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POLL: Independent Voters Flee Boehner, Congressional GOP on Debt. Big Obama advantage.

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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-30-11 07:41 AM
Original message
POLL: Independent Voters Flee Boehner, Congressional GOP on Debt. Big Obama advantage.
Independent Voters Flee Boehner, Congressional GOP
Overview

A national web survey conducted this week by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner on behalf of Democracy Corps, shows that Independent voters do not trust House Speaker John Boehner and the Congressional Republicans on the debt ceiling and budget deficit debate. These swing voters are tuned in and paying close attention to the debt ceiling debate in Washington and are very concerned about what could happen to the economy should Congress not act.

Most problematic for Speaker Boehner and Republicans is these voters represent a critical bloc that propelled them into the majority last November, but have now turned away from the Republicans. Independent voters supported Republicans nationally by a double digit margin last November, but that support has fallen off during the debt ceiling debate. Independents are extremely negative toward Boehner and just 30 percent favor Boehner and the Republicans’ approach on the debt ceiling debate. Boehner’s personal standing is abysmally low with this bloc, including among self-described conservatives.

Equally important, President Obama has a sizeable advantage over Boehner and the Republicans among Independents on who is more concerned with the interests of the middle class, and Boehner is viewed as looking out more for millionaires and billionaires by a huge margin. Independents simply don’t see Boehner as an advocate for the middle class.

President Obama and Democrats have a real advantage as Boehner and Republicans lack credibility among these swing voters as the debt ceiling debate continues.

http://www.democracycorps.com/strategy/2011/07/independent-voters-flee-boehner-congressional-gop/

FULL RESULTS -- http://www.democracycorps.com/wp-content/files/Independents_Webtest_FQ.pdf
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still_one Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-30-11 08:10 AM
Response to Original message
1. That may all be fine and dandy, but if we default this will hurt everyone, which is why Obama had
better use the 14th amendment if it comes to that or there could be revolution

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bowens43 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-30-11 08:41 AM
Response to Original message
2. So?
The people lose either way. A win for Obama is also a loss for our seniors.

Trying to spin Obama's surrender into a win is ridiculous.
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Doctor Hurt Donating Member (472 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-30-11 08:53 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. You fail to understand at all
A win for Obama here is a Democratic loss, yes. And it is a Republican win. But it is a TEA PARTY loss.

If there is any deal, it will break the back of the Tea Party Republican alliance. And for the short and long term, that is very important.
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yurbud Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-30-11 03:17 PM
Response to Reply #2
16. Obama nevers seems to realize when he has a winning hand and force the GOP to fold
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Pisces Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-30-11 03:51 PM
Response to Reply #16
18. That's why he got so much done in the lame duck, he just doesn't understand. ( no sarcasm tag needed
You don't seem to understand the players in Congress, and that Obama doesn't have a wand or a scepter.
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yurbud Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-30-11 04:17 PM
Response to Reply #18
19. he does have an ability to move public opinion which he doesn't use except in the 11th
hour when he asked people to call their congressmen and tell them to compromise. Even a debatable use of the bully pulpit like that had an effect--imagine if he did that upfront and set the priorities instead of waiting for the GOP to do it?
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yurbud Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-30-11 04:35 PM
Response to Reply #18
20. is concession the only way to deal with the profoundly corrupt GOP and corrupt faction of his own
party?

Should we be happy that he's trying to give away Social Security and Medicare in exchange for what? The Department of Agriculture adopting the metric system? The Department of Labor adding Urdu to the available languages for their pamphlets?

This schtick about Obama being the consummate insider is wearing thin, especially when his supporters try to claim it's on our behalf.
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sundancekid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-30-11 08:20 PM
Response to Reply #16
24. verily you jest - that's a LOT of benefit of the doubt - facts don't match your crapola
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yurbud Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-31-11 05:03 AM
Response to Reply #24
29. I would be glad to be presented with a list of major concessions he got from the GOP
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Enthusiast Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-31-11 06:45 AM
Response to Reply #16
31. "Seems"
He knows perfectly well he had winning hand. He simply doesn't want to win.
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Jennicut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-30-11 09:24 AM
Response to Original message
4. Now if only these people hadn't voted the Rethugs in to begin with.
Will some people ever learn?
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mikekohr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-30-11 11:35 AM
Response to Reply #4
12. Bingo!
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Phx_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-30-11 04:42 PM
Response to Reply #4
21. No kidding. Now that the people they voted for have brought us to the bink
of disaster, they realize . . . oops. But, I'd still rather have them with us than against us. And I definitely perfer indies to emos.
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woo me with science Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-30-11 09:38 AM
Response to Original message
5. This is not a fucking horse race.
The people have already lost.
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Prism Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-30-11 09:53 AM
Response to Reply #5
6. It's a web survey . . .
Which is sort of hilarious. Gallup has the President's approval among Independents at 34% this week. So that's certainly an . . . interesting categorization of the story from the OP's article.

Who needs reality. We have numbers! Beautiful, beautiful random numbers!

Yeah, people are ok, too.

But seriously, numbers.
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woo me with science Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-30-11 10:09 AM
Response to Reply #6
7. Interesting indeed.
Numbers in an Orwellian Twilight Zone.

Thanks.
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swilton Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-30-11 02:41 PM
Response to Reply #6
14. Guess whose think tank Democracy Corps is?
James Carville - just go to the link.
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Doctor Hurt Donating Member (472 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-30-11 08:26 PM
Response to Reply #6
26. nothing wrong with a web survey
if you have the demographic information on who's taking the survey.
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bhikkhu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-30-11 03:33 PM
Response to Reply #5
17. Exactly - there's no finish line or end point
...so regardless of how this week or this month or this year goes, down the road we'll still have to deal with tea party boneheads, or not. They got voted in once, they can get voted out, and the '20's are being set up now to be either a miserable long slog - much worse than the Bush years - or perhaps good government is possible again.

The party that thinks and plans long-term tends to gain, which is one thing that gets me (off the point a bit) when hearing things like "Someone said something bad about what Obama might do - I'm not voting for him again!"
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COLGATE4 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-30-11 10:09 AM
Response to Original message
8. Unfortunately that would only be some consolation if the Presidential
election were this year rather than next. By this time next year the default will probably have occurred with all its attendant negative impacts on everybody's economy, large and small, and the voters will just be pissed off, period. At that point the object of their desire to 'get even with someone' will, I believe, cause them to vote against Obama because 'he owns the depression caused by the default'.
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CakeGrrl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-30-11 10:32 AM
Response to Reply #8
9. Voting the architects of the problem back to power only makes it worse.
The questions are how do these people learn how it happened, and who will help spread that word?

Otherwise, voter ignorance will hasten the downfall.
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Sheepshank Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-30-11 10:36 AM
Response to Original message
10. too bad this poll and this debate isn't occuring July 2012. n/t
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treestar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-30-11 10:58 AM
Response to Original message
11. Of course, because it is the Republicans being unreasonable here
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swilton Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-30-11 02:39 PM
Response to Original message
13. Democracy Corps
the sponsor of this poll has times to long-time DLC advocate James Carville. I do not believe that these statistics aren't biased in support of the Obama/DLC (or whatever corporate democrats call themselves these days) strategy which after all 'proposed' the SS/medicare/medicaid cuts in the first place.

While Independent voters might prefer Obama over Boehner, they would be just as likely favor Mickey Mouse as John Boehner.

I am not convinced that Obama is winning points with Independents on this strategy.
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Doctor Hurt Donating Member (472 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-30-11 08:25 PM
Response to Reply #13
25. I've worked with Democracy Corps derived polling data before
their data is fine and well respected. They are a message shop, using accurate polling data to try and tailor Democratic responses to accurately measured public opinion.

Their a clean polling outfit.
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Imajika Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-30-11 02:48 PM
Response to Original message
15. Results are not surprising...
The teabagger extremists look like fanatical nuts.

Still, a web survey? Not sure I take web survey's very seriously.
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Tarheel_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-30-11 07:33 PM
Response to Original message
22. Doesn't surprise me one bit.
:kick:
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Juche Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-30-11 07:51 PM
Response to Original message
23. Lois, undecided voters are the biggest idiots on the planet
Edited on Sat Jul-30-11 07:52 PM by Juche
Even if they turn on the GOP right now, so what. They'll change their minds in 2012. And 2014, then 2016.

Besides, what are the choices? A party of plutocrats or a party willing to give up programs that benefit the middle class and poor? People who work for a living have no real representation in national politics.
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Dawson Leery Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-30-11 11:53 PM
Response to Original message
27. kick
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Tx4obama Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-31-11 01:43 AM
Response to Original message
28. K&R n/t
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Enthusiast Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-31-11 06:42 AM
Response to Original message
30. Independents will change their
minds about Obama after he cuts social security and medicare.
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