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South Coastal Duers -U.S. forecaster CSU sees Eight Atlantic hurricanes in 2010

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malaise Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-07-10 06:24 PM
Original message
South Coastal Duers -U.S. forecaster CSU sees Eight Atlantic hurricanes in 2010
Remember hurricane supplies are dirt cheap at this time. It's never too early to stock up

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/04/07/AR2010040701750.html?wprss=rss_nation
<snip>
The 2010 Atlantic hurricane season will produce an above-average eight hurricanes, four of them major, posing a heightened threat to the U.S. coastline, the Colorado State University hurricane forecasting team predicted on Wednesday.

In its second forecast in four months for the 2010 season, the leading storm research team founded by hurricane forecast pioneer William Gray said the six-month season beginning on June 1 would likely see 15 named tropical storms.

The team forecast a 69 percent chance of at least one major hurricane making landfall on the U.S. coastline in 2010, compared with a long-term average probability of 52 percent.

But Phil Klotzbach, lead forecaster with the Colorado State team -- whose research is followed closely by energy and commodity markets -- said El Nino was expected to dissipate fully by the start of this year's storm season.

"The dissipating El Nino, along with the expected anomalously warm Atlantic ocean sea surface temperatures, will lead to favorable dynamic and thermodynamic conditions for hurricane formation and intensification," said Klotzbach.
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Birthmark Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-07-10 06:32 PM
Response to Original message
1. Isn't CSU's forecast accuracy...
...worse than simple guessing? I could have sworn I read that somewhere.

(No criticism of the OP intend. This is, after all, a news story.)
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malaise Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-07-10 06:56 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. Not sure but my simple guess is that last year was tres quiet
so we'd better be prepared this year. :D
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Birthmark Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-07-10 09:23 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. People should always prepare
Hell, over prepare if you can afford it.
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RagAss Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Apr-07-10 06:35 PM
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2. They say that every year.
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