As readers may recall, we had argued over a series of posts that the proposed Volcker rule, to bar proprietary trading at commercial banks, did not go far enough in reducing systemic risk. While the concept was so sketchy that it was difficult to be certain what it meant, it appeared to have two serious flaws.
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All these debates appear to be moot. The Volcker rule is following the tried and true path of all Obama “reforms”, meaning an idea announced with great fanfare is being whittled back to meaninglessness.
The media are differing a bit on the particulars of how the neutering operation came to pass, but the general direction appears clear. The New York Post appears first out with the story (before reader howl, the Post has broken some financial stories and the discerning FT Alphaville picked up on this one, hat tip Richard Smith):
“My understanding is the White House really does believe in it, but Treasury and the Hill do not, so it’s not going very far,” said one person close to the Treasury Department.
Added another source, “the White House is looking to save face” by backing a proposal with fewer restrictions. “The administration will spin the compromise as a way to add safety to proprietary trading,” a source said. “But this is a fundamentally different approach to regulation …
Yves here. This is an intriguing reading of the dynamics. On the one hand, Timothy Geithner is so embattled that not only is he being interviewed in Vogue, but he takes a surprisingly defensive stance. Yet the Treasury engage in a turf war with the White House and wins. Or perhaps the climbdown is more a function of Congressional opposition (this change would require new legislation). The Senate Banking Committee made it abundantly clear it was not happy to see Team Obama retrading its financial reform bill at such a late juncture.
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http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2010/02/volcker-rule-being-deep-sixed.html