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FreakinDJ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-19-10 01:57 PM
Original message
No clear message out of Tuesday primaries
No clear message out of Tuesday primaries
Holly Bailey is a senior political writer for Yahoo! News


As strategists chew over the results of Tuesday's primaries and special elections, remember that old adage: All politics is local.

Sure, plenty of themes and storylines emerged Tuesday — among them the anti-incumbent, anti-establishment wave that has Congress members scared to death about November re-election prospects.

But that's not the only way to interpret Tuesday's results. For one thing, the overall vote didn't seem to play out as a referendum on President Obama, as Republicans had hoped. More than anything, this primary season's "Super Tuesday" came down to how voters felt about their own slate of candidates and local concerns.

In Pennsylvania, Democratic voters in the Senate primary rejected incumbent Arlen Specter, a 30-year veteran of the chamber, in favor of Rep. Joe Sestak, who bucked the White House and state Democratic establishment to seek his party's nomination. Yes, it was an insider-vs.-outsider race, and yes, the White House should be a little concerned that Obama's high-profile endorsement of Specter didn't help. But those factors seem to have been eclipsed by Specter's own problems with Democratic voters in the state. They couldn't get past Specter's Republican-until-last-year profile — a detail that Sestak hammered home in the final days of the campaign with an ad reminding voters of Specter's ties to GOP figures like George W. Bush, Rick Santorum and Sarah Palin.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ynews/ynews_pl2131


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Cant trust em Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-19-10 02:01 PM
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1. Kentucky is an interesting slice.
Rand Paul won as the more conservative republican, while the democrats elected the more progressive candidate.

The democrats also turned out a ton more voters than the GOP did.

What does that say for November?
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aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-19-10 02:04 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. That Democrats aren't as disenchanted and ashamed as Republicans.
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Cant trust em Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-19-10 02:10 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. It'll wind up being an interesting race.
Progressive Dem vs. Teabag GOP.

How will this wind up shaking out when those two are directly in comparison with each other.

I think that a lot will depend on if the media continues its obsession with Paul and the baggers. Since Kentucky is usually pretty deep red, will that carry out in November even though the dems were able to turn out higher numbers in May?
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onenote Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-19-10 02:20 PM
Response to Reply #1
5. while more Democrats turned out in absolute numbers in KY, percentage turnout
was almost identical: 33% of registered repubs in the repub primary and around the same number of registered Democrats in the Democratic primary. The reason the absoolute numbers are so disparate is that there are a lot more registered Democrats in KY than registered repubs. And because the prmiaries are closed, Democrats typically have a lot more votes cast in their primaries than repubs have cast in theirs. But the fact that a Democrat gets a lot more votes than a repub in their respective primaries hasn't generally been a good indicator of the outcome of the general election.

On the plus side, the fact that turnout was similar for both parties undercuts the Democratic "voter fatigue" meme and the "repub base more enthusiastic" meme.
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lpbk2713 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-19-10 02:15 PM
Response to Original message
4. The notorious Bush Legacy.




He left his party in such disarray that they may never pull themselves out of the ashes.

Thanks Shit-for-Brains. At least there was one thing you did right. :thumbsup:



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RagAss Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-19-10 05:16 PM
Response to Reply #4
7. Sometimes I wonder...it's almost as if that's what he was trying to do.
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FBI_Un_Sub Donating Member (610 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-19-10 04:42 PM
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6. One of the MSNBC guests this AM
opined that this was a "victory" for the "Tea Baggers" on both (both) the left and right, and a defeat for the "Inside the Beltway" establishment.

The guest was using "Tea Bagger" as short hand for the bases of both sides of the spectrum -- ignored by the "establishment."
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