Check Out These Poll Trend Lines - Democratic Underground

louis c

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Thu Sep-02-10 05:53 PM
Original message

Check Out These Poll Trend Lines

Edited on Thu Sep-02-10 05:57 PM by louis c

Gallup has the approval poll numbers for the Presidents going back to Harry Truman. You can compare Obama with Clinton and Reagan at the same point in each Presidency. The trend lines are eerily similar. The only difference being that Obama is actually ahead of both of them in the same elapsed time in office (Obama 43%-Clinton-39%-Reagan-42%). By the way, both Reagan and Clinton won overwhelming second terms.

link:
http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Approval-Center.aspx

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

FBaggins

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Thu Sep-02-10 05:57 PM
Response to Original message

1. Reagan and Clinton won easy reelections

Carter didn't. And Clinton had to "end the era of big government".

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

DURHAM D

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Thu Sep-02-10 06:06 PM
Response to Original message

2. Obama won with 54% of the popular vote.

He is now down 11% points.

Clinton only won 43% of the popular vote (Perot factor) so he was down only 4%.

JFTR - Clinton didn't even get a majority of votes when re-elected.

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

unblock

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Thu Sep-02-10 06:27 PM
Response to Reply #2

3. perot factor, again. still, he got 70% of the electoral votes and 55% of the dem&rep vote

if perot hadn't won and clinton had won a mere 10% of the perot voters, he would have had a majority in the popular vote.

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

DURHAM D

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Thu Sep-02-10 06:32 PM
Response to Reply #3

4. What does this have to do with the OP? nt

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

unblock

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Thu Sep-02-10 06:37 PM
Response to Reply #4

5. i replied to your post, not the o.p.

you pointed out that clinton didn't get an outright majority of the popular vote in 1996. i just supplied a bit of context and analysis. clinton won showed more strongly than it might appear from that one statistic.

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

Whisp

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Thu Sep-02-10 06:39 PM
Response to Original message

6. by the sound of those fuckers on CNN

Obama has a 1% favourable rating and its dropping fast!

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

Scuba

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Thu Sep-02-10 07:20 PM
Response to Original message

7. Polls are a joke, and more often used to shape public opinion than to measure it....

..."my poll says Americans love Republicans. Jump on board." What bull. Gallop among the worst.

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

louis c

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Thu Sep-02-10 11:50 PM
Response to Reply #7

8. I Don't Want to Clutter Your Mind with the Facts, But............

Here's a run down of all the polls leading up to the final vote in 2008.

Rather than a joke, they were very, very accurate. We ignore polls to our own peril.

Link:
http://www.pollingreport.com/wh08gen.htm

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

Codeine

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Thu Sep-02-10 11:52 PM
Response to Reply #7

9. Nonsense. Hop over to 538 and educate yourself. nt

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

louis c

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Fri Sep-03-10 06:00 AM
Response to Reply #9

10. The Numbers I Posted are False?

The only way to test the accuracy of poll numbers is to match them with the actual vote. So far, the national numbers are within a point or two of each other every time. What a coincidence.

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

DU AdBot (1000+ posts)

Mon Apr 29th 2024, 01:14 PM
Response to Original message

Advertisements [?]

Top

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators

Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.