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If they split, it's an indicator, but not a certain one.
Outsiders (you and me and the rest of us) pretend we know something about the relationship of a couple they don't even know in person. We neurotically fit the couple's relationship into a template of what a relationship is supposed to be, even though most of us know this template doesn't actually fit many or most of the relationships we actually do know something about in person.
The couple under examination know the same template. They know the rules of political theater that they're supposed to follow. So the protestations of the man that he's so sorry he hurt her (which maybe he did, and maybe he is) and of the woman that she's standing by her man may in fact be true, but they may merely be kabuki for public consumption. Either way, these protestations are a ritual they are required to play out for the ravenous, pretend-puritan media and public.
If they had an open relationship or both got off on random flirtations with strangers, they definitely wouldn't tell you. Their public statements would be the same. If they ever told you such a thing, they'd be subjected to a whole new witchhunt.
In other words the reality of the couple being scrutinized (which is none of our business, absolutely none whatsoever, as long as no coercion is involved) may by coincidence be just like the template we are expected by social convention to project upon it. But could just as easily be different. Either way you'd see them act the same way.
Long as they stay together, it is and should be a black box to you and me and the rest of us, because it really is none of our business. Everyone obsessing on it is doing so to satisfy their own repressed titillation or petty need to condemn imagined moral deviance. (That last part you may call my own projection on to the public, if you wish).
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