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2010 will be to Obama what 1982 was to Reagan....

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scheming daemons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-03-10 12:28 AM
Original message
2010 will be to Obama what 1982 was to Reagan....
... a minor rebuke, a minor speed bump on the way to transforming the federal government.


Only this time, Instead of transforming it AWAY from FDR-ism like Reagan did.... Obama will be transforming it AWAY from Reaganism....


2012 will be a landslide win of epic proportions for Obama, the way that 1984 was for Reagan.


Why?


By 2012, the following will have happened:

- Unemployment will be down under 8%
- In the summer of 2011, we'll begin the drawdown in Afghanistan
- Two years of having a Republican foil to push off of in the U.S. House will raise Obama's approval ratings
- The GM and Chrysler bailouts will have been paid back and those two companies will be enjoying enormous success.
- Because of the gridlock in Washington, AND the improving economy (GDP will have risen for nearly 3 years by then), the deficit will have shrunk to half of what it was when Obama took office
- The Republicans will nominate a candidate that will have no chance of competing with Obama on the national stage.
- The demographics of the electorate will continue moving in our favor.. browner and younger.

Obama will win at least 40 states in 2012.


Reagan took the big loss in 1982 in stride... he had already passed the major parts of his agenda and focused on foreign policy in the next two years.

Obama is going to do the same.


...and just as Reagan made us nuts.... Obama will make the right go crazy.



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FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-03-10 12:31 AM
Response to Original message
1. Do you have some accurate past predictions links to go with that?
Edited on Wed Nov-03-10 12:32 AM by FrenchieCat
I'd like to check for accuracy before getting my hopes up.....

But don't get me wrong, I like what you're saying.....
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BootinUp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-03-10 06:06 AM
Response to Reply #1
13. It makes sense, but of course it depends on the economy
actually recovering.
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-03-10 12:38 AM
Response to Original message
2. Deleted message
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OmahaBlueDog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-03-10 12:42 AM
Response to Original message
3. It'll be fewer than 40 states, and it will be razor thin... but I think he'll win
The challenge for Barack Obama will be winning back states that went red tonight like Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida, and Indiana. I agree, however, that unemployment will begin to drop. I also see tonight as evidence that the GOP can sell conservative, but they can't sell crazy. Tonight's wins are bad news for someone like Mitt Romney, who will likely be perceived as "too moderate" in GOP primaries, but also bad news for the "Palin-Angle-O'Donnell-Sheriff Joe" wing of the party.

Unless things get drasticallly worse, the Dems will not have to blow vast sums of money on a bruising primary season. Tonight tells me that the GOP will not have that luxury.
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inna Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-03-10 12:45 AM
Response to Original message
4. says who?

:eyes:
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WilliamPitt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-03-10 12:46 AM
Response to Original message
5. Speak it.
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BlueIris Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-03-10 12:58 AM
Response to Original message
6. In a manner of speaking. nt
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Ter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-03-10 01:16 AM
Response to Original message
7. Reagan won 49 states and 525 electoral votes in 1984
It's impossible for any party to do that again, the country is much more divided.
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cornermouse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-03-10 01:34 AM
Response to Original message
8. People have lost their jobs.
Edited on Wed Nov-03-10 01:56 AM by cornermouse
They're now literally losing the roof over their heads.
They're going to be forced to pay for insurance that they can't afford to use.
If he focuses on foreign policy people are going to keep getting angrier. (massive understatement)
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DeltaLitProf Donating Member (459 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-03-10 01:59 AM
Response to Original message
9. Sorry, but no
Reagan had a lot of Southern conservative Democrats to work with in both chambers. Obama won't have those kind of turncoats from today's radicalized Republicans. How is he going to be able to get unemployment under 8 percent when stimulus spending will be cut off? Does anyone really expect banks to start lending again now that it's clear the only real economic engine we've had since 08 is going to be turned off?

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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-03-10 05:05 AM
Response to Original message
10. Deleted message
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WinkyDink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-03-10 05:07 AM
Response to Original message
11. Obama will not get any credit in the MSM.
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hollowdweller Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-03-10 06:01 AM
Response to Original message
12. No way. Dem congresses are more kind to Republicans

The GOP House will do everything they can to destroy Obama and the dems.

When the GOP is out of power they do everything they can to get all 3 branches back in their control.

Go and look at how many GOP votes that Clinton got VS Democrat votes that Reagan and both Bush's got.
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GeorgeGist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-03-10 09:16 AM
Response to Original message
14. Thanks for the laugh!
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spinbaby Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-03-10 09:26 AM
Response to Original message
15. I wish I were that optimistic
The way the media has been behaving, I figure that come 2012 an improved economy will be hailed as a Republican acheivement. If the economy is worse, it'll be Obama's fault.
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YOY Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-03-10 05:32 PM
Response to Original message
16. Super-D-Dooper!
n/t
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Naturyl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-03-10 05:33 PM
Response to Original message
17. That's a lotta wishful thinking there...
Hope you're right, though. Not gonna happen, but hey, keep hope alive.
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