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ABC/Wash Post: Pres Obama Approval rating: +9 swing since mid-Dec (Approval 54% - Disapproval 43%)

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Pirate Smile Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-18-11 12:29 AM
Original message
ABC/Wash Post: Pres Obama Approval rating: +9 swing since mid-Dec (Approval 54% - Disapproval 43%)
Edited on Tue Jan-18-11 01:11 AM by Pirate Smile
December 9-10 - Approval 49% - Disapproval 47%

http://www.pollingreport.com/obama_job1.htm

Just an FYI with some good news - if anyone was looking for "the bump". :fistbump:

edit to add - I apologize to bluestateguy before he even responds re polls :hi: .

Washington Post:

Poll shows high marks for Obama on Tucson, low regard for political dialogue

By Dan Balz and Jon Cohen
Washington Post Staff Writers
Tuesday, January 18, 2011; 12:24 AM

Evaluations of President Obama's handling of the Jan. 8 tragedy are highly positive across the political spectrum, with nearly eight in 10 giving him high marks for his response to the incident. A robust 71 percent of Republicans say they approve of his leadership following the shootings.

The strong reviews of the president's response to the Arizona incident - which included giving a prime-time eulogy at a memorial service for the victims - have helped boost Obama's overall approval rating to its highest point since last April. Fully 54 percent of all Americans now approve of the way he is handling his job as president, while 43 percent disapprove.

After calls from leaders in both major parties to temper the discourse after the shootings, Americans are hopeful that Obama and the Republicans in Congress will be able to work together this year on important issues. In the new poll, 55 percent said they are optimistic that the two sides will do so, up seven percentage points from an ABC News-Yahoo News survey taken just before the massacre.

This Post-ABC poll started the evening after Obama's Arizona speech, and the numbers show a big shift among Republicans. In early October, as a heated midterm election campaign entered its final month, GOP approval of Obama dipped to 8 percent. It is now 22 percent. Most Republicans still strongly disapprove of the president's job performance, but at 53 percent, such intense disapproval is down 10 points since December. It is now lower than at any point since the summer of 2009.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/01/17/AR2011011703262.html?hpid=topnews

ABC News:

Obama Approval Moves Ahead Though Challenges Remain
Obama's Job Approval Has Matched his Highest in More Than a Year

Aided by his response to the Tucson shootings, popular lame-duck legislation and a hint of economic relief, Barack Obama has matched his highest job approval rating in more than a year in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, with his ratings for empathy likewise rebounding.

It's a remarkable turnaround for a president so recently hammered in the 2010 midterm elections. Yet the public's mood remains glum, with attendant, continuing hazards for the president and Congress alike.

Fifty-four percent now approve of Obama's job performance, up 5 points from last month and 8 points above his career low in September. And given overwhelming approval of his response to the Tucson attack, Americans by an 18-point margin, 58-40 percent, say Obama "understands the problems of people like you." That's up from a mere 2-point split, 50-48 percent, in September.

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/abc-news-washington-post-poll-obama-approval-moves/story?id=12634581
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Clio the Leo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-18-11 12:38 AM
Response to Original message
1. I dont want a bump...
.... I want a sustained trend. :)

But, then again, given how consistent his numbers have been over the last two years, a nine point swing in either direction is HUGE.
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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-18-11 12:48 AM
Response to Original message
2. Now I am worrying that he is peaking too soon
I prefer him to be in the 47-50% range right now.

Quick, say something stupid tomorrow to knock those numbers down a bit ;)
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RichGirl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-18-11 07:24 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. He's not just peaking....
He's movin' on up!

When the public finds out through personal experience that HCR is actually a good thing...and how hard the republicans have worked to repeal it...he will soar!
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Pirate Smile Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-18-11 10:52 AM
Response to Original message
4. kick
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-18-11 11:20 AM
Response to Original message
5. K&R-that is GREAT! 54%-even more than voted for him in the '08 election!
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Robbins Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-18-11 12:59 PM
Response to Original message
6. Obama
His approval Is also up In new CNN poll to 53 Percent.

The big reason Is Independents have woken up and have swung back to Obama.

Quinnipiac says people are now saying they beleive economy Is recovering and the Obama policies are helping the economy
http://politicalwire.com/archives/2011/01/18/americans_see_economy_improving.html

In 2012 On election night Republicans may be crying.
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Proud Liberal Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-18-11 02:02 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. Better late than never
Edited on Tue Jan-18-11 02:03 PM by Proud Liberal Dem
though we're still going to be stuck with the Republican House Tea Party for the next two years because of the independents whom (once again) let themselves get snookered by all of the Fox Republican Tea Party propaganda into voting them into office in greater numbers. Of course, Cantor, et. al are now saying that they're not in charge of the government, so it seems like they've given up on getting anything accomplished before they've even started (though they still plan to be the "party of no"). :shrug:
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Pirate Smile Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-18-11 11:00 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. Some people, especially Independents, like divided Government.
I'm talking about the Indies that are in the middle. Not Indies that are essentially D's or R's in all of their voting habits or that tend to be further left or right then the parties.

I know Independents who are actually rather contrarians. They don't have a strong philosophical view of which is the best way to govern - from the Democratic POV on Government or the Republican POV on Government. If they did have a strong preference then they would essentially be partisans. I know one Indy who always takes the opposite POV of any partisan on either side. I think if you don't have that strong philosophical view to say which side is right and which is wrong THEN you tend to like divided Government where there is always a check on the power of any individual partisan viewpoint. Now, they can relax a bit and, some of them, go back to liking President Obama since they no longer have to worry about what they view as Democratic over-reach.

I'm not saying I agree with this POV in any way. I'm just saying that I know people like this. It drives me batty when trying to deal with them but that is just where they stand.
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Proud Liberal Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-19-11 11:07 AM
Response to Reply #9
10. Divided government might work fine
if both parties were equally responsible and are willing to actually listen to and work with each other but today's Republican Tea Party seems to be all about obtaining and maintaining political power, crushing their opponents into dust, and obstructing ANYTHING the other side tries to do when they're not in power. I don't think that some independents have figured this out yet. :shrug:
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Pirate Smile Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-19-11 11:16 AM
Response to Reply #10
11. Great point. It works when both parties are acting in good faith for the benefit of the country.
Edited on Wed Jan-19-11 11:28 AM by Pirate Smile
The Republican Party completely turned their back on that type of governance even before President Obama was sworn in. They weren't acting to save the Country from another Great Depression. All of their focus was on gaining power in 2010 & 2012. There was a great article on how this action has completely up-ended how our Government works. I'll try to find it.

However, Independents didn't notice this change which is why their rewarding Republicans for their actions since January 2009 was idiotic.

edit to add - here is the article - http://www.tnr.com/blog/jonathan-chait/78940/the-logic-republican-total-opposition

The Logic Of Republican Total Opposition

This is a pretty telling window into the House GOP's strategy for taking back the majority:

The PowerPoint slides presented to House Republicans in January 2009 seemed incongruously optimistic at a time when the very word “hope” belonged to the newly ascendant Democrats and their incoming president, Barack Obama.

“If the goal of the majority is to govern, what is the purpose of the minority?” one slide asked.
“The purpose of the minority,” came the answer, “is to become the majority.”

The presentation was the product of a strategy session held 11 days before Mr. Obama’s inauguration, when top Republican leaders in the House of Representatives began devising an early blueprint for what they would accomplish in Tuesday’s election: their comeback.


It's probably always been true that the fundamental role of the minority is to oppose the majority and pave the way to winning reelection. America's long history of ideologically amorphous parties, a relic of Southern Apartheid policies, created a tradition of cross-party cooperation. Those social norms persist, and both Washington elites and many Americans expect the two parties to work together as if they aren't engaged in zero-sum political conflict.

But the truth is that, when the minority party cooperates with the majority party president, it generally makes the president and his policies more popular. The difference is that the Republican Party of 2009-10 is probably the first opposition party to fully recognize the dynamic and make this the core of its legislative strategy from the very outset.


Here is how Mitch McConnell explained the dynamic in March:

“It was absolutely critical that everybody be together because if the proponents of the bill were able to say it was bipartisan, it tended to convey to the public that this is O.K., they must have figured it out,” Mr. McConnell said about the health legislation in an interview, suggesting that even minimal Republican support could sway the public. “It’s either bipartisan or it isn’t.”


McConnell's speech today makes this strategy even more explicit:

An emboldened Sen. Mitch McConnell on Thursday will declare that President Barack Obama must be defeated in 2012 because Republicans "can't plan" on the White House to listen to voters and cooperate on some of his party's top political priorities.
“Over the past week, some have said it was indelicate of me to suggest that our top political priority over the next two years should be to deny President Obama a second term in office," the Senate Republican leader will tell the conservative Heritage Foundation, according to excerpts of his speech provided to POLITICO.
“But the fact is, if our primary legislative goals are to repeal and replace the health spending bill, to end the bailouts, cut spending and shrink the size and scope of government, the only way to do all these things is to put someone in the White House who won’t veto any of these things," the Kentucky Republican will say. "We can hope the president will start listening to the electorate after Tuesday’s election. But we can’t plan on it.”


In the media you're seeing a lot of familiar claims that the two parties need to work together. There is no incentive for the Republicans to do so. Even on issues where they can get a pure win, handing a win to Obama reduces their ability to gain the presidency in 2012. So why would they pursue an ancillary part of their agenda and reduce the chance to achieve the core elements of that agenda?

The trouble, of course, is that our political system isn't set up to handle this reality. It was not designed with parties in mind. That's another reason we have strong social norms dictating that elected officials ignore their political interests, at least for some period after elections. But that norm is dead. Meanwhile, we're left with a political system that doesn't work.


http://www.tnr.com/blog/jonathan-chait/78940/the-logic-republican-total-opposition


This actually makes the Lame-Duck successes seem even more surprising.
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tallahasseedem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-18-11 03:22 PM
Response to Original message
8. It's about time...
that the rest of the country is realizing what many here on DU know...

Our President is awesome!

Suck it haters...
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