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When An Endorsement From the big grizzly herself Backfires

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babylonsister Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-27-10 12:27 PM
Original message
When An Endorsement From the big grizzly herself Backfires
http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2010_07/024916.php

WHEN AN ENDORSEMENT BACKFIRES.... The conventional wisdom suggests Republican candidates, especially those in Republican primaries, are anxious to get an endorsement from former half-term Gov. Sarah Palin (R).

There are, however, exceptions.

A new Public Policy Polling survey in New Hampshire finds Kelly Ayotte's (R) appeal to moderate voters crumbled in the wake of her endorsement by Sarah Palin and her lead over Paul Hodes (D) in the U.S. Senate race has shrunk to its lowest level yet, 45% to 42%.

Key finding: "Most of the movement both in feelings about Ayotte and in the horse race has come with moderate voters. Moderates make up the largest bloc of the New Hampshire electorate at 47%, and Hodes' lead with them has expanded from just 8 points at 47% to 39% in April to now 21 points at 51% to 30%. Ayotte's favorability with them has gone from +5 at 32% to 27% to -19 at 27% to 46%."


To be sure, it's just one poll, so I don't want to overstate matters. But this nevertheless offers some evidence to bolster other recent polls that show a great deal of hostility for the right-wing Alaskan from everyone who isn't part of the far-right Republican base.

In the case of the PPP survey, it's pretty dramatic -- Ayotte was faring well among moderate voters, and now she's not. The only thing that's changed of late is the endorsement, which New Hampshire Democrats were anxious to tout among in-state reporters.


Indeed, there's a great irony here. For quite a while, Granite State Dems were anxious to tie Ayotte to Palin, noting the similarities between them (most notably, the fact that both quit their jobs, mid-term, to pursue grander ambitions). The charges didn't really connect in New Hampshire -- until Ayotte went ahead and accepted an endorsement from the conspicuously unintelligent Fox News personality.

Overall, Ayotte's lead over Rep. Paul Hodes has dropped from seven points to three fairly quickly. This is currently a Republican seat -- held by the tiring Judd Gregg -- and Democrats have long hoped to turn it into a pick-up opportunity.

Thanks to Palin, that opportunity is suddenly looking more achievable.

—Steve Benen
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Oceansaway Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-27-10 12:39 PM
Response to Original message
1. K&R...n/t
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babylonsister Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-27-10 12:45 PM
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2. UPDATE:
http://voices.washingtonpost.com/plum-line/2010/07/more_evidence_sarah_palin_shou.html

snip//


A recent NBC/WSJ poll found that a majority of adults nationwide would look negatively on candidates endorsed by Palin.

The pattern is becoming overwhelmingly obvious. Palin's current role of celebrity quasi-candidate works for her. It's allowed her to insulate herself from direct media cross-examination and to communicate directly to the Palin Nation hordes, who remain as transfixed as ever. But the rest of the world continues to find her more and more distasteful, and it's growing less likely that she'll succeed if she ever steps outside the bubble she's crafted for herself.

UPDATE, 1:03 p.m.: It gets better: That new poll out of New Hampshire also finds that 51 percent say they're less likely to back a Palin-endorsed candidate; among moderates that number is 65 percent.
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mzmolly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-27-10 12:50 PM
Response to Original message
3. I hope she'll campaign for Bachmann!
:D
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babylonsister Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-27-10 12:52 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. What a great idea!
YES! And Inhofe, Sessions, King, the list is long. :D
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mzmolly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-27-10 12:57 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. LOL
:hi:
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Uncle Joe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-27-10 12:51 PM
Response to Original message
4. Kicked and recommended
Thanks for the thread, babylonsister.
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Scurrilous Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-27-10 01:23 PM
Response to Original message
7. K & R
:thumbsup:
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Bigmack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-27-10 01:33 PM
Response to Original message
8. "Big Grizzly".... reminds me of the line...
.. from Jerimiah Johnson. Bear Claw asks Jerimiah... "Can you skin Grizz?"

Oh...yes... we CAN skin that Griz.
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voteearlyvoteoften Donating Member (548 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-28-10 12:30 PM
Response to Original message
9. OK time to send some love to Hodes
as in bucks, cause we all know in politics that's what makes the world go round. GO HODES!
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-28-10 12:33 PM
Response to Original message
10. You know, I wonder if the same thing happened to the Tea Party.
Remember how Mooselini gave their keynote at the first "national" conference? And then, they couldn't book enough people for the Las Vegas date this summer? They canceled it? Thom pointed out that Netroots Nation had no "summer heat" problem as they claimed and had a much bigger turnout than expected.

I wonder if Palin will kill the tea klan.
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