Tropical Depression 3 has formed

Florida and GOM residents prepare for serious rain. Could be Tropical Storm Bonnie tomorrow.



http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at201003.html
----
Everything has stopped in the GOM for now

I'll have to secure the coop for m'ah chickens. :)

A direct hit on downtown Miami would be perfect - I need the work!

and it may just hit my sister in Dade County - be nice. :hi:

Rest assured there will be others this year.

I just need enough wind and rain to knock the power out - nothing more. Last summer we were kept busy by the usual afternoon thunderstorms. I've been sitting at home for the past 2 weeks making nothing....

Enjoy the lightning strikes :D

Plus tornadoes and 3-10 inches of rain, nay be more.

and a tropical storm.

I don't see how, in the middle of summer, a tropical storm will trek across the gulf and not blow up massively. Something about that strikes me as quite insane.

And that track has it passing straight through the heart of the spill.

go west west west

I'll turn on my deflector fan

Wouldn't that be just lovely?

If they open the spigot again - that would suck.

Might be good news for FL beaches for a bit, though.

The path of circulation will likely pull/push the oil along for the ride with it, far to the west...maybe all the way to TX.

during the Depression/tropical storm

So 2 more weeks to get the clusterfuck back in gear?
An extra 3 million barrels of oil and 2 million gallons of dispersants dumped in the gulf?

Not lovely

BP's leaky well to stay capped during storm


(AP)ON THE GULF OF MEXICO — The temporary cap on BP's ruptured oil well can stay closed even if ships evacuate the Gulf of Mexico during a tropical storm, the federal government's oil spill chief said Thursday.

Growing confidence in the experimental cap's security convinced scientists it was safe to leave it unmonitored for a few days, Retired Coast Guard Adm. Thad Allen said.

Allen said they'll decide Thursday evening whether ships will have to leave.

"The decision has been made to leave the cap on, even if the well is unattended," Allen said.

Forecasters at the U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami say the storm system has already caused flooding in Puerto Rico, the Dominican Republic and Haiti. It could become Tropical Storm Bonnie later Thursday and reach the Gulf of Mexico by Saturday.



http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/ap/top/all/7120199.html

sarcasm without the little sarcasm smiley, obtained by typing : sarcasm : but without the spaces between the colon and word. Or go to the Smilies lookup table, with above where you type the subject line.

if for no other reason that the oil spill in the Gulf. I'm in Naples and this will brush past us tomorrow night.

to the Gulf.

I'm wondering if it will even reach us.

The course is further west from last time I looked but I'm
sure we'll get some good rain out of it in Polk County.

11:00 AM EDT Update 22 July 2010
Tropical Depression 3 has formed, forecast track clips Key West midday tomorrow and enters the Gulf, nearing Western Louisiana later. Intensity is kept low for now.

A Tropical Storm Watch Has Been Issued for the East Coast of Florida
From North of Golden Beach to Jupiter Inlet Including Lake
Okeechobee.

Summary of Watches and Warnings in Effect...

A Tropical Storm Warning is in Effect For...
* Central and Northwestern Bahamas
* for the Florida East Coast from Golden Beach Southward Including
The Entire Florida Keys and Florida Bay...and Along the West Coast
Of Florida Northward to Bonita Beach

They say this one has a 30% chance of becoming a hurricane - they say this is going to be a serious thunder and rain storm

am, indeed, no expert. Apparently I have fallen victim to all the hysteria going on out there on the intenet tubes about this particular storm. I did not know the experts expect this storm to be weak. Even right this moment as I type MSNBC is hyping it up.

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/ABNT20.html
<snip>
Visible satellite images and observations from the Bahamas indicate
that the area of low pressure in the southeastern Bahamas has
become better organized and a closed circulation has formed.
Advisories on a tropical depression or a tropical storm will be
initiated at 11 am EDT...1500 UTC today. This advisory will likely
include tropical storm watches and warnings for portions of the
Bahamas and southern Florida.
---------------

summary of 1100 am EDT...1500 UTC...information
-----------------------------------------------
location...21.9n 75.0w
about 265 mi...425 km se of Nassau
about 405 mi...655 km ESE of Key Largo Florida
maximum sustained winds...35 mph...55 km/hr
present movement...WNW or 295 degrees at 15 mph...24 km/hr
minimum central pressure...1008 mb...29.77 inche

watches and warnings
--------------------
changes with this advisory...

the government of the Bahamas has issued a Tropical Storm Warning
for the central and northwestern Bahamas.

A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the Florida East Coast
from Golden Beach southward including the entire Florida Keys and
Florida Bay...and along the West Coast of Florida northward to
Bonita Beach.

A tropical storm watch has been issued for the East Coast of Florida
from north of Golden Beach to Jupiter Inlet including Lake
Okeechobee.

Summary of watches and warnings in effect...


a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* central and northwestern Bahamas
* for the Florida East Coast from Golden Beach southward including
the entire Florida Keys and Florida Bay...and along the West Coast
of Florida northward to Bonita Beach


a tropical storm watch in in effect for...
* the East Coast of Florida north of Golden Beach to Jupiter Inlet
including Lake Okeechobee

We know these things

that's right - Cantore

Bonne will skip right over the tip of FL and into the gulf tomorrow or Sat - we'll know more then

about Jim Cantori - he's really bad news :rofl:

When Jim Cantori shows up in your town, it's time to get the hell out! :rofl:

a tropical storm, something just below a Cat 1.

And that one hit Mexico. No such thing as a little TS in the Gulf. They always turn out to be 2-3 day affairs.

the NHC is notoriously bad with intensity predictions, especially this far out. This one bears watching closely.



edit

Official "cone of doom"

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT03/refresh/AL0310W5_NL_sm2+gif/145913W5_NL_sm.gif

It is still very early but some of the models have this storm headed for Houston

http://blogs.chron.com/sciguy/archives/2010/07/live_chat_tropical_depression_three_threat_or_not.html

"At this time it appears most likely this storm will make a final landfall near the Texas-Louisiana border, probably as a very weak tropical storm."

supposed to be in Galveston Monday thru Wednesday :(

And it's headed right for me on this ship. Might see about getting off before Saturday.

South Florida get ready

:beer:

Liquor store.

then buy liquor :evilgrin:

It's the last vice they let us have - - - tequilla ice and margarita mix for me - I love my blender

snuggle up and enjoy - it's going to be a wet Friday and Saturday.

suck Texas suck - - can I say that here?