Will lefty insurgents win big next week?
Greg Sargent
Don't look now, but the lefty insurgents could be on the verge of scoring not one, but two major victories next week.
People aren't focused enough on this. But let's step back and put it in a larger context: If Joe Sestak defeats Arlen Specter on Tuesday, and Blanche Lincoln is forced into a runoff, it will represent a major rebuke to the Dem establishment. The Tea Partiers and the ouster of Charlie Crist and Robert Bennett have sucked up most of the media oxygen, but it's very possible that a similarly dramatic upheaval is about to happen on the left.The Dem establishment, as is their role, has gone to extraordinary lengths to protect Specter and, to a lesser extent, Lincoln. Obama's political operation is cranking out calls for Specter, and the DSCC is funding Specter's TV ads.
Meanwhile, there are indications that the Dem Senate leadership may be delaying a watering down of Lincoln's proposal on derivatives to avoid embarrassing her before Tuesday.
Anything can happen between now and Tuesday. But Sestak has now edged ahead of Specter in multiple polls, and Lincoln's campaign has now conceded that she'll likely endure a runoff with Lieutenant Governor Bill Halter, which Halter could very well win.
This is all rather surprising, to put it mildly.
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