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babylonsister Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 07:36 PM
Original message
Record Election Turnout Expected
Is this good news or bad? :shrug:

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2010/11/01/record_election_turnout_expected.html

November 01, 2010

Record Election Turnout Expected


Election turnout expert Michael McDonald projects that a record-breaking 90 million people will cast ballots in the 2010 midterm elections.

First Read: "McDonald, who bases his projections on early voting data as well as trends in individual states, calculates that turnout will be about 41.3 percent of the eligible voting population. That's comparable to the population that turned out in 1994 (41.1 percent of the eligible population) and the highest share since at least 1982."
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Avalux Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 07:37 PM
Response to Original message
1. Historically, good news for Dems.
Let's hope the pattern holds.....

;-)
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Peacetrain Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 07:40 PM
Response to Original message
2. That would be good for us!!
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kwolf68 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 01:58 PM
Response to Reply #2
26. Why?

It rivals the 1994 election and that wasn't good for us.

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rufus dog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 07:43 PM
Response to Original message
3. Someone posted a classic line from one of their professors in college
Studies show that low voter turnout favors Republicans and high voter turnout favors Democrats, so if you are a Republican you should stay at home.

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karynnj Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 08:54 PM
Response to Reply #3
9. I like that idea
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David Zephyr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 07:44 PM
Response to Original message
4. That's good news for Democrats.
And I'm not surprised.

:)
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budkin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 07:44 PM
Response to Original message
5. Seems like it's good, but again it could just be a bunch of angry unemployed people against Dems
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xultar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 07:51 PM
Response to Original message
6. WAIT? But wasn't 1994 the contract with 'Murka bullshit?
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Jennicut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 08:09 PM
Response to Original message
7. That is still really pathetic even if it is really high in comparison to past midterms.
41.3%. Less then half the eligible voters in America.
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K8-EEE Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 08:46 PM
Response to Original message
8. but...but...but....HALF THE ELECTORATE IS DISPIRITED & APATHETIC!
Record turnout is a great sign for us!
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Whisp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 08:54 PM
Response to Reply #8
10. I want to send Blitzer a big dead crow with a cherry on top
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Ellipsis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 09:25 PM
Response to Original message
11. Interesting In 2008 132,618,580 or 56.8% voted and 2006 had 80,588,00 or 37.1 % voted
Edited on Mon Nov-01-10 09:34 PM by Ellipsis
2006 House
Democratic Party 42,082,311
Republican Party 35,674,808
Independent 436,279
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Ellipsis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-10 10:01 PM
Response to Original message
12. Actually in 1994 it was 38.8% ...just sayin'.
Edited on Mon Nov-01-10 10:02 PM by Ellipsis
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ellisonz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 05:08 AM
Response to Original message
13. When the people vote, Democrats win.
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Dr Morbius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 06:13 AM
Response to Reply #13
14. When the Democrats win, the people win.
Just sayin'.
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winstars Donating Member (405 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 06:36 AM
Response to Original message
15. Sounds Good to me but only...

If all us Democrats actually do the right thing. I have read here posts asking if they should hold there nose and vote for a blue dog or the pug??? (Or not vote) HELLO????????????To me, its a no brainer. I would vote for fucking Blanche Lincoln (obviously preferred Halter) if I had that choice... In my particular case, I get to vote for Jerry and Ms. Boxer and for grass but I also have to vote for Jane bleeding Harmon even though I preferred Winograd in the primary.

My point is I hope to god that my way of thinking is prevalent today and the Dem's vote Dem because if we don't we are fucked as a country, despite what Joey the Ladykiller and fucking Peggy No-One is spewing forth as I write this. We will know soon ladies and gents... Good Luck to us.
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BootinUp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 06:39 AM
Response to Original message
16. Short memories anyone?
in 2004 there were record turnouts and we got stomped.
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frazzled Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 08:13 AM
Response to Reply #16
17. We're talking midterm elections, not presidential years
Midterm election years draw substantially lower numbers of voters overall, as compared to years when a presidential race is on the ballot.
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BootinUp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 08:21 AM
Response to Reply #17
18. I am just saying that we underestimate the other sides
ability to turn out the vote with fear mongering and race baiting. Hence I am questioning the high turnout is always good for the Dems theory. Of course muslin fear was still at record levels in 04... so theres that caveat.
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frazzled Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 08:38 AM
Response to Reply #18
20. Absolutely
It's clear we are going to take a beating in the House today, though this is normal--not some cosmic political shift that needs analyzing.

I was just saying we can't compare midterm years to presidential years for a lot of reasons.
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bullwinkle428 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 08:50 AM
Response to Reply #16
22. "Too much turnout" is what ultimately killed Kerry's chances in Ohio
in 2004.
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rasputin1952 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 08:33 AM
Response to Original message
19. I'm one of those 90 million...
and damn proud of it!

VOTE!!!!
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ramapo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 08:47 AM
Response to Original message
21. Busy in North Jersey
We do not even have a state-wide election but there was a steady stream of voters at my polling place this morning. Our congressional race is not competitive as we have a gerrymandered safe Republican district. Somehow I doubt that people are so pissed off that they throw out a reactionary waste of a congresscritter for a conservative Democrat. Maybe people are excited about the town council race.
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Renew Deal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 01:15 PM
Response to Original message
23. Nate Silver says 40% turnout is bad for dems
So I'm not sure what to make of this. He says 50 is better.
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demgrrrll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 01:30 PM
Response to Reply #23
24. they are looking for 65 to 70 percent in St Louis which
I believe will be good for us. I am not totally sure so if anyone has any news let me know. My polling place was packed to the rafters.
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Cognitive_Resonance Donating Member (733 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-10 01:56 PM
Response to Original message
25. People power! Prove the pundits and pollsters wrong. nt
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