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US officials revise the oil flow estimates again!

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thewiseguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-15-10 05:13 PM
Original message
US officials revise the oil flow estimates again!
Washington - Based on updated information and scientific assessments, Secretary of Energy Steven Chu, Secretary of the Interior Ken Salazar, and Chair of the National Incident Command’s Flow Rate Technical Group (FRTG) Dr. Marcia McNutt (Director of the U.S. Geological Survey) today announced an improved estimate of how much oil is flowing from the leaking BP well.

Secretary Chu, Secretary Salazar, and Dr. McNutt convened a group of federal and independent scientists on Monday to discuss new analyses and data points obtained over the weekend to produce updated flow rate estimates. Working together, U.S. government and independent scientists estimate that the most likely flow rate of oil today is between 35,000 and 60,000 barrels per day. The improved estimate is based on more and better data that is now available and that helps increase the scientific confidence in the accuracy of the estimate.

http://www.deepwaterhorizonresponse.com/go/doc/2931/661583/

That is 1.5 to 2.5 million gallons of oil spilling into the gulf everyday. That is up to 3.3 million barrels of oil to date and by mid July which is when they 'expect' to capture more oil that number would be somewhere around 4.5 million barrels of oil.

Given that these numbers are not revised up again...:(
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Smashcut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-15-10 05:14 PM
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1. Well we know they've consistently made only their low estimate public
I still figure the real number's somewhere around 100K BBL/day.
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thewiseguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-15-10 05:17 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. It is a 20 billion dollar penalty
If you do the math. 4300 dollars per barrel of oil spilled. They will have to pay a penalty of over 20 billion dollars.
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Juneboarder Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-15-10 05:19 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. I foresee BK in the near future... nt
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damntexdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-15-10 05:25 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. Well, BP is worth something like 80 billion, so they COULD cover it so far.
But if the relief well doesn't work, the penalty (if exacted, which is unlikely) could exceed even BPs worth.
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damntexdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-15-10 05:23 PM
Response to Original message
4. And it's in the range of the NPR estimates from weeks ago.
And its way below what COULD gush if the well's casing collapses.
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Xipe Totec Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-15-10 05:39 PM
Response to Original message
6. The Exxon Valdez was 250,000 barrels
So we're talking one Exxon Valdez every 10 days, 13 Exxon Valdezes worth of oil spilled so-far.

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