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Debt ceiling lifted until 2013. SS, Medicare, Vets benefits, and Pell grants protected.

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TheWraith Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-31-11 11:41 PM
Original message
Debt ceiling lifted until 2013. SS, Medicare, Vets benefits, and Pell grants protected.
Mandatory vote to take place later this year on a package that will almost certainly include tax hikes and/or closing loopholes. Tea Party enraged with the Republicans. Boehner's career as speaker potentially over. Budget cuts to be delayed a few years to prevent them from harming the recovering economy.

Something tells me that Boner is sinking deep into the bottle tonight. He just got schooled.
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Big Blue Marble Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-31-11 11:46 PM
Response to Original message
1. There will be no tax hikes later this year.
And where did you read that there will be no cuts to the programs you itemize?

I heard Obama say tonight that everything is on the table. That means everything on your list.
He wants entitlements reformed and sooner rather than later.

How would you ever imagine a tax increase getting through this House with this crowd?
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still_one Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-31-11 11:48 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. In 6 months the start chamber has to decide what to cut, and if they cannot, it will be a mandatory
across the board cut, including Medicare

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peace frog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 02:13 AM
Response to Reply #3
15. Indeed, what incentive do they have to agree?
All the GOPers need do is hold onto their "party of NO" and the cuts they want will follow. Simple.

Kiss it all goodbye, friends. Nice run while it lasted but it's gone, baby, gone.
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BzaDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 02:56 AM
Response to Reply #15
23. Simple. The cuts that will follow do not touch SS/Medicare benefits, or Medicaid, or other programs
that affect the poor, or veterans benefits/military pay. But they do gut defense, and I mean gut, defense (600 billion on top of the 350 billion in the first tranche).
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peace frog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 05:33 AM
Response to Reply #23
30. Teabaggers do not care about Defense
They care about cuts to entitlements and taxes, and they will get them without breaking a sweat. Simple.
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BzaDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 07:05 AM
Response to Reply #30
31. No, they won't, because Democrats wouldn't agree to cuts in entitlements paired with cuts in taxes.
So it is quite simple (just the other way around).

While it is correct that Teabaggers don't care about Defense, the House Republicans absolutely cares about defense. Motions by the teabaggers in the House to cut defense are routinely voted down by 5-1 margins among Republicans.
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peace frog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 07:37 AM
Response to Reply #31
35. You may be absolutely certain the teabaggers will hold sway
over mainstream Republicans in both the House and Senate. Defense cuts are miniscule compared to the size of the overal Defense budget, and the RW will gladly make a small sacrifice to cut taxes and entitlements. Count on it.
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bvar22 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 12:44 PM
Response to Reply #23
41. I will believe THAT right after I sign up for the Public Option,
and get my new High Paying NAFTA job.
:patriot:


I've seen this show before,
and it doesn't end well for the Working Class, the Retired, and the Poor.

Cherish your memories, SUCKERS!
because we're TAKING everything else!
Hahahahahahaha!





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still_one Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-31-11 11:47 PM
Response to Original message
2. Based on what just happened, what assures you that tax hikes and loopholes would be part of the
package?

I also have serious doubts that this will even get through Congress.

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CoffeeCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-31-11 11:49 PM
Response to Original message
4. First time I've heard of any of this...
And as far as awful choices goes--this is not the worst.

However, I'm leery of a future vote that "almost certainly include tax hikes and/or closing loopholes".

These bastards will do everything possible to avoid that kind of vote. So, that's no big win for us.

I guess my biggest concern is that we don't screw over seniors in this deal. If that was avoided, it is
a win--which is a very sad thing to say, since we've got a Dem President and we're fighting off cutting
these programs.

If you have more info on this, could you please post. First I've heard that the deal would look like this.
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TheWraith Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 12:49 AM
Response to Reply #4
12. Then they vote them down, and we campaign on them being unwilling to close tax loopholes. nt
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Leopolds Ghost Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 02:21 AM
Response to Reply #4
17. The bill would include automatic austerity measures --with no tax hikes-- if the committee is vetoed
It's a Medicare / SS privatization scheme.
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Unvanguard Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-31-11 11:51 PM
Original message
Duplicate. n/t
Edited on Sun Jul-31-11 11:51 PM by Unvanguard
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Unvanguard Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-31-11 11:51 PM
Response to Original message
5. I think that's a misleading characterization of the likely outcome of this.
SS, Medicare, and veterans' benefits are protected only if we get debt cuts via the trigger mechanism rather than through the committee's recommendations. Conversely, tax increases will only happen if the committee agrees to them and its recommendations get through Congress, which would mean that the trigger mechanism does not go into effect.

Reasonable people can disagree on which one we'll get, or whether we'll get either: I still think the most likely outcome is that the committee's recommendations involve no or minimal tax increases and they successfully get through Congress. But we won't get both.
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FourScore Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-31-11 11:52 PM
Response to Original message
6. link? n/t
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trueblue2007 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-31-11 11:54 PM
Response to Original message
7. here is the deal ..... from the white house websitr
Fact Sheet: Bipartisan Debt Deal: A Win for the Economy and Budget Discipline
Bipartisan Debt Deal: A Win for the Economy and Budget Discipline

* Removes the cloud of uncertainty over our economy at this critical time, by ensuring that no one will be able to use the threat of the nation’s first default now, or in only a few months, for political gain;
* Locks in a down payment on significant deficit reduction, with savings from both domestic and Pentagon spending, and is designed to protect crucial investments like aid for college students;
* Establishes a bipartisan process to seek a balanced approach to larger deficit reduction through entitlement and tax reform;
* Deploys an enforcement mechanism that gives all sides an incentive to reach bipartisan compromise on historic deficit reduction, while protecting Social Security, Medicare beneficiaries and low-income programs;
* Stays true to the President’s commitment to shared sacrifice by preventing the middle class, seniors and those who are most vulnerable from shouldering the burden of deficit reduction. The President did not agree to any entitlement reforms outside of the context of a bipartisan committee process where tax reform will be on the table and the President will insist on shared sacrifice from the most well-off and those with the most indefensible tax breaks.

Mechanics of the Debt Deal

* Immediately enacted 10-year discretionary spending caps generating nearly $1 trillion in deficit reduction; balanced between defense and non-defense spending.
* President authorized to increase the debt limit by at least $2.1 trillion, eliminating the need for further increases until 2013.
* Bipartisan committee process tasked with identifying an additional $1.5 trillion in deficit reduction, including from entitlement and tax reform. Committee is required to report legislation by November 23, 2011, which receives fast-track protections. Congress is required to vote on Committee recommendations by December 23, 2011.
* Enforcement mechanism established to force all parties – Republican and Democrat – to agree to balanced deficit reduction. If Committee fails, enforcement mechanism will trigger spending reductions beginning in 2013 – split 50/50 between domestic and defense spending. Enforcement protects Social Security, Medicare beneficiaries, and low-income programs from any cuts.

1. REMOVING UNCERTAINTY TO SUPPORT THE AMERICAN ECONOMY

* Deal Removes Cloud of Uncertainty Until 2013, Eliminating Key Headwind on the Economy: Independent analysts, economists, and ratings agencies have all made clear that a short-term debt limit increase would create unacceptable economic uncertainty by risking default again within only a matter of months and as S&P stated, increase the chance of a downgrade. By ensuring a debt limit increase of at least $2.1 trillion, this deal removes the specter of default, providing important certainty to our economy at a fragile moment.
* Mechanism to Ensure Further Deficit Reduction is Designed to Phase-In Beginning in 2013 to Avoid Harming the Recovery: The deal includes a mechanism to ensure additional deficit reduction, consistent with the economic recovery. The enforcement mechanism would not be made effective until 2013, avoiding any immediate contraction that could harm the recovery. And savings from the down payment will be enacted over 10 years, consistent with supporting the economic recovery.

2. A DOWNPAYMENT ON DEFICIT REDUCTION BY LOCKING IN HISTORIC SPENDING DISCIPLINE – BALANCED BETWEEN DOMESTIC AND PENTAGON SPENDING

* More than $900 Billion in Savings over 10 Years By Capping Discretionary Spending: The deal includes caps on discretionary spending that will produce more than $900 billion in savings over the next 10 years compared to the CBO March baseline, even as it protects core investments from deep and economically damaging cuts.
* Includes Savings of $350 Billion from the Base Defense Budget – the First Defense Cut Since the 1990s: The deal puts us on track to cut $350 billion from the defense budget over 10 years. These reductions will be implemented based on the outcome of a review of our missions, roles, and capabilities that will reflect the President’s commitment to protecting our national security.
* Reduces Domestic Discretionary Spending to the Lowest Level Since Eisenhower: These discretionary caps will put us on track to reduce non-defense discretionary spending to its lowest level since Dwight Eisenhower was President.
* Includes Funding to Protect the President’s Historic Investment in Pell Grants: Since taking office, the President has increased the maximum Pell award by $819 to a maximum award $5,550, helping over 9 million students pay for college tuition bills. The deal provides specific protection in the discretionary budget to ensure that the there will be sufficient funding for the President’s historic investment in Pell Grants without undermining other critical investments.

3. ESTABLISHING A BIPARTISAN PROCESS TO ACHIEVE $1.5 TRILLION IN ADDITIONAL BALANCED DEFICIT REDUCTION BY THE END OF 2011

* The Deal Locks in a Process to Enact $1.5 Trillion in Additional Deficit Reduction Through a Bipartisan, Bicameral Congressional Committee: The deal creates a bipartisan, bicameral Congressional Committee that is charged with enacting $1.5 trillion in additional deficit reduction by the end of the year. This Committee will work without the looming specter of default, ensuring time to carefully consider essential reforms without the disruption and brinksmanship of the past few months.
* This Committee is Empowered Beyond Previous Bipartisan Attempts at Deficit Reduction: Any recommendation of the Committee would be given fast-track privilege in the House and Senate, assuring it of an up or down vote and preventing some from using procedural gimmicks to block action.
* To Meet This Target, the Committee Will Consider Responsible Entitlement and Tax Reform. This means putting all the priorities of both parties on the table – including both entitlement reform and revenue-raising tax reform.

4. A STRONG ENFORCEMENT MECHANISM TO MAKE ALL SIDES COME TOGETHER

* The Deal Includes An Automatic Sequester to Ensure That At Least $1.2 Trillion in Deficit Reduction Is Achieved By 2013 Beyond the Discretionary Caps: The deal includes an automatic sequester on certain spending programs to ensure that—between the Committee and the trigger—we at least put in place an additional $1.2 trillion in deficit reduction by 2013.
* Consistent With Past Practice, Sequester Would Be Divided Equally Between Defense and Non-Defense Programs and Exempt Social Security, Medicaid, and Low-Income Programs: Consistent with the bipartisan precedents established in the 1980s and 1990s, the sequester would be divided equally between defense and non-defense program, and it would exempt Social Security, Medicaid, unemployment insurance, programs for low-income families, and civilian and military retirement. Likewise, any cuts to Medicare would be capped and limited to the provider side.
* Sequester Would Provide a Strong Incentive for Both Sides to Come to the Table: If the fiscal committee took no action, the deal would automatically add nearly $500 billion in defense cuts on top of cuts already made, and, at the same time, it would cut critical programs like infrastructure or education. That outcome would be unacceptable to many Republicans and Democrats alike – creating pressure for a bipartisan agreement without requiring the threat of a default with unthinkable consequences for our economy.

5. A BALANCED DEAL CONSISTENT WITH THE PRESIDENT’S COMMITMENT TO SHARED SACRIFICE

* The Deal Sets the Stage for Balanced Deficit Reduction, Consistent with the President’s Values: The deal is designed to achieve balanced deficit reduction, consistent with the values the President articulated in his April Fiscal Framework. The discretionary savings are spread between both domestic and defense spending. And the President will demand that the Committee pursue a balanced deficit reduction package, where any entitlement reforms are coupled with revenue-raising tax reform that asks for the most fortunate Americans to sacrifice.
* The Enforcement Mechanism Complements the Forcing Event Already In Law – the Expiration of the Bush Tax Cuts – To Create Pressure for a Balanced Deal: The Bush tax cuts expire as of 1/1/2013, the same date that the spending sequester would go into effect. These two events together will force balanced deficit reduction. Absent a balanced deal, it would enable the President to use his veto pen to ensure nearly $1 trillion in additional deficit reduction by not extending the high-income tax cuts.
* In Securing this Bipartisan Deal, the President Rejected Proposals that Would Have Placed the Sole Burden of Deficit Reduction on Low-Income or Middle-Class Families: The President stood firmly against proposals that would have placed the sole burden of deficit reduction on lower-income and middle-class families. This includes not only proposals in the House Republican Budget that would have undermined the core commitments of Medicare to our seniors and forced tens of millions of low-income Americans to go without health insurance, but also enforcement mechanisms that would have forced automatic cuts to low-income programs. The enforcement mechanism in the deal exempts Social Security, Medicaid, Medicare benefits, unemployment insurance, programs for low-income families, and civilian and military retirement.
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Forkboy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-31-11 11:55 PM
Response to Original message
8. "Something tells me that Boner is sinking deep into the bottle tonight."
So just another night for him then. :)
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cabot Donating Member (101 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 12:45 AM
Response to Reply #8
11. hehehe
good one! agent orange is such a lush.
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former9thward Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 12:10 AM
Response to Original message
9. You are just making up shit.
The package to be recommended in November can and will include cuts (or in Obama's own words tonight "medicare adjustments").
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Maru Kitteh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 12:42 AM
Response to Original message
10. 99 boners of beer on the wall, 99 boners of beer........
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ibegurpard Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 12:50 AM
Response to Original message
13. lol
you're either a conservative or deeply naive
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joshcryer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 01:02 AM
Response to Original message
14. I swear there is a systematic effort to silence anyone who says the truth here.
This is starting to bother me.
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Leopolds Ghost Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 02:20 AM
Response to Original message
16. TheWraith, if what you say is true I would be overjoyed, but I believe you are hopefully misinformed
:cry:
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Major Hogwash Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 05:16 AM
Response to Reply #16
29. How would this plan, if passed into law, enrage any Tea Party member?
The only pledge they made was not to raise taxes, so their asses are covered in this debacle of a bill.

"The devil is in the details."
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spooked911 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 07:48 AM
Response to Reply #29
37. because they are lunatics
Edited on Mon Aug-01-11 07:49 AM by spooked911
they wanted their lunatic balanced budget agreement and deeper cuts.
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Major Hogwash Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 09:15 AM
Response to Reply #37
38. Then how come Connie Mack from Florida went on Joe Scrapbrow this morning and said he'd vote agin it
That's what he said.
Then he said that we are going to run up $7 to $10 Trillion more dollars in the next 10 years under Obama's economic plans and that we can't afford to raise the debe ceiling in order to have a $16 Trillion dollar debt ceiling, which is what the President is asking for.

That's what Mack said this morning, right on tv.
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readmoreoften Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 02:23 AM
Response to Original message
18. Not on the table til Fall does not = "protected". The only thing protected is congressional ass.
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 02:24 AM
Response to Original message
19. Deleted message
Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.
 
indurancevile Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 02:29 AM
Response to Original message
20. I don't believe it. Putting SS & Medicare aside, plus the interest on the debt
Edited on Mon Aug-01-11 02:30 AM by indurancevile
& other "mandatory" spending leaves just about $700B in defense spending & $700B on discretionary spending. And some of that discretionary spending is social service spending.

You're telling me they're going to cut $100B a year, for 10 years, out of that $1400B -- yet not touch pell grants, vets benefits, or (as the WH website says) benefits for the poor.

That's a 7% cut every year for 10 years.

I don't believe it.

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joshcryer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 02:40 AM
Response to Reply #20
21. At $300 *billion* a *year* for prescription drugs that is beyond dooable.
Obama's prescription drug plan that limits costs through Medicare will go a very long way to achieving this, and it will benefit everyone.
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indurancevile Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 02:45 AM
Response to Reply #21
22. i see. medicare IS going to be cut, but we'll like the cuts. the only
Edited on Mon Aug-01-11 02:48 AM by indurancevile
"prescription drug plan" i would like is one that negotiates big discounts.

i believe that is currently against the law, thanks to the 2003 congress.

the only thing i can find about an obama prescription drug plan is something about reducing over-prescription of opiates/pain-killers.
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joshcryer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 03:02 AM
Response to Reply #22
24. That's the one they're after, the big discounts. Read his April 13 plan.
Edited on Mon Aug-01-11 03:03 AM by joshcryer
edit: I'll note he did *not* get it, I'm saying it will likely be tabled during the Commission and it will be difficult to see how that the Commission will be able to not do it, their hands are going to be very tied.
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indurancevile Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 03:04 AM
Response to Reply #24
25. huh? i don't understand what you just said. i have no idea where to find the "april 13th plan"
Edited on Mon Aug-01-11 03:05 AM by indurancevile
either.

what i hear is you saying that medicare WILL be cut.
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joshcryer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 03:26 AM
Response to Reply #25
26. Here:
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indurancevile Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 03:40 AM
Response to Reply #26
27. here's what i get:
Edited on Mon Aug-01-11 03:41 AM by indurancevile
64B/yr in cuts to discretionary programs
33B/yr in cuts to "security" spending
40B/yr cuts to medicare + 20B/yr cuts to medicare drug programs = 60B/yr cuts to medicare
10B/yr cuts to medicaid
30B/yr cuts to mandatory programs (ag subsidies, pension insurance & anti-fraud measures mentioned)
"tax reform" - no figures
"strengthen social security" - no figures

I see $70B a year cut from health care.

2010 medicare budget was about $500B.
2010 medicaid budget was about $275B.

That's 9% cuts every year for 10-12 years.

and social security is still on the table & the proposed "tax reforms" are nebulous.


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Leopolds Ghost Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 07:19 AM
Response to Reply #27
33. 9% cuts PER ANNUM on average for each section of the Federal Budget (including entitlements?)
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indurancevile Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 12:21 PM
Response to Reply #33
40. no, 9% cut each year from the baseline medicare/medicaid numbers.
if spending went down then the % cuts would be bigger than 9%.
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Skidmore Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 04:58 AM
Response to Original message
28. I hear you but let's not interrupt the
collective tantrum that will on here today. I mean why stop people from trying to sink a ship when we can sink a ship just fine on DU?
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Shandris Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 07:15 AM
Response to Original message
32. HAHAHA oh wow.
The Teahadists just held the entire global economy hostage to prevent tax raises on the wealthy, and you SERIOUSLY think they'll capitulate and go 'oh hey, we were just kidding!' because they'll have to cut defense by an amount ALREADY SET IN MOTION if the autocuts come into play? Damn, that must be some REALLY good Kool-aid.

Not to mention that this mirroring of the president's 'Framework Proposal to Fuck America' of April, 2011 made a lot of assumptions in things that could be taxed without ANY FUCKING CLUE -how- to actually accomplish it. There won't be time for more commissions to consider it though, because there's already a deadline in this 'deal' (concession). He gave in to fucking terrorists again, and one of the central pieces of his Framework Proposal to Fuck America? Lowering corporate tax rates.

Schooled, indeed. /snort

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Logical Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 07:30 AM
Response to Original message
34. You cannot be serious! No TAX INCREASE! He is thrilled!
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n2doc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 07:46 AM
Response to Original message
36. Turtle man seems soooo unhappy (pic)
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Maru Kitteh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 10:09 AM
Response to Original message
39. K and freakin' R.
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jpak Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 12:47 PM
Response to Original message
42. K&R
Boner got boned

yup
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jtown1123 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-01-11 12:48 PM
Response to Original message
43. You forget the committee will also propose SS, Medicare, Medicaid cuts...n/t
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