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"Obama's 26-pt avg lead in approval compared to Congress is high versus past presidents' margins"

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Clio the Leo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-15-10 09:42 AM
Original message
"Obama's 26-pt avg lead in approval compared to Congress is high versus past presidents' margins"
I only give a lot of weight to a poll when it's compared to other polls. In that spirit....

"Obama Performing Well Relative to Congress' Low Ratings"

Obama's 26-point average lead in approval is high versus past presidents' margins

by Lydia Saad
PRINCETON, NJ -- Since he took office, President Barack Obama's job approval ratings have averaged 26 percentage points higher than Congress' approval ratings in surveys where both were measured at the same time. This is a greater presidential approval edge than what Gallup found for four of the previous five presidents, with the exception being the elder George Bush.



More specifically, across 21 polls conducted since Obama took office in which Gallup measured both presidential and congressional job approval, 52% of Americans approved of Obama and 26% approved of Congress -- a 26-point gap. George W. Bush's average lead in approval over Congress during his eight years in office was 11 points, 49% to 38%. Bill Clinton had an average 18-point edge and Ronald Reagan a 14-point edge. By contrast, the elder George Bush's average approval rating was 30 points higher than Congress' approval rating in seven contemporaneous readings of the two measures conducted between 1990 and 1992.

It should be noted that congressional approval was measured fairly infrequently prior to 1993, and thus, the average ratings calculated for presidents Carter, Reagan, and George H.W. Bush are based on relatively few cases. However, Gallup initiated more frequent updates of the measure in 1993 and implemented monthly updates in 2001 -- thus providing robust comparative statistics for the Clinton, G.W. Bush, and Obama presidencies.

Today and throughout his time in office, President Obama has received a substantially higher approval rating from the American people than has Congress. The average 26-point gap between the two thus far into Obama's term is substantially higher than Gallup has found during most recent administrations. Obama's approval ratings have also been running substantially higher than Americans' satisfaction with the direction of the country. Currently 21% of Americans are satisfied, identical to congressional approval.

Given all this, it appears that Obama is performing above par relative to the broader negative political climate, although the reason is not clear. His approval rating has been below 50% for most of this year -- not good for his party heading into midterm elections -- but given that Congress' ratings are hovering around 20%, it could be much worse.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/143690/Obama-Performing-Well-Relative-Congress-Low-Ratings.aspx?version=print
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Unvanguard Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-15-10 11:26 AM
Response to Original message
1. But does the comparison mean anything?
Obama will never run in an election against Congress.
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Clio the Leo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-15-10 11:38 AM
Response to Reply #1
3. If the GOP takes all or part of Congress in 3 weeks...
... you can BELIEVE he will "run against Congress."

In the short term it has an even better benefit, Bragging rights! :)

With all of the anti-incumbent fever out there, the fact that he continues to hover around the 50% mark says a lot.
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Unvanguard Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-15-10 12:37 PM
Response to Reply #3
8. Well, you'd need a better poll question to make that comparison.
E.g., "Do you trust President Obama or the Republicans in Congress more to handle the economy, foreign policy, etc.?"

Obama has generally led in polls like that, but not by a comparable margin.
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unblock Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-15-10 11:49 AM
Response to Reply #1
5. more relevantly, he won't ever run against former presidents, but it's still revealing
what it does is it controls for the varying levels of anti-washington sentiment among the presidential terms.

if obama's direct favorability ratings are low compared to other presidents, but his "favaorability over congress" is better than other presidents' "favorability over congress", then that suggests that obama's lower direct favorability ratings are due more to the anti-washington mood rather than anything specific about obama or his presidency.
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Unvanguard Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-15-10 12:36 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. That assumes that there is such a thing as "anti-washington sentiment" generically
Edited on Fri Oct-15-10 12:38 PM by Unvanguard
i.e., that the difference has to do with Obama's personal qualities, rather than a difference in how the public evaluates Congresses as opposed to presidents generally.

It seems perfectly possible to me that Congress's approval rating has gone down quite independently of the President's approval rating. Congress is always unpopular. The past two years have been good reason for it to become more so. One important difference may be, for instance, that Obama's approval rating more or less tracks partisan sentiment (Democrats approve, Republicans disapprove), and Congress--in part because nobody votes for Congress as a whole, but only for their particular representative (of whom they generally approve)--inspires more bipartisan dislike for its general dysfunction and intense polarization.
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Ter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-15-10 11:37 AM
Response to Original message
2. Is it that it's high, or Congress' approval is in the toilet?
n/t
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Clio the Leo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-15-10 11:38 AM
Response to Reply #2
4. the latter nt
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treestar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-15-10 12:10 PM
Response to Original message
6. So if people know that Congress is the problem
then why idiotically vote Repubs into the Congress in the midterms?
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Phx_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-15-10 03:02 PM
Response to Original message
9. Is Gallup trying to tell us the media narrative that Obama is circling
Edited on Fri Oct-15-10 03:03 PM by Phx_Dem
the drain is total bullshit? I think so.

Thanks for posting!
:patriot:

edited for typo
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angee_is_mad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-15-10 07:01 PM
Response to Original message
10. Yes he DID
and he will do it again!
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ClarkUSA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-15-10 07:06 PM
Response to Original message
11. This is proof that those who keep saying the midterm results will be Obama's fault are full of shit.
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