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Studies Predict Fred Thompson Has 77% Chance he will die by 2017

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Dems Will Win Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-25-07 02:31 PM
Original message
Studies Predict Fred Thompson Has 77% Chance he will die by 2017
Edited on Wed Apr-25-07 02:36 PM by Dems Will Win


Likely GOP Prez candidate Fred Thompson has indolent lymphoma. Unfortunately, he has at least 2 risk factors, giving him only a 23% chance of surviving 10 years.

Factors for Predicting Outlook in Indolent Lymphomas. Six risk factors are proving to be useful for predicting outlook:


  • Being male.
  • Being older.
  • Having stage III or IV disease.
  • Elevated levels of the enzyme lactate dehydrogenase (LDH).
  • The presence of B symptoms.
  • Erythrocyte sedimentation rate over 30.


Patients with a good chance for a positive outcome (65% chance for survival rates of 10 years or greater) have one or none of these factors; those with intermediate risk (23%) have two factors, and those likely to have a poor outcome (11%) have three or more factors.

http://www.umm.edu/patiented/articles/how_serious_non-hodgkins_lymphomas_000084_5.htm


He could serve 2 full terms despite the disease. More power to Thompson if he tries to run, people should not let an illness stop them...
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MrModerate Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-25-07 02:32 PM
Response to Original message
1. Is it really "indolent" lymphoma?
Sounds like it refuses to get off the couch and look for a job.
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RB TexLa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-25-07 02:33 PM
Response to Original message
2. That's why we have vice-presidents.

I wouldn't vote for him if he were going to live to 3017 but we have a procedure for Presidents dieing.
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Horse with no Name Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-25-07 02:35 PM
Response to Original message
3. I'm sorry.
But the stress of taking over the helm of a failed Presidency could decrease his survival rate immensely.
I'd say the same EVEN if it was Al Gore.
We don't need a President with this variable in the condition this country is in.
We don't get a chance to vote for the VP--we vote for the ticket.
So how would you feel if they paired up old Fred with Jeb?
Assuring another Bush presidency?
I'm sorry. Apples and oranges when talking about someone who already holds an office and gets sick than to knowingly elect someone who has a potentially fatal condition.
It is the ESSENCE of insanity.
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Dems Will Win Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-25-07 02:37 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. What you say is true
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theoldman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-25-07 02:38 PM
Response to Reply #3
7. That is why he will never be elected. Remember Bradley?
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krkaufman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-28-07 10:18 AM
Response to Reply #3
17. And, specifically, we don't need Fred Thompson. : ) n/t
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theoldman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-25-07 02:37 PM
Response to Original message
4. I think his brain will be dead long before 2017.
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devilgrrl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-25-07 02:38 PM
Response to Original message
6. Would the stress of being President not be helpful in keeping lymphoma at bay?
You'd think it wouldn't be good.
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Strelnikov_ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-25-07 02:39 PM
Response to Original message
8. Well. Considering he already looks like a cadaver . .
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buff2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-25-07 02:41 PM
Response to Original message
9. That long?
:evilgrin:
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Dems Will Win Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-25-07 04:32 PM
Response to Reply #9
16. Odds are...
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TwilightGardener Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-25-07 02:49 PM
Response to Original message
10. What exactly is the point of this post? Why go to the trouble
of calculating the survival odds for a GOP not-yet-a-candidate with cancer? Weird. Of course incurable blood cancer will keep him out of the WH--that is as it should be. No one's going to bet on a sick horse. We deserve as healthy a president as we can get. And we deserve a Democrat. So really, why the post?
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BlooInBloo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-25-07 02:51 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. I wasn't clear on the republican advocacy thing either. Aren't there rules about that or something?
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TwilightGardener Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-25-07 02:56 PM
Response to Reply #11
12. Studies predict that the Moderator has an 80% chance of pulling
this thread in the next 2 hours...
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Dems Will Win Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-25-07 03:00 PM
Response to Reply #10
13. I just liked the way he looked in that photo really
Edited on Wed Apr-25-07 03:03 PM by Dems Will Win
Plus everyone knows he has indolent lymphoma but I never heard anyone talk about how lousy his odds actually were....

So I looked it up -- if the press starts reporting this 77% number I think Thompson's candidacy could have an extremely low survival rate.
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TwilightGardener Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-25-07 03:07 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. Oh--thanks for clearing that up.
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Dems Will Win Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-25-07 03:10 PM
Response to Reply #14
15. If this is the guy who's going to save the GOP
I starting to feel pretty good about our chances...
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