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Obama approval rating in Keystone state… 41%

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aaaaaa5a Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-10-11 09:33 AM
Original message
Obama approval rating in Keystone state… 41%
Edited on Fri Jun-10-11 09:45 AM by aaaaaa5a
http://content.usatoday.com/communities/theoval/post/2011/06/obama-struggling-in-keystone-state-poll-says/1


The story….
"A new poll from Susquehanna Polling and Research says that 48% of Pennsylvanians disapprove of Obama's performance, while 41% approve."


The good…
Nothing was good from the data! Thankfully the election is still over a year away. Hopefully this is just an outlier. Pennsylvania hasn't voted for a Republican since 1988


The bad….
"Only 43% of registered voters in Pennsylvania say Obama has done well enough to deserve re-election, the poll said; 50% say " it is time to give a new person a chance.""



The interesting…
"The big problem for Obama: defections among Democrats. Voters in Obama's own party rate his performance at 61 percent positive to 30 percent negative compared to March's 69-21 percent ratio."




My take….
Pennsylvania is a must win state for us in 2012. (Despite popular fanfare Ohio and Florida are NOT must win states). A 41% approval rating is on the downside, and this is certainly a state you would like to see him above 50%. The silver lining is that if President is at 41% with only a 61% positive approval rating from the state Democrats, then there is certainly room to sure up the base for 2012.


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phleshdef Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-10-11 09:34 AM
Response to Original message
1. Do you have a link and why does your OP say 48% approve?
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Richardo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-10-11 09:35 AM
Response to Original message
2. Your article quote says the 41% is the DISapproval rating, with 48% approving...
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aaaaaa5a Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-10-11 09:37 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. Sorry guys! The numbers got mixed up.

It should be fixed now.


Wow! You guys work fast. The thread hasn't been up for more than 2 minutes. You guys read MUCH FASTER than I can type in the corrections! LOL!
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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-10-11 09:41 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. It still isn't fixed. n/t
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aaaaaa5a Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-10-11 09:46 AM
Response to Reply #4
5. Sorry, its not my day. It should be fixed now.


What the heck is wrong with me this morning????????????????
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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-10-11 09:48 AM
Response to Reply #5
6. Never mind, I see the problem:
Edited on Fri Jun-10-11 09:53 AM by ProSense
You typed the information from the orginal article inaccurately.

Sorry.

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DebJ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-10-11 09:53 AM
Response to Original message
7. I'm meeting with an OFA person here in southcentral PA
this afternoon to start getting things up and running. The biggest issue in York, in my experience, is getting people to the polls. Turnout was phenomenal in 2008 in the city itself, which Obama won (suburbs way too Repup). But in earlier elections, despite high voter registration, turnout in the city was hideous. I don't think it even hit 20% in 2004.

Going door-to-door for hundreds and hundreds of doors in 2004 was an eye-opener. Many city residents had never voted, and didn't know anyone who did. Many could not name even 1 political party, and had no idea which party promoted what. They don't even know what basic issues ARE, much less what they are about, or how such impacts their lives.

I'm betting that is still pretty much the same; that Obama was an anomaly that caught their attention. And the thousands of people from out of state who came to help over the months caught their attention as well. Having voted once now, have they paid any more attention? For most, I doubt it, so our work must begin at Square One (except better organized, much much better than 2004).
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aaaaaa5a Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-10-11 09:57 AM
Response to Reply #7
8. We are going to need a huge turnout in the city to win PA


Philadelphia will have to carry the state for us. We need a good turnout there to offset what will likely happen in the more rural parts of the state.


Thank you very much for your hard work. Your efforts are greatly appreciated.
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JVS Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-10-11 09:59 AM
Response to Original message
9. The fact that social security hasn't gotten a raise in years is going to hurt him there.
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still_one Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-10-11 10:16 AM
Response to Reply #9
11. and the fact that if they elect a republican, they may destroy social security, is going to help
them?

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phleshdef Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-10-11 10:28 AM
Response to Reply #9
12. That would be pretty stupid considering Presidents aren't involved in social security raises.
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still_one Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-10-11 10:15 AM
Response to Original message
10. Hey Pennsylvania, you want Medicare and Social Security destroyed, then vote republican, you idiots
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CakeGrrl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-10-11 12:16 PM
Response to Reply #10
17. THAT is the message that needs to be pounded home over and over.
(Minus the "idiots", of course)

;-)
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still_one Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-10-11 12:36 PM
Response to Reply #17
19. of course /nt
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fugop Donating Member (901 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-10-11 11:05 AM
Response to Original message
13. McCain/Palin could totally win Pa.!!!
And Kerry definitely could maybe lose!!!

This state continues to be one of the Holy Grail states that the GOP thinks they can win. They must do a lot of polling in the great in-between area. But every time, their hopes are squashed. Here's hoping 2012 is yet another year where the GOP sinks money into the state only to leave with their shattered dreams ... again.
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aaaaaa5a Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-10-11 11:56 AM
Response to Reply #13
14. +1


Despite this poll, I still have Pennsylvania firmly in the Blue column.
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Eagle Mall Donating Member (199 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-10-11 12:00 PM
Response to Original message
15. where'd you dig this piece of crap up?
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AtomicKitten Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-10-11 12:07 PM
Response to Original message
16. Some info on the polling company and this particular poll:
link: http://earlyreturns.sites.post-gazette.com/index.php/early-returns-20/53-post-gazette-staff/2881-poll-obama-pa-approval-41

Some bad news for President Barack Obama in a new Susquehanna poll. The right-leaning, Harrisburg-based firm finds that Obama's approval rating in Pennsylvania is 41 percent, with 48 percent disapproving of the job he's doing. The poll also finds that 43 percent say he deserves re-election with 50 percent saying it's time for someone new.

Note: It's an automated poll with respondents keying their answers into the phone pad, a type which many in the pollingocracy find to be less reliable. The firm says its margin of error is 2.6 percent.
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aaaaaa5a Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-10-11 12:18 PM
Response to Reply #16
18. Great added information.


It is hard to believe the Presidents approval rating would be over 50% in North Carolina but 41% in Pennsylvania.


I said in an earlier post, I still regard PA as a solid blue state, and fools gold for the GOP!


Thank you.
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AtomicKitten Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-10-11 01:03 PM
Response to Reply #18
21. De nada. Outliers are fun but no reason to get the vapors!
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BklnDem75 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-10-11 12:51 PM
Response to Original message
20. Susquehanna Polling & Research
Susquehanna Polling & Research was founded by James Lee in 2000.<1> The firm is the official polling company for ABC 27 television station in Harrisburg.<1> The firm specializes in polling services for Republican candidates, trade groups, businesses and lobbying firms in Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Delaware, and Maryland.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Susquehanna_Polling_%26_Research
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