivity
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Bombtrack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:20 AM
Response to Reply #6
17. when Democrats were ahead in the polls leading up the elections not behind
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:12 AM
Response to Reply #2
8. Because the party in power tends to sit out midterm (and special) elections due to apathy
The party out of power is more motivated and they show up in greater numbers, thus low voter turnout indicates apathy in full swing. High turnout on the other hand means that the Dems and Democrat-leaning Independents are likely getting out to vote for Coakley - a good thing.
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Bombtrack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:22 AM
Response to Reply #8
22. Across the board high voter turnout does not automatically indicate high Democratic turnout
this is just wishful spinthking.
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KingFlorez Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:26 AM
Response to Reply #22
28. Higher turnout typically favors Democrats
And in a state like Massachusetts, the odds of it being helpful to Democrats are more. I think it's wishful thinking to think otherwise.
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On the Road Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:27 AM
Response to Reply #22
29. It's Not "Spinthinking"
It's been accepted political wisdom for decades.

Of course no one knows the results yet, but as far as indicators go, turnout is one of the more important ones.
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Motown_Johnny Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:12 AM
Response to Reply #2
9. three times as many (D)s as (R)s in the state, so the assumption is...
Edited on Tue Jan-19-10 11:14 AM by Motown_Johnny
that when everyone is turning out then it is not dominated by a "motivated opposition" vote.


But that is only a guess.
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MineralMan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:22 AM
Response to Reply #9
20. And about three times the number of Independants than Dems.
I wouldn't count the chickens yet. Are there any exit polls going on? That would be interesting.

I remain hopeful, but cautiously.
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Xipe Totec Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:50 AM
Response to Reply #9
34. My precinct is heavy D
I could see all the 'D's down the page as I was getting my ballot. Didn't see a single 'R' on the page.
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LynneSin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:59 AM
Response to Reply #2
38. There are more registered Democrats than Republicans
If the Dems are smart they'll blanket the city of Boston - if they can get about 60% turnout for the election it will be tough for the rest of the state to make up the loss
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:10 AM
Response to Original message
3. Good. Thanks for the update.
I need to make sure my family in Mass has indeed voted.
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highplainsdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:12 AM
Response to Original message
7. Good news! K&R
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kentuck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:13 AM
Response to Original message
10. 25% is a good turnout?
When the other side is motivated?
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WilliamPitt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:14 AM
Response to Reply #10
12. Before noon, yes
It'll go up as the day goes on. It was 10% by the end of the day during the primaries, so...
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:14 AM
Response to Reply #10
13. ..as of 11AM!!
You seem focused like a laser on seeing negative - even where none exists! :rofl:

Sorry, you deserved that ribbing.
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kentuck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:29 AM
Response to Reply #13
30. Ok.
I guess 25% is pretty good for this time of day? Will it need to be over 50% for Democrats to win?
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:35 AM
Response to Reply #30
31. I would say greater than 50% - yes
Uggh, & I'm trying to keep a positive attitude too. This is very stressful.
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FSogol Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:24 AM
Response to Reply #10
24. We had a local election for State Senator on the 12th in Va and we had 19% turnout.
Luckily our guy, Dave Marsden, beat a real fanatical wingnut, Steve Hunt by 2%.
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Tailormyst Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:13 AM
Response to Original message
11. I was 116 at 8:05 am
No lines, but a steady flow.
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opihimoimoi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:17 AM
Response to Original message
14. The PM Voters will tally the diff.. I hope JOE S eats SHIT
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CBR Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:25 AM
Response to Reply #14
25. I will watch Morning Joe for the first time in months if Coakley wins...nt
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opihimoimoi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:38 AM
Response to Reply #25
32. me too...just to see him eat it.... :o)
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monmouth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:51 AM
Response to Reply #25
35. Me too. Oh joy, I cannot wait. I also watch that smarm Willie before
that and have a "What are you doing up this early in the a.m. .... Watching you and Joey eat crow...LOL.
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KingFlorez Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:17 AM
Response to Original message
15. Good, it can only go up from there
That is a great early number, with lunch hour coming up, those numbers should increase greatly.
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tsuki Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:17 AM
Response to Original message
16. That's great news. Here, the largest group is usually after work, from
4-7 PM. 25% before noon is huge.
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Phoebe Loosinhouse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:20 AM
Response to Original message
18. That is great! We had pathetic turnout when Deeds lost in VA
25% by 11:00 am is incredible!!

I am so looking forward to all the pundits and pollsters being WRONG WRONG WRONG!!!!
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hlthe2b Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:21 AM
Response to Original message
19. Where are you? (Boston? Suburbs? elsewhere?)
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Xipe Totec Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:53 AM
Response to Reply #19
37. Milton
Edited on Tue Jan-19-10 11:55 AM by Xipe Totec
Deval Patrick is my neighbor.
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FSogol Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:22 AM
Response to Original message
21. Good news. n/t
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leftygolfer Donating Member (287 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:24 AM
Response to Original message
23. Coakley soaring on Intrade this morning!!!
Good job to all!
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zanana1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:25 AM
Response to Original message
26. I made calls for Coakley yesterday.....
Alot of people weren't home, but those that were all said they'd be voting for her.
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Turbineguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:25 AM
Response to Original message
27. I run into a lot of "Independents"
These are republicans who will vote for a republican who isn't crazy, but until one comes along, vote Democratic.
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graywarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:39 AM
Response to Original message
33. 1250 by 9:30 AM in Topsfield-a republican town
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Xipe Totec Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 11:53 AM
Response to Reply #33
36. Give them hell!
I know you can!

:evilgrin:
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graywarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 12:11 PM
Response to Reply #36
44. I feel as if I'm surrounded by drooling idiots stupid enough to sell themselves out.
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Broke In Jersey Donating Member (247 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 12:05 PM
Response to Original message
39. VERY telling sign...
Polls look wrong once again!!!!
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Arugula Latte Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 12:11 PM
Response to Reply #39
43. I think it depends on which part of Mass. the OP lives in.
High turnout in Boston/Cambridge? Good.

High turnout in rural area? Not so good.
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YOY Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 12:07 PM
Response to Original message
40. Hoping for the best.
She may not be the best we have to offer but she's better than that shitstain Brown.
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JimWis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 12:08 PM
Response to Original message
41. Thanks for the update.
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flamingdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 12:08 PM
Response to Original message
42. go MA! nt
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