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First: •Amount of annual surplus in 2011: $69 billion
How can we know that? 2011 isn't even half over yet.
Second: •Projected Trust Fund Balance for 2011: $2.7 trillion
Ok, when is the government going to run the surpluses needed to pay that back without either reborrowing it from the open market (China, etc.) or inflating the currency by printing money to redeem those specialized Treasury securities that constitute the trust fund?
Third: •Drop in value of Social Security benefits during the Great Recession: $0
That would be true if inflation during the Great Recession was zero. We all know it hasn't been like that, even though COLA's have been stagnant.
Fourth: •Number of recessions Social Security has weathered without failing to pay benefits: 13
True, but in all those recessions, good paying jobs returned to shore up the system with high FICA taxes. The current 'recovery', if you can call it that, has seen many people take drastic cuts in pay from what they did back in 2007, IF they've been lucky enough to get a job. If the jobs that pay decently come back, then Social Security might be able to meet the projections of lasting another couple of decades before really hitting the wall.
Here's another fact: The very first wave of baby boomers to collect full benefits is just hitting the Social Security System this year. Behind them is a wave of people that will only crest when the folks born in 1957 are eligible to collect a full benefit, and they will be followed by the still-strong ebbing of the boomers for another seven years. My guess is that many, if not most, of the people first collecting this year will still be on the rolls.
How will Social Security survive a crisis the likes of which it has never seen before? It survived before by raising taxes on the baby boom generation, that sure can't happen again.
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