KY-Sen: Paul Leads Big, Conway Down by Only 1 Point

http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/6886/kysen-paul-leads-big-conway-down-by-only-1-point

SurveyUSA for the Louisville Courier-Journal/WHAS11 (5/9-11, likely voters, 4/9-11 in parens):

Rand Paul (R): 49 (45)
Trey Grayson (R): 33 (30)
Others: 13 (6)
Undecided: 11 (19)
(MoE: 4.8%)

Dan Mongiardo (D): 38 (35)
Jack Conway (D): 37 (32)
Others: 13 (11)
Undecided: 12 (21)
(MoE: 3.9%)

Full crosstabs for the Democratic results are available here, and Republican innards are here.

Pretty bleak numbers for Trey Grayson, who was last seen trailing Rand Paul by 12 points in R2K's latest survey of this race. In fact, it's hard to remember the last non-internal poll that had Grayson in any sort of favorable position. (His campaign released a poll earlier this month showing the race tied, but that was drowned out by PPP showing Paul with a commanding lead the next day.) Well, at least Grayson will have more time to play with his toys pretty soon...

Meanwhile, on the Democratic ballot, Conway appears to be making something of a late surge. This should be a pretty fun race to watch on Tuesday.