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Most accurate pollsters in the 2008 Presidential Election

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ohiodemocratic Donating Member (188 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-09-10 09:56 PM
Original message
Most accurate pollsters in the 2008 Presidential Election


http://www.fordham.edu/images/academics/graduate_schools/gsas/elections_and_campaign_/poll%20accuracy%20in%20the%202008%20presidential%20election.pdf
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BeatleBoot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-09-10 10:02 PM
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1. In the 2008 Presidential Election, it was kind of hard to not be accurate


:rofl:












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Yupster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-09-10 11:49 PM
Response to Reply #1
5. I don't agree with that.
The pollsters had to predict how many of the new voters would actually show up. I think that was a legitimate challenge for them.

Predicting who was going to win wasn't hard, but being close to on the mark of the actual numbers was still a challenge.
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SheilaT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-09-10 11:02 PM
Response to Original message
2. The web site
FiveThirtyEight.com was constantly analyzing the polling during the 2008 election. Those guys were amazing.
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FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-09-10 11:07 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. And he was right all along, not just on the last day!
Guess that's why he made it to the list of most Influential Americans
in 2008!
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FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-09-10 11:06 PM
Response to Original message
3. Yeah...they were all wrong till they were right!
Rasmussen being right on election day don't mean shit!
It's how long you were right that counts.
After all, denial ain't no polling river!

If these were to be listed correctly, the older the poll that accurately predicted
the end numbers on election day, the better the pollster.

Looking at it from here, looks like #2 & #3 were actually more accurate than the twins on top!
Just sayin'
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